{"status":true,"post":{"id":24290,"user_id":1,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:46:24","created_at":"2021-01-07T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:46:24.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":24290,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u00c7\u0131kar\u0131lacak daha \u00e7ok icat var","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Hakan G\u00fclda\u011f<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Hat\u0131rlayacaks\u0131n\u0131z, 2021\u2019e girerken Eko-Mercek\u2019te \u00fcnl\u00fc tarih\u00e7i Fernand Braudel\u2019in bir s\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc aktarm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. \u201cTarihteki hareket, \u00fc\u00e7 farkl\u0131 \u015fekilde incelenebilir: H\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fenler, yava\u015f de\u011fi\u015fenler ve hi\u00e7 de\u011fi\u015fmeyenler...\u201d diyordu Braudel. Onun bu s\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc aktar\u0131p, tarihte oldu\u011fu gibi gelecekte de her \u015feyin ayn\u0131 h\u0131zda de\u011fi\u015fmeyece\u011fini vurgulamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. \u00d6zellikle de insan\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015ften gelen kimi \u00f6zellikleri ve davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan...<\/span><\/p>

Tabii bu \u00f6zellikler zaman zaman \u2018gaflete d\u00fc\u015fmenin\u2019 de kayna\u011f\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Alanlar\u0131n\u0131n en etkili ve yetkili ki\u015filerinin bile...<\/span><\/p>

Mesela Amerika Patent Dairesi Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Charles Duell\u2019in s\u00f6z\u00fcm ona kehaneti... \u201cArt\u0131k yeni hi\u00e7bir \u015fey yok. \u0130cat edilebilecek her \u015fey icat edildi\u201d diyordu Duell 1899\u2019da. \u015ea\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil mi? Ama ger\u00e7ek! \u00c7ok yetkin say\u0131lan insanlar gaflete d\u00fc\u015febiliyor kolayl\u0131kla.<\/span><\/p>

Asl\u0131na bakarsan\u0131z, tarih b\u00f6ylesi karavana at\u0131\u015flarla dolu. Bak\u0131n Romal\u0131 m\u00fchendis Julius Sextus Frontinus, nas\u0131l bir kehanette bulunmu\u015f: <\/span><\/p>

\u201cYap\u0131labilecek t\u00fcm icatlar yap\u0131ld\u0131. Yeni bir icat yap\u0131lmas\u0131 imkans\u0131z art\u0131k...\u201d <\/span><\/p>

Milattan Sonra 10 y\u0131l\u0131nda ya da 20\u2019nci y\u00fczy\u0131la bir kala...<\/span><\/p>

Zihniyetteki benzerlik m\u00fcthi\u015f de\u011fil mi? Tabii gafletin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc de...<\/span><\/p>

***<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Ya d\u00f6neminin \u00f6nde gelen fizik\u00e7isi Lord Kelvin\u2019e ne demeli? 1895\u2019te \u015fu kehanette bulunmu\u015f: \u201cHavadan daha a\u011f\u0131r u\u00e7an makinalar\u0131n yap\u0131lmas\u0131 imkans\u0131zd\u0131r.\u201d<\/span><\/p>

Ger\u00e7i \u0130sko\u00e7 bilim adam\u0131 Lord Kelvin\u2019in b\u00f6yle karavanalar\u0131 \u00e7ok. Kendisi, \u201cRadyonun gelece\u011fi yok\u201d kehanetinin de sahibi...<\/span><\/p>

Neyse... Sonra Wright Karde\u015fler, 17 Aral\u0131k 1903\u2019te ilk insanl\u0131 u\u00e7u\u015fu ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015f. Yine gaflete d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam etmi\u015fiz. Mesela Frans\u0131z askeri stratejisti ve Birinci D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Frans\u0131z komutan\u0131 Mare\u015fal Ferdinand Foch... 1911\u2019de, \u201cU\u00e7aklar son derece ilgin\u00e7 oyuncaklar. Ama askeri a\u00e7\u0131dan be\u015f para etmezler\u201d buyurmu\u015f kendileri...<\/span><\/p>

