{"status":true,"post":{"id":12955,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:20:53","created_at":"2016-01-31T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:20:53.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":12955,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u00c7in etkisi","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

2016 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00c7in ekonomisinde ya\u015fanan ekonomik d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn k\u00fcresel etkileri ile ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede \u00c7in\u2019deki geli\u015fmeleri ve etkilerini de\u011ferlendirelim;<\/span><\/p>

1. B\u00dcY\u00dcME MODEL\u0130 DE\u011e\u0130\u015e\u0130YOR VE YAVA\u015eLIYOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in,1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llar\u0131n ortas\u0131ndan bu yana uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fc \u00f6rt\u00fcl\u00fc kamu desteklerini i\u00e7eren kendine \u00f6zg\u00fc devlet kapitalizminden 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren yine kendine \u00f6zg\u00fc piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7mektedir. 2014 y\u0131l\u0131nda g\u00f6reve ba\u015flayan yeni y\u00f6netimin hedefi yeni kalk\u0131nma plan\u0131 s\u00fcrecinde bu ge\u00e7i\u015fi 2020 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar tamamlamakt\u0131r. Bu ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00c7in\u2019in ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme modelinde de de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe yol a\u00e7maktad\u0131r. \u00c7in uzun y\u0131llar s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc yat\u0131r\u0131mlara ve ihracata dayal\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme modelinden i\u00e7 talebe dayal\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme modeline ge\u00e7mektedir. Bu nedenle ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 ortalama y\u00fczde 10-11 seviyelerinden y\u00fczde 6-7 aras\u0131na inmektedir. \u00c7in yeni b\u00fcy\u00fcme modeli ile y\u00fczde 6-7 aras\u0131nda bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir k\u0131larak sosyo-ekonomik kalk\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 tamamlamay\u0131 hedeflemektedir. <\/span><\/p>

2. \u00c7\u0130N\u2019DEK\u0130 GEL\u0130\u015eMELER\u0130N D\u00dcNYA EKONOM\u0130S\u0130NE ETK\u0130LER\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in ekonomisi k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ikici b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisi haline gelmi\u015ftir. Son yirmi be\u015f y\u0131l i\u00e7inde sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortalama y\u00fczde 11 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde motor g\u00f6revi yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00c7in h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ile yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 talep etkisi ile \u00e7ok say\u0131da \u00fclkenin de b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini h\u0131zland\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00c7in enerji, emtia, ara mal\u0131 ve nihai mallar talebi ile bu \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ihra\u00e7 eden \u00fclkelerde ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi h\u0131zland\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Almanya, G\u00fcney Kore, Japonya, Endonezya, S.Arabistan, Angola, Avustralya gibi \u00fclkeler ihra\u00e7 ettikleri farkl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcn gruplar\u0131 ile \u00c7in ekonomisiyle ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k yaratm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. \u00c7in ekonomisindeki yava\u015flama, bu \u00fclkelere y\u00f6nelik mal talebini de s\u0131n\u0131rlamakta olup \u00e7ok say\u0131da geli\u015fmi\u015f ve geli\u015fen \u00fclke \u00c7in\u2019deki yava\u015flamadan olumsuz etkilenmektedir. B\u00f6ylece d\u00fcnya ekonomisi ve ticaretindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme de s\u0131n\u0131rlanmaktad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>

3. \u00c7\u0130N\u2019\u0130N K\u00dcRESEL MAL\u0130 P\u0130YASALAR \u00dcZER\u0130NDEK\u0130 ETK\u0130LER\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in\u2019deki geli\u015fmeler k\u00fcresel mali piyasalar \u00fczerinde d\u00f6rt \u00f6nemli etkiye yol a\u00e7maktad\u0131r. Bunlardan ilki \u00c7in kaynakl\u0131 petrol ve emtia talebinin yava\u015flamas\u0131 ile birlikte bu \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin fiyatlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen h\u0131zl\u0131 gerilemedir. Petrol ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131 2000\u2019li y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelere geri gelmi\u015ftir. \u0130kinci etki \u00c7in para birimi Yuan \u00fczerinde olu\u015fan de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 ile ya\u015fanan d\u00f6viz kuru dalgalanmalar\u0131d\u0131r. \u00c7in para birimi Yuan de\u011fer kaybettik\u00e7e di\u011fer geli\u015fen \u00fclke para birimleri de zay\u0131flamakta, Dolar ise de\u011fer kazanmaktad\u0131r. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc etki k\u00fcresel sermaye hareketlerinde g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. \u00c7in\u2019den ve di\u011fer geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerin mali varl\u0131klar\u0131ndan sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ya\u015fanmaktad\u0131r. Son olarak k\u00fcresel hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131 petrol ve emtia \u00fcreticisi firmalar\u0131n gelirlerinin d\u00fc\u015fmesi ile tetiklenen bir gerileme sarmal\u0131na girmektedir. Bu ortamda ABD devlet tahvilleri, Dolar ve Alt\u0131n en g\u00fcvenli yat\u0131r\u0131m ara\u00e7lar\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlenmektedir. <\/span><\/p>

