<\/p>
fatih@fatihoktay.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00c7in Ulusal Halk Kongresi, 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Her y\u0131l bu g\u00fcnlerde yap\u0131lan, bir hafta kadar s\u00fcren bu toplant\u0131lar, devletin o y\u0131l i\u00e7in ekonomik hedef, plan ve politikalar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 nedeniyle b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131r.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Daha \u00f6nce de\u011finmi\u015f oldu\u011fumuz gibi \u00c7in Ulusal Halk Kongresi, 3 bin kadar \u00fcyesi 5 y\u0131lda bir yap\u0131lan, \u00c7in Kom\u00fcnist Partisi\u2019nin kontrol\u00fcndeki se\u00e7imlerle belirlenen bir t\u00fcr temsilciler meclisi. Bu kurum, yasa yapma ve sembolik de olsa, devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve di\u011fer \u00fcst d\u00fczey devlet g\u00f6revlilerinin atamalar\u0131n\u0131 onaylama yetkilerine sahip. Y\u0131ll\u0131k toplant\u0131larda ba\u015fbakan, ge\u00e7mi\u015f y\u0131l\u0131 \u00f6zetleyen ve i\u00e7inde bulunulan y\u0131l\u0131n hedef, plan, politikalar\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7eren bir raporu kongrenin onay\u0131na sunuyor. Buna ek olarak toplant\u0131da onaya, bakanl\u0131k d\u00fczeyinde bir \u00f6rg\u00fct olan Ulusal Kalk\u0131nma ve Reform Komisyonu da benzer i\u00e7erikte bir rapor; Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise bir B\u00fct\u00e7e Raporunu sunuyor. Kongre bunlar\u0131 onaylarken d\u00fcnya da \u00c7in\u2019in o y\u0131l i\u00e7in planlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6\u011freniyor.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Y\u00dcZDE 5 B\u00dcY\u00dcME<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in ge\u00e7en y\u0131l i\u00e7in oldu\u011fu gibi y\u00fczde 5 dolay\u0131nda bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefliyor. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l hedef tutturulmu\u015ftu ama bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l Covid kapanmalar\u0131 nedeniyle ekonomi zay\u0131f oldu\u011fundan, baz etkisi nedeniyle bu daha kolayd\u0131. Bu y\u0131l bu baz etkisi yok, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k talepte zay\u0131fl\u0131k,\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> ABD ile \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n getirdi\u011fi zorluklar, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc kontrol alt\u0131na alma \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131n yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorunlar var.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Bu y\u0131l ayn\u0131 hedefi ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek daha zor olacak.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam alan\u0131nda \u00fclke y\u00f6netimi bu y\u0131l 12 milyon ek i\u015f yaratmay\u0131 hedefliyor. Bu, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 yukar\u0131 ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n hedefi ile ayn\u0131 ve bu y\u0131l \u00fcniversitelerden mezun olacak gen\u00e7 say\u0131s\u0131na hemen hemen e\u015fit.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00dclke y\u00f6netiminin enflasyon i\u00e7in hedefi ise t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi ile y\u00fczde 3. Bu, belki de tutturmas\u0131 en zor hedef; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc t\u00fcketici ve \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131 aylard\u0131r d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Enflasyonun art\u0131ya \u00e7ekilmesi, ekonomi y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in \u00f6ncelikli bir hedef.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> MAL\u0130YE VE PARA POL\u0130T\u0130KALARI<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Bu hedefleri ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in uygulanacak maliye ve para politikalar\u0131na bakarsak, maliye taraf\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanan b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 hedefi \u00fclke GSYH\u2019sinin y\u00fczde 3\u2019\u00fc kadar. Bu, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l a\u00e7\u0131klanan ile ayn\u0131. Bu y\u0131l hedefleri tutturmak daha zorken b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 hedefinin ayn\u0131 olmas\u0131 sorunlu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ancak a\u00e7\u0131klanan genel b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131; bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir Kamu Fonlar\u0131 B\u00fct\u00e7esi, bir de kamu \u015firketleri b\u00fct\u00e7esi var. \u00d6zellikle, a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 yerel y\u00f6netimlerin \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahvillerle finanse edilen fon b\u00fct\u00e7esi de kat\u0131l\u0131nca \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen a\u00e7\u0131k, a\u00e7\u0131klanan hedefin iki kat\u0131ndan y\u00fcksek bir d\u00fczeye geliyor. Para politikas\u0131 taraf\u0131nda ise ge\u00e7en y\u0131l para arz\u0131 ve kredi geni\u015flemesinin nominal GSYH art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile uyumlu olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, bu y\u0131l