{"status":true,"post":{"id":27489,"user_id":2,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 15:32:50","created_at":"2021-07-08T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T12:32:50.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":27489,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u00c7in pazar\u0131 ne kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>FAT\u0130H OKTAY<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u201cHer \u00c7inliye bir tane satsan\u2026\u201d laf\u0131, elbette \u00c7in pazar\u0131 ile ilgili fazla iyimser bir de\u011ferlendirmeyi yans\u0131t\u0131yor; 1 milyar 400 milyon \u00c7inli\u2019nin hepsi yabanc\u0131 \u00fcreticilerin \u00fcr\u00fcnlerini sat\u0131n alacak g\u00fcce sahip de\u011fil. \u00d6b\u00fcr a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 u\u00e7ta da \u00c7in\u2019in fakir bir \u00fclke oldu\u011fu, \u00c7inlilerin pek t\u00fcketmedikleri alg\u0131s\u0131 var. \u00c7in pazar\u0131n\u0131n boyutlar\u0131 ile ilgili a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 k\u00f6t\u00fcmser bir de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6t\u00fcren bu alg\u0131n\u0131n yanl\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu bu k\u00f6\u015fede zaman zaman dile getiriyoruz. \u00c7in, art\u0131k ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na \u00fclke geliri 10 bin dolar\u0131 a\u015fan, D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fctleriyle \u00fcst-orta gelir d\u00fczeyinde bir \u00fclke konumuna gelmi\u015f bulunuyor. Bu, \u00fclkenin yabanc\u0131 \u00fcreticilerin \u00fcr\u00fcnlerini alabilecek az\u0131msanamayacak say\u0131da insan bar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131yor olmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. Ama ka\u00e7 tane?<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>150 M\u0130LYON HANE OTOMOB\u0130L SAH\u0130B\u0130<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bu sorunun cevab\u0131n\u0131 vermek o kadar kolay de\u011fil. Cevaba bir yakla\u015f\u0131m, otomobil sahibi olan hanelerde ya\u015fayanlar\u0131n al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn olduk\u00e7a iyi oldu\u011fu varsay\u0131m\u0131ndan gitmek. \u00c7in Ulusal \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu verilerine g\u00f6re \u00fclkedeki hanelerin y\u00fczde 30 kadar\u0131 bir otomobile sahip bulunuyor. Son n\u00fcfus say\u0131m\u0131 verilerine g\u00f6re \u00fclkede 494 milyon hane oldu\u011funa g\u00f6re, yakla\u015f\u0131k 150 milyon hane otomobil sahibi. Her hane de ortalama 2.85 ki\u015fiden olu\u015ftu\u011funa g\u00f6re bu yakla\u015f\u0131mla, yeti\u015fkin, ya\u015fl\u0131, \u00e7ocuk, kabaca 400 milyon ki\u015filik bir pazardan s\u00f6z edilebilir.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bir yakla\u015f\u0131m da gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m verilerinden gitmek. Yine Ulusal \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu verilerine g\u00f6re \u00fclkenin 280 milyon ki\u015fiden olu\u015fan en y\u00fcksek gelirli y\u00fczde 20\u2019lik kesiminin hane ba\u015f\u0131na y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama net geliri 30 bin dolar dolay\u0131nda. Bu rakam bir alt y\u00fczde 20\u2019lik gelir grubunda ise 15 bin dolara d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>M\u0130LYARDER SAYISINDA ABD\u2019Y\u0130 GE\u00c7T\u0130<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Ancak her \u00fclkede oldu\u011fu gibi, anketler yoluyla elde edilen gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 istatistikleri \u00c7in\u2019de de, \u00f6zellikle y\u00fcksek gelir gruplar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7ok g\u00fcvenilir de\u011fil. Dolayl\u0131 yollardan daha g\u00fcvenilir veri elde etmeyi hedefleyen baz\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar y\u00fcksek gelirlilerin gelirlerinin resmi istatistiklerdekinin \u00e7ok \u00fcst\u00fcnde oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. B\u00f6yle bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, \u00c7in\u2019de en y\u00fcksek gelirli kesimin ger\u00e7ek ortalama gelir d\u00fczeyi resmi istatistiklerin yakla\u015f\u0131k 3, bir alt kesiminki ise 2 kat\u0131 d\u00fczeyinde. Bu durumda \u00fclke n\u00fcfusunun 280 milyonluk b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc olu\u015fturan hanelerin