4. \u00c7\u0130N\u2019DEK\u0130 GEL\u0130\u015eMELER\u0130N T\u00dcRK\u0130YE\u2019YE ETK\u0130LER\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in\u2019deki geli\u015fmelerin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ticaret kanal\u0131 \u00fczerinden dolayl\u0131, finansman ve beklenti kanal\u0131 \u00fczerinden ise do\u011frudan etkileri bulunmaktad\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00c7in\u2019e ihracat\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckt\u00fcr. Bu nedenle \u00c7in\u2019deki yava\u015flama T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ihracat\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frudan \u00e7ok az etkileyecektir. Ancak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkeleri gibi \u00f6nemli ihracat pazarlar\u0131 \u00c7in yava\u015flamas\u0131 ile olu\u015fan k\u00fcresel mali ko\u015fullarda etkilenmekte, gelirleri azalmakta ve ithalatlar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmaktad\u0131rlar. Bu da T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu \u00fclkelere ihracat\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde etkilemektedir. \u00c7in\u2019deki geli\u015fmeler finansman ve beklenti kanal\u0131 ile ise T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi do\u011frudan etkilemektedir. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 da de\u011fer kaybetmekte, hisse senedi fiyatlar\u0131 gerilemekte, sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ya\u015fanmakta, geli\u015fen \u00fclkelere y\u00f6nelik bozulan beklentiler T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi de i\u00e7ine almaktad\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ayr\u0131ca demir \u00e7elik sekt\u00f6r\u00fc gibi baz\u0131 alanlar \u00c7in\u2019in yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 haks\u0131z rekabetten ve ya\u015fanan fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerinden olumsuz etkilenmektedir. <\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z; <\/strong>\u00c7in\u2019deki ekonomik yava\u015flaman\u0131n getirdi\u011fi olumsuz etkiler, h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 olumlu etkilerden daha \u00e7ok hissedilecek.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"cin-etkisi","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u00c7in etkisi","meta_description":"Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":227,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":13054,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":12955,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u00c7in etkisi","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

2016 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00c7in ekonomisinde ya\u015fanan ekonomik d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn k\u00fcresel etkileri ile ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede \u00c7in\u2019deki geli\u015fmeleri ve etkilerini de\u011ferlendirelim;<\/span><\/p>

1. B\u00dcY\u00dcME MODEL\u0130 DE\u011e\u0130\u015e\u0130YOR VE YAVA\u015eLIYOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in,1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llar\u0131n ortas\u0131ndan bu yana uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fc \u00f6rt\u00fcl\u00fc kamu desteklerini i\u00e7eren kendine \u00f6zg\u00fc devlet kapitalizminden 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren yine kendine \u00f6zg\u00fc piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7mektedir. 2014 y\u0131l\u0131nda g\u00f6reve ba\u015flayan yeni y\u00f6netimin hedefi yeni kalk\u0131nma plan\u0131 s\u00fcrecinde bu ge\u00e7i\u015fi 2020 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar tamamlamakt\u0131r. Bu ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00c7in\u2019in ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme modelinde de de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe yol a\u00e7maktad\u0131r. \u00c7in uzun y\u0131llar s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc yat\u0131r\u0131mlara ve ihracata dayal\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme modelinden i\u00e7 talebe dayal\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme modeline ge\u00e7mektedir. Bu nedenle ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 ortalama y\u00fczde 10-11 seviyelerinden y\u00fczde 6-7 aras\u0131na inmektedir. \u00c7in yeni b\u00fcy\u00fcme modeli ile y\u00fczde 6-7 aras\u0131nda bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir k\u0131larak sosyo-ekonomik kalk\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 tamamlamay\u0131 hedeflemektedir. <\/span><\/p>