bunlar\u0131n hedeflenen GSYH ve fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile uyumlu olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu, parasal bolla\u015fma anlam\u0131na geliyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> EN FAZLA HARCAMA TEKNOLOJ\u0130YE<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00dclke y\u00f6netiminin harcama taraf\u0131ndaki hedefleri, ABD ile ya\u015fanmakta olan b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7 \u00e7eki\u015fmesinin izlerini ta\u015f\u0131yor. Merkezi y\u00f6netim b\u00fct\u00e7esinde en b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen harcama kalemi y\u00fczde 10 art\u0131\u015f ile bilim ve teknoloji, ard\u0131ndan y\u00fczde 8.1 ile ulusal kaynak stoklar\u0131, y\u00fczde 7.2 ile silahl\u0131 kuvvetler, y\u00fczde 6.6 ile diplomas\u0131 geliyor.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Y\u0131l\u0131n hedefleri mart ay\u0131n\u0131n ortas\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131nca tutma olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 ile ilgili hemen bilgi alabilmek gibi ilgin\u00e7 bir durum ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Ulusal \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu taraf\u0131ndan yeni a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk ay\u0131nda sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc katma de\u011feri ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ilk ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 7 artt\u0131. Sabit k\u0131ymet yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda ise y\u00fczde 9 azalma g\u00f6steren in\u015faat d\u0131\u015far\u0131da b\u0131rak\u0131l\u0131nca art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 8.9 oldu. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5 d\u00fczeyindeki art\u0131\u015f yan\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fmeyen t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 ve y\u00fczde 2.6 azalan \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131 talep taraf\u0131ndaki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","slug":"cinin-2024-ekonomi-hedefleri","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1711314000VJ4DIRTlaJB81RP.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":5613,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":2,"name":"FAT\u0130H","surname":"OKTAY","email":"ozansoy.tuna@akay.com","slug":"fatih-oktay","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600qSRn7kb3ZZVHU3t.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":50269,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":50143,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u00c7in\u2019in 2024 ekonomi hedefleri","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"FAT\u0130H OKTAY","content":" fatih@fatihoktay.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00c7in Ulusal Halk Kongresi, 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Her y\u0131l bu g\u00fcnlerde yap\u0131lan, bir hafta kadar s\u00fcren bu toplant\u0131lar, devletin o y\u0131l i\u00e7in ekonomik hedef, plan ve politikalar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 nedeniyle b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131r.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Daha \u00f6nce de\u011finmi\u015f oldu\u011fumuz gibi \u00c7in Ulusal Halk Kongresi, 3 bin kadar \u00fcyesi 5 y\u0131lda bir yap\u0131lan, \u00c7in Kom\u00fcnist Partisi\u2019nin kontrol\u00fcndeki se\u00e7imlerle belirlenen bir t\u00fcr temsilciler meclisi. Bu kurum, yasa yapma ve sembolik de olsa, devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve di\u011fer \u00fcst d\u00fczey devlet g\u00f6revlilerinin atamalar\u0131n\u0131 onaylama yetkilerine sahip. Y\u0131ll\u0131k toplant\u0131larda ba\u015fbakan, ge\u00e7mi\u015f y\u0131l\u0131 \u00f6zetleyen ve i\u00e7inde bulunulan y\u0131l\u0131n hedef, plan, politikalar\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7eren bir raporu kongrenin onay\u0131na sunuyor. Buna ek olarak toplant\u0131da onaya, bakanl\u0131k d\u00fczeyinde bir \u00f6rg\u00fct olan Ulusal Kalk\u0131nma ve Reform Komisyonu da benzer i\u00e7erikte bir rapor; Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise bir B\u00fct\u00e7e Raporunu sunuyor. Kongre bunlar\u0131 onaylarken d\u00fcnya da \u00c7in\u2019in o y\u0131l i\u00e7in planlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6\u011freniyor.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Y\u00dcZDE 5 B\u00dcY\u00dcME<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in ge\u00e7en y\u0131l i\u00e7in oldu\u011fu gibi y\u00fczde 5 dolay\u0131nda bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefliyor. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l hedef tutturulmu\u015ftu ama bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l Covid kapanmalar\u0131 nedeniyle ekonomi zay\u0131f oldu\u011fundan, baz etkisi nedeniyle bu daha kolayd\u0131. Bu y\u0131l bu baz etkisi yok, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k talepte zay\u0131fl\u0131k,\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> ABD ile \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n getirdi\u011fi zorluklar, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc kontrol alt\u0131na alma \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131n yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorunlar var.