y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama net gelirinin 90 bin dolar, bir alttaki grubunkinin ise 30 bin dolar dolay\u0131nda oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. En \u00fcst gelir grubunun tamam\u0131n\u0131, bir alttakinin de yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 al\u0131rsak buradan da sa\u011flam 400 milyonluk al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fc y\u00fcksek bir grubun \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Burada ortalama gelirlerden s\u00f6z ediyoruz. \u00c7in, b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomiler aras\u0131nda gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 en bozuk \u00fclkelerden biri oldu\u011fundan gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcstlerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131ld\u0131k\u00e7a gelir d\u00fczeyi h\u0131zla y\u00fckseliyor. Bu, kendisini dolar milyarderi say\u0131lar\u0131nda g\u00f6steriyor: \u00c7in milyarder say\u0131s\u0131nda ABD\u2019yi ge\u00e7mi\u015f bulunuyor. Gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n bu yap\u0131s\u0131 da kendisini l\u00fcks mallar pazar\u0131nda g\u00f6steriyor. Bu konudaki bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ki\u015fisel l\u00fcks mallar pazar\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7te birini \u00c7inlilerin \u00fclke i\u00e7inde ve d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki al\u0131mlar\u0131 olu\u015fturuyordu, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise \u00c7inli pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 50 dolay\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 bekleniyor. 1 miyar 400 milyonluk olmasa da, \u00c7in\u2019de geni\u015fli\u011fine ve derinli\u011fine, \u00e7ok \u00e7ekici ve giderek daha \u00e7ekici hale gelen bir pazar var.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"cin-pazari-ne-kadar-buyuk","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u00c7in pazar\u0131 ne kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck?","meta_description":"FAT\u0130H OKTAY","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1088,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":2,"name":"FAT\u0130H","surname":"OKTAY","email":"ozansoy.tuna@akay.com","slug":"fatih-oktay","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600qSRn7kb3ZZVHU3t.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":27588,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":27489,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u00c7in pazar\u0131 ne kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>FAT\u0130H OKTAY<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u201cHer \u00c7inliye bir tane satsan\u2026\u201d laf\u0131, elbette \u00c7in pazar\u0131 ile ilgili fazla iyimser bir de\u011ferlendirmeyi yans\u0131t\u0131yor; 1 milyar 400 milyon \u00c7inli\u2019nin hepsi yabanc\u0131 \u00fcreticilerin \u00fcr\u00fcnlerini sat\u0131n alacak g\u00fcce sahip de\u011fil. \u00d6b\u00fcr a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 u\u00e7ta da \u00c7in\u2019in fakir bir \u00fclke oldu\u011fu, \u00c7inlilerin pek t\u00fcketmedikleri alg\u0131s\u0131 var. \u00c7in pazar\u0131n\u0131n boyutlar\u0131 ile ilgili a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 k\u00f6t\u00fcmser bir de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6t\u00fcren bu alg\u0131n\u0131n yanl\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu bu k\u00f6\u015fede zaman zaman dile getiriyoruz. \u00c7in, art\u0131k ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na \u00fclke geliri 10 bin dolar\u0131 a\u015fan, D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fctleriyle \u00fcst-orta gelir d\u00fczeyinde bir \u00fclke konumuna gelmi\u015f bulunuyor. Bu, \u00fclkenin yabanc\u0131 \u00fcreticilerin \u00fcr\u00fcnlerini alabilecek az\u0131msanamayacak say\u0131da insan bar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131yor olmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. Ama ka\u00e7 tane?