Sevdiniz de\u011fil mi? Ben de...<\/span><\/p>

\u0130\u015fte birka\u00e7 gaflet \u00f6rne\u011fi daha:<\/span><\/p>

\u201cAtlar her zaman kullan\u0131lacakt\u0131r. Otomobil ise ancak ge\u00e7ici bir moda olabilir.\u201d<\/span><\/p>

Bu s\u00f6z\u00fc s\u00f6yleyen bir banka m\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc. Kredi talebi \u00fczerine \u00fcnl\u00fc sanayici Henry Ford\u2019a otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn gelece\u011fi konusunda ekspertiz verirken bu nutku atm\u0131\u015f. Y\u0131l 1903...<\/span><\/p>

Koca Alman \u0130mparatoru II. Wilhelm\u2019in 1905 y\u0131l\u0131nda s\u00f6yledikleri de banka m\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fcnden farkl\u0131 de\u011fil:<\/span><\/p>

\u201cBu m\u00fccadeleden at\u0131n galip \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131yorum. Otomobil sadece gelip ge\u00e7ici bir heves olacakt\u0131r!\u201d<\/span><\/p>

\u0130\u015f gaflete gelince bilimsel yay\u0131nlar bile \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131yor insan\u0131:<\/span><\/p>

\u201cGe\u00e7ti\u011fimiz bir y\u0131l i\u00e7inde otomobilin yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirecek herhangi bir ilerleme kaydedilmedi\u011fini dikkate al\u0131rsak, bu bulu\u015fun da geli\u015fme ve evrimini tamamlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sonucuna varabiliriz.\u201d Scientific American, 2 Ocak 1909...<\/span><\/p>

Bazen \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n zedelenece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi ile geli\u015fmeyi kabul etmeme e\u011filiminde oluyoruz: \u201cTelevizyon en ge\u00e7 alt\u0131 ay i\u00e7inde piyasadan silinecektir. \u0130nsanlar her ak\u015fam b\u00f6yle bir kutuya bakmak istemezler\u201d diyor Daryik F. Zanuck. Say\u0131n Zanuck kim derseniz, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck film end\u00fcstrisi kurulu\u015flar\u0131ndan 20. Century Fox\u2019un Ba\u015fkan\u0131. Y\u0131l 1944...<\/span><\/p>

Bazen de farkl\u0131 ama\u00e7larla... Amerikal\u0131 uzman cerrah Ian G. Macdonald\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6yledi\u011fine baksan\u0131za: \u201c\u0130nsanlar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu i\u00e7in sigara i\u00e7mek son derece yararl\u0131 ve sa\u011fl\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan faydal\u0131 bir \u015feydir.\u201d Tarih 18 Kas\u0131m 1963... Amac\u0131 siz kestirin art\u0131k...<\/span><\/p>

***<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Sanki biz gazeteciler farkl\u0131 m\u0131y\u0131z? Zanuck ile hemen hemen ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde New York Times\u2019\u0131n \u00fcnl\u00fc kalemi, \u201cTelevizyonun yayg\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131 i\u00e7in insan\u0131n bir yere oturup, ekrana g\u00f6zlerini dikmesi laz\u0131m. Oysa ortalama bir Amerikan ailesinin bunu yapmaya zaman\u0131 olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 rahatl\u0131kla s\u00f6yleyebilirim\u201d yorumunda bulunmu\u015f. Sadece Amerikal\u0131lar de\u011fil, herkes bakmaya devam ediyor.<\/span><\/p>