2. \u00c7\u0130N\u2019DEK\u0130 GEL\u0130\u015eMELER\u0130N D\u00dcNYA EKONOM\u0130S\u0130NE ETK\u0130LER\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in ekonomisi k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ikici b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisi haline gelmi\u015ftir. Son yirmi be\u015f y\u0131l i\u00e7inde sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortalama y\u00fczde 11 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde motor g\u00f6revi yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00c7in h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ile yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 talep etkisi ile \u00e7ok say\u0131da \u00fclkenin de b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini h\u0131zland\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00c7in enerji, emtia, ara mal\u0131 ve nihai mallar talebi ile bu \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ihra\u00e7 eden \u00fclkelerde ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi h\u0131zland\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Almanya, G\u00fcney Kore, Japonya, Endonezya, S.Arabistan, Angola, Avustralya gibi \u00fclkeler ihra\u00e7 ettikleri farkl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcn gruplar\u0131 ile \u00c7in ekonomisiyle ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k yaratm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. \u00c7in ekonomisindeki yava\u015flama, bu \u00fclkelere y\u00f6nelik mal talebini de s\u0131n\u0131rlamakta olup \u00e7ok say\u0131da geli\u015fmi\u015f ve geli\u015fen \u00fclke \u00c7in\u2019deki yava\u015flamadan olumsuz etkilenmektedir. B\u00f6ylece d\u00fcnya ekonomisi ve ticaretindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme de s\u0131n\u0131rlanmaktad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>

3. \u00c7\u0130N\u2019\u0130N K\u00dcRESEL MAL\u0130 P\u0130YASALAR \u00dcZER\u0130NDEK\u0130 ETK\u0130LER\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in\u2019deki geli\u015fmeler k\u00fcresel mali piyasalar \u00fczerinde d\u00f6rt \u00f6nemli etkiye yol a\u00e7maktad\u0131r. Bunlardan ilki \u00c7in kaynakl\u0131 petrol ve emtia talebinin yava\u015flamas\u0131 ile birlikte bu \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin fiyatlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen h\u0131zl\u0131 gerilemedir. Petrol ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131 2000\u2019li y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelere geri gelmi\u015ftir. \u0130kinci etki \u00c7in para birimi Yuan \u00fczerinde olu\u015fan de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 ile ya\u015fanan d\u00f6viz kuru dalgalanmalar\u0131d\u0131r. \u00c7in para birimi Yuan de\u011fer kaybettik\u00e7e di\u011fer geli\u015fen \u00fclke para birimleri de zay\u0131flamakta, Dolar ise de\u011fer kazanmaktad\u0131r. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc etki k\u00fcresel sermaye hareketlerinde g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. \u00c7in\u2019den ve di\u011fer geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerin mali varl\u0131klar\u0131ndan sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ya\u015fanmaktad\u0131r. Son olarak k\u00fcresel hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131 petrol ve emtia \u00fcreticisi firmalar\u0131n gelirlerinin d\u00fc\u015fmesi ile tetiklenen bir gerileme sarmal\u0131na girmektedir. Bu ortamda ABD devlet tahvilleri, Dolar ve Alt\u0131n en g\u00fcvenli yat\u0131r\u0131m ara\u00e7lar\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlenmektedir. <\/span><\/p>

4. \u00c7\u0130N\u2019DEK\u0130 GEL\u0130\u015eMELER\u0130N T\u00dcRK\u0130YE\u2019YE ETK\u0130LER\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in\u2019deki geli\u015fmelerin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ticaret kanal\u0131 \u00fczerinden dolayl\u0131, finansman ve beklenti kanal\u0131 \u00fczerinden ise do\u011frudan etkileri bulunmaktad\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00c7in\u2019e ihracat\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckt\u00fcr. Bu nedenle \u00c7in\u2019deki yava\u015flama T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ihracat\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frudan \u00e7ok az etkileyecektir. Ancak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkeleri gibi \u00f6nemli ihracat pazarlar\u0131 \u00c7in yava\u015flamas\u0131 ile olu\u015fan k\u00fcresel mali ko\u015fullarda etkilenmekte, gelirleri azalmakta ve ithalatlar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmaktad\u0131rlar. Bu da T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu \u00fclkelere ihracat\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde etkilemektedir. \u00c7in\u2019deki geli\u015fmeler finansman ve beklenti kanal\u0131 ile ise T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi do\u011frudan etkilemektedir. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 da de\u011fer kaybetmekte, hisse senedi fiyatlar\u0131 gerilemekte, sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ya\u015fanmakta, geli\u015fen \u00fclkelere y\u00f6nelik bozulan beklentiler T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi de i\u00e7ine almaktad\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ayr\u0131ca demir \u00e7elik sekt\u00f6r\u00fc gibi baz\u0131 alanlar \u00c7in\u2019in yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 haks\u0131z rekabetten ve ya\u015fanan fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerinden olumsuz etkilenmektedir. <\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z; <\/strong>\u00c7in\u2019deki ekonomik yava\u015flaman\u0131n getirdi\u011fi olumsuz etkiler, h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 olumlu etkilerden daha \u00e7ok hissedilecek.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"cin-etkisi","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u00c7in etkisi","meta_description":"Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":227,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}