<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>150 M\u0130LYON HANE OTOMOB\u0130L SAH\u0130B\u0130<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bu sorunun cevab\u0131n\u0131 vermek o kadar kolay de\u011fil. Cevaba bir yakla\u015f\u0131m, otomobil sahibi olan hanelerde ya\u015fayanlar\u0131n al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn olduk\u00e7a iyi oldu\u011fu varsay\u0131m\u0131ndan gitmek. \u00c7in Ulusal \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu verilerine g\u00f6re \u00fclkedeki hanelerin y\u00fczde 30 kadar\u0131 bir otomobile sahip bulunuyor. Son n\u00fcfus say\u0131m\u0131 verilerine g\u00f6re \u00fclkede 494 milyon hane oldu\u011funa g\u00f6re, yakla\u015f\u0131k 150 milyon hane otomobil sahibi. Her hane de ortalama 2.85 ki\u015fiden olu\u015ftu\u011funa g\u00f6re bu yakla\u015f\u0131mla, yeti\u015fkin, ya\u015fl\u0131, \u00e7ocuk, kabaca 400 milyon ki\u015filik bir pazardan s\u00f6z edilebilir.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bir yakla\u015f\u0131m da gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m verilerinden gitmek. Yine Ulusal \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu verilerine g\u00f6re \u00fclkenin 280 milyon ki\u015fiden olu\u015fan en y\u00fcksek gelirli y\u00fczde 20\u2019lik kesiminin hane ba\u015f\u0131na y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama net geliri 30 bin dolar dolay\u0131nda. Bu rakam bir alt y\u00fczde 20\u2019lik gelir grubunda ise 15 bin dolara d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>M\u0130LYARDER SAYISINDA ABD\u2019Y\u0130 GE\u00c7T\u0130<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Ancak her \u00fclkede oldu\u011fu gibi, anketler yoluyla elde edilen gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 istatistikleri \u00c7in\u2019de de, \u00f6zellikle y\u00fcksek gelir gruplar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7ok g\u00fcvenilir de\u011fil. Dolayl\u0131 yollardan daha g\u00fcvenilir veri elde etmeyi hedefleyen baz\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar y\u00fcksek gelirlilerin gelirlerinin resmi istatistiklerdekinin \u00e7ok \u00fcst\u00fcnde oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. B\u00f6yle bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, \u00c7in\u2019de en y\u00fcksek gelirli kesimin ger\u00e7ek ortalama gelir d\u00fczeyi resmi istatistiklerin yakla\u015f\u0131k 3, bir alt kesiminki ise 2 kat\u0131 d\u00fczeyinde. Bu durumda \u00fclke n\u00fcfusunun 280 milyonluk b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc olu\u015fturan hanelerin y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama net gelirinin 90 bin dolar, bir alttaki grubunkinin ise 30 bin dolar dolay\u0131nda oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. En \u00fcst gelir grubunun tamam\u0131n\u0131, bir alttakinin de yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 al\u0131rsak buradan da sa\u011flam 400 milyonluk al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fc y\u00fcksek bir grubun \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Burada ortalama gelirlerden s\u00f6z ediyoruz. \u00c7in, b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomiler aras\u0131nda gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 en bozuk \u00fclkelerden biri oldu\u011fundan gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcstlerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131ld\u0131k\u00e7a gelir d\u00fczeyi h\u0131zla y\u00fckseliyor. Bu, kendisini dolar milyarderi say\u0131lar\u0131nda g\u00f6steriyor: \u00c7in milyarder say\u0131s\u0131nda ABD\u2019yi ge\u00e7mi\u015f bulunuyor. Gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n bu yap\u0131s\u0131 da kendisini l\u00fcks mallar pazar\u0131nda g\u00f6steriyor. Bu konudaki bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ki\u015fisel l\u00fcks mallar pazar\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7te birini \u00c7inlilerin \u00fclke i\u00e7inde ve d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki al\u0131mlar\u0131 olu\u015fturuyordu, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise \u00c7inli pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 50 dolay\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 bekleniyor. 1 miyar 400 milyonluk olmasa da, \u00c7in\u2019de geni\u015fli\u011fine ve derinli\u011fine, \u00e7ok \u00e7ekici ve giderek daha \u00e7ekici hale gelen bir pazar var.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"cin-pazari-ne-kadar-buyuk","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u00c7in pazar\u0131 ne kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck?","meta_description":"FAT\u0130H OKTAY","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1088,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}