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Bu y\u0131l ayn\u0131 hedefi ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek daha zor olacak.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam alan\u0131nda \u00fclke y\u00f6netimi bu y\u0131l 12 milyon ek i\u015f yaratmay\u0131 hedefliyor. Bu, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 yukar\u0131 ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n hedefi ile ayn\u0131 ve bu y\u0131l \u00fcniversitelerden mezun olacak gen\u00e7 say\u0131s\u0131na hemen hemen e\u015fit.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00dclke y\u00f6netiminin enflasyon i\u00e7in hedefi ise t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi ile y\u00fczde 3. Bu, belki de tutturmas\u0131 en zor hedef; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc t\u00fcketici ve \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131 aylard\u0131r d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Enflasyonun art\u0131ya \u00e7ekilmesi, ekonomi y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in \u00f6ncelikli bir hedef.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> MAL\u0130YE VE PARA POL\u0130T\u0130KALARI<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Bu hedefleri ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in uygulanacak maliye ve para politikalar\u0131na bakarsak, maliye taraf\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanan b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 hedefi \u00fclke GSYH\u2019sinin y\u00fczde 3\u2019\u00fc kadar. Bu, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l a\u00e7\u0131klanan ile ayn\u0131. Bu y\u0131l hedefleri tutturmak daha zorken b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 hedefinin ayn\u0131 olmas\u0131 sorunlu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ancak a\u00e7\u0131klanan genel b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131; bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir Kamu Fonlar\u0131 B\u00fct\u00e7esi, bir de kamu \u015firketleri b\u00fct\u00e7esi var. \u00d6zellikle, a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 yerel y\u00f6netimlerin \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahvillerle finanse edilen fon b\u00fct\u00e7esi de kat\u0131l\u0131nca \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen a\u00e7\u0131k, a\u00e7\u0131klanan hedefin iki kat\u0131ndan y\u00fcksek bir d\u00fczeye geliyor. Para politikas\u0131 taraf\u0131nda ise ge\u00e7en y\u0131l para arz\u0131 ve kredi geni\u015flemesinin nominal GSYH art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile uyumlu olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, bu y\u0131l bunlar\u0131n hedeflenen GSYH ve fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile uyumlu olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu, parasal bolla\u015fma anlam\u0131na geliyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> EN FAZLA HARCAMA TEKNOLOJ\u0130YE<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00dclke y\u00f6netiminin harcama taraf\u0131ndaki hedefleri, ABD ile ya\u015fanmakta olan b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7 \u00e7eki\u015fmesinin izlerini ta\u015f\u0131yor. Merkezi y\u00f6netim b\u00fct\u00e7esinde en b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen harcama kalemi y\u00fczde 10 art\u0131\u015f ile bilim ve teknoloji, ard\u0131ndan y\u00fczde 8.1 ile ulusal kaynak stoklar\u0131, y\u00fczde 7.2 ile silahl\u0131 kuvvetler, y\u00fczde 6.6 ile diplomas\u0131 geliyor.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Y\u0131l\u0131n hedefleri mart ay\u0131n\u0131n ortas\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131nca tutma olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 ile ilgili hemen bilgi alabilmek gibi ilgin\u00e7 bir durum ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Ulusal \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu taraf\u0131ndan yeni a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk ay\u0131nda sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc katma de\u011feri ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ilk ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 7 artt\u0131. Sabit k\u0131ymet yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda ise y\u00fczde 9 azalma g\u00f6steren in\u015faat d\u0131\u015far\u0131da b\u0131rak\u0131l\u0131nca art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 8.9 oldu. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5 d\u00fczeyindeki art\u0131\u015f yan\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fmeyen t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 ve y\u00fczde 2.6 azalan \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131 talep taraf\u0131ndaki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","slug":"cinin-2024-ekonomi-hedefleri","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1711314000VJ4DIRTlaJB81RP.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1711314000VJ4DIRTlaJB81RP.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":5613,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}
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