{"status":true,"post":{"id":21266,"user_id":2,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:05:45","created_at":"2019-12-19T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:05:45.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":21266,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u00c7in ekonomisi 2020\u2019de y\u00fczde 6 dolay\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyecek","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Fatih Oktay<\/strong><\/span><br><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininde de b\u00f6yle kesin dil kullan\u0131l\u0131r m\u0131 denebilir. Her zaman olmaz ama bu y\u0131l ve \u00c7in ekonomisi i\u00e7in pek sak\u0131ncas\u0131 yok galiba. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2012\u2019de \u00c7in Kom\u00fcnist Partisi\u2019nin 18\u2019inci Ulusal Kongre toplant\u0131s\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir hedef a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131; ekonominin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 2020\u2019de 2010\u2019dakinin iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131. \u00c7in ekonomisinin 2019 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 6\u2019n\u0131n biraz \u00fczerinde \u00e7\u0131kacak g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor; gelecek y\u0131l da \u00f6yle olursa 2020 hedefi tutturuluyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">O nedenle 2020 mart ay\u0131ndaki \u00c7in Ulusal Kongresi y\u0131ll\u0131k toplant\u0131s\u0131nda ba\u015fbakan\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefini \u2018y\u00fczde 6 dolay\u0131nda\u2019 diye a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">A\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 beklenen y\u00fczde 6 dolay\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefinin tutturulmas\u0131 da zor g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. \u00c7in ekonomisinin ge\u00e7mi\u015fte y\u00fczde 14\u201315\u2019lere vurmu\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 \u015fu s\u0131ralarda y\u00fczde 6\u2019lardaysa da \u00fclke y\u00f6netimi bunun \u00fczerinde bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flama imk\u00e2nlar\u0131na sahip bulunuyor. 2018\u2019de mal ticaretinde 350 milyar dolar fazla vermi\u015f bir ekonomide ekonomiyi canland\u0131rman\u0131n cari a\u00e7\u0131k \u00fczerindeki etkilerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek gerekmiyor. Ama \u00fclke y\u00f6netiminin ekonominin y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi yan\u0131nda g\u00f6zetti\u011fi ba\u015fka hedefler ve g\u00f6stergeler de var. 2008 k\u00fcresel krizi ihracat\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yol a\u00e7arak \u00c7in ekonomisini vurdu\u011funda \u00fclke y\u00f6netimi b\u00fcy\u00fck bir harcama paketi ve son derece gev\u015fek para \u2013 kredi politikalar\u0131yla cevap vermi\u015f, y\u00fczde 6\u2019lara d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f \u00e7eyreklik b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 12\u2019lere \u00e7\u0131kartm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ama bu politika, \u015firketler ve yerel y\u00f6netimlerin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131na, dolayl\u0131 olarak da \u00fclkede in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ve \u2018g\u00f6lge bankac\u0131l\u0131k\u2019 sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn kontrols\u00fcz b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde bir yandan ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi g\u00f6zetirken, bir yandan da \u015firket ve yerel y\u00f6netimlerin bor\u00e7luluk d\u00fczeylerini azaltmaya y\u00f6nelik politikalar uyguluyor, g\u00f6lge bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltmeye, \u00fclke kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n ta\u015fa ve beton de\u011fil \u00fcretime y\u00f6nelik alanlara y\u00f6nlendirilmesi i\u00e7in tedbirler al\u0131yor. T\u00fcm bu sayd\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131z k\u0131sa d\u00f6nemde ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 olumsuz etkiliyor. \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi 2008\u2019deki gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck harcama paketleri ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 gev\u015fek para politikalar\u0131ndan uzak durmakta kararl\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtiyorsa da daha \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fc para ve maliye politikalar\u0131 ile ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi desteklemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 2020 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi \u2018normal\u2019 para ve maliye politikalar\u0131 ile tutturulamayaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrse, ge\u00e7ici olarak daha gev\u015fek para politikalar\u0131 uygulayarak ve\/veya g\u00f6lge bankac\u0131l\u0131k, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, bor\u00e7luluk d\u00fczeyi ile ilgili politikalarda ge\u00e7ici olarak gev\u015femeye gidilerek y\u00fczde 6 dolay\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi rahatl\u0131kla tutturulabilecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7in ekonomisi d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin y\u00fczde 16\u2019s\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor; \u00c7in\u2019in y\u00fczde 6\u2019l\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi tutarsa IMF tahminine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 3 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin 2020 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin yakla\u015f\u0131k 1 puanl\u0131k k\u0131sm\u0131 \u00c7in ekonomisinden geliyor; \u00c7in ekonomisi y\u00fczde 6 b\u00fcy\u00fcrken d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131 y\u00fczde 2.5 dolay\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f olacak.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"cin-ekonomisi-2020de-yuzde-6-dolayinda-buyuyecek","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u00c7in ekonomisi 2020\u2019de y\u00fczde 6 dolay\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyecek","meta_description":"Fatih Oktay","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":130,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":2,"name":"FAT\u0130H","surname":"OKTAY","email":"ozansoy.tuna@akay.com","slug":"fatih-oktay","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600qSRn7kb3ZZVHU3t.