Bir ba\u015fka gazeteci John Watkins\u2019in \u2018sivrisineklerin gelece\u011fi\u2019 hakk\u0131ndaki \u015fu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc de ilgin\u00e7 geldi bana: \u201cSa\u011fl\u0131k bakanl\u0131klar\u0131 t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerde batakl\u0131klar\u0131 kurutaca\u011f\u0131, b\u00fct\u00fcn sulak alanlar zamanla yok olaca\u011f\u0131 ve durgun sular ila\u00e7lanaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in 2000 y\u0131l\u0131nda sivrisine\u011fin nesli t\u00fckenecek.\u201d<\/span><\/p>

2000 y\u0131l\u0131 gibi yuvarlak y\u0131llar, bu karavana tahminlerin i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 kabartm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u201c2000\u2019de evler u\u00e7abilecek ve aileler evleri ile birlikte ku\u015flar gibi kuzeyden g\u00fcneye g\u00f6\u00e7 edebilecek\u201d diyor \u00fcnl\u00fc bilim kurgu yazar\u0131 Arthur C. Clark. Y\u0131l 1966<\/span><\/p>

Ayn\u0131 y\u0131l 2000 y\u0131l\u0131na ili\u015fkin bir ba\u015fka kehanet de ABD Artrit Derne\u011fi Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Dr. William Clark\u2019tan gelmi\u015f:<\/span><\/p>

\u201c2000 y\u0131l\u0131nda artrit diye bir hastal\u0131k olmayacak!\u201d<\/span><\/p>

Y\u0131l 2021, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n d\u00f6rt bir yan\u0131nda h\u00e2l\u00e2 romatizmadan \u015fikayet\u00e7i milyonlar var.<\/span><\/p>

***<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u00d6rnekleri art\u0131rmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Ama san\u0131r\u0131m derdim anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131...<\/span><\/p>

Tabii, tecr\u00fcbeli y\u00f6neticilerin, uyan\u0131k giri\u015fimcilerin bile \u00e7evresindeki olaylar\u0131n fark\u0131na varamamas\u0131 veya bunlar\u0131 alg\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131 halde gerekli \u00f6nlemleri alamamas\u0131n\u0131n nedenleri var.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130zin verirseniz, onlar\u0131 da bir sonraki Eko-Mercek\u2019te ele alal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130\u00e7inden ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz bu zor d\u00f6nemde, hepinize gafletten uzak, sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 ve bereketli bir y\u0131l diliyorum.<\/span><\/p>

BULU\u015eUNUZ \u00c7OK \u015eA\u015eIRTICI AMA K\u0130M KULLANMAK \u0130STER?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Tarihi karavanalar\u0131n en ilgin\u00e7lerinden biri, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Rutherford B. Hayes\u2019e ait: \u201cBulu\u015funuz \u00e7ok \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 ama bu cihaz\u0131 kim kullanmak ister ki...\u201d Ba\u015fkan Hayes, telefonun mucidi Alexander Graham Bell\u2019in destek talebine bu cevab\u0131 vermi\u015f. Tarih 1876...<\/span><\/p>

Belki de ak\u0131l ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 yerler \u00e7ok sa\u011flam de\u011fildi Ba\u015fkan\u2019\u0131n. Ayn\u0131 y\u0131l Western Union \u015firketinin bir i\u00e7 yaz\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda da \u015funlar s\u00f6yleniyordu:<\/span><\/p>

\u201cTelefonun ciddi bir haberle\u015fme arac\u0131 olarak kullan\u0131lmas\u0131na engel olacak bir\u00e7ok eksiklikler var. Alet bizim a\u00e7\u0131m\u0131zdan hi\u00e7bir de\u011fer ifade etmiyor.\u201d<\/span><\/p>

En az onun kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir gaflet \u00f6rne\u011fi Yale \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nde bir profes\u00f6r\u00fcn, Federal Express\u2019in kurucusu Frederick W. Smith\u2019e \u00f6\u011frencilik y\u0131llar\u0131nda kargo ve acele paket ula\u015f\u0131m\u0131 konusundaki d\u00f