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":21365,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":21266,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u00c7in ekonomisi 2020\u2019de y\u00fczde 6 dolay\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyecek","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Fatih Oktay<\/strong><\/span><br><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininde de b\u00f6yle kesin dil kullan\u0131l\u0131r m\u0131 denebilir. Her zaman olmaz ama bu y\u0131l ve \u00c7in ekonomisi i\u00e7in pek sak\u0131ncas\u0131 yok galiba. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2012\u2019de \u00c7in Kom\u00fcnist Partisi\u2019nin 18\u2019inci Ulusal Kongre toplant\u0131s\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir hedef a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131; ekonominin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 2020\u2019de 2010\u2019dakinin iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131. \u00c7in ekonomisinin 2019 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 6\u2019n\u0131n biraz \u00fczerinde \u00e7\u0131kacak g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor; gelecek y\u0131l da \u00f6yle olursa 2020 hedefi tutturuluyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">O nedenle 2020 mart ay\u0131ndaki \u00c7in Ulusal Kongresi y\u0131ll\u0131k toplant\u0131s\u0131nda ba\u015fbakan\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefini \u2018y\u00fczde 6 dolay\u0131nda\u2019 diye a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">A\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 beklenen y\u00fczde 6 dolay\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefinin tutturulmas\u0131 da zor g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. \u00c7in ekonomisinin ge\u00e7mi\u015fte y\u00fczde 14\u201315\u2019lere vurmu\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 \u015fu s\u0131ralarda y\u00fczde 6\u2019lardaysa da \u00fclke y\u00f6netimi bunun \u00fczerinde bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flama imk\u00e2nlar\u0131na sahip bulunuyor. 2018\u2019de mal ticaretinde 350 milyar dolar fazla vermi\u015f bir ekonomide ekonomiyi canland\u0131rman\u0131n cari a\u00e7\u0131k \u00fczerindeki etkilerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek gerekmiyor. Ama \u00fclke y\u00f6netiminin ekonominin y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi yan\u0131nda g\u00f6zetti\u011fi ba\u015fka hedefler ve g\u00f6stergeler de var. 2008 k\u00fcresel krizi ihracat\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yol a\u00e7arak \u00c7in ekonomisini vurdu\u011funda \u00fclke y\u00f6netimi b\u00fcy\u00fck bir harcama paketi ve son derece gev\u015fek para \u2013 kredi politikalar\u0131yla cevap vermi\u015f, y\u00fczde 6\u2019lara d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f \u00e7eyreklik b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 12\u2019lere \u00e7\u0131kartm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ama bu politika, \u015firketler ve yerel y\u00f6netimlerin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131na, dolayl\u0131 olarak da \u00fclkede in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ve \u2018g\u00f6lge bankac\u0131l\u0131k\u2019 sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn kontrols\u00fcz b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde bir yandan ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi g\u00f6zetirken, bir yandan da \u015firket ve yerel y\u00f6netimlerin bor\u00e7luluk d\u00fczeylerini azaltmaya y\u00f6nelik politikalar uyguluyor, g\u00f6lge bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltmeye, \u00fclke kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n ta\u015fa ve beton de\u011fil \u00fcretime y\u00f6nelik alanlara y\u00f6nlendirilmesi i\u00e7in tedbirler al\u0131yor. T\u00fcm bu sayd\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131z k\u0131sa d\u00f6nemde ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 olumsuz etkiliyor. \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi 2008\u2019deki gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck harcama paketleri ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 gev\u015fek para politikalar\u0131ndan uzak durmakta kararl\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtiyorsa da daha \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fc para ve maliye politikalar\u0131 ile ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi desteklemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 2020 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi \u2018normal\u2019 para ve maliye politikalar\u0131 ile tutturulamayaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrse, ge\u00e7ici olarak daha gev\u015fek para politikalar\u0131 uygulayarak ve\/veya g\u00f6lge bankac\u0131l\u0131k, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, bor\u00e7luluk d\u00fczeyi ile ilgili politikalarda ge\u00e7ici olarak gev\u015femeye gidilerek y\u00fczde 6 dolay\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi rahatl\u0131kla tutturulabilecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7in ekonomisi d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin y\u00fczde 16\u2019s\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor; \u00c7in\u2019in y\u00fczde 6\u2019l\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi tutarsa IMF tahminine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 3 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin 2020 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin yakla\u015f\u0131k 1 puanl\u0131k k\u0131sm\u0131 \u00c7in ekonomisinden geliyor; \u00c7in ekonomisi y\u00fczde 6 b\u00fcy\u00fcrken d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131 y\u00fczde 2.5 dolay\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f olacak.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"cin-ekonomisi-2020de-yuzde-6-dolayinda-buyuyecek","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u00c7in ekonomisi 2020\u2019de y\u00fczde 6 dolay\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyecek","meta_description":"Fatih Oktay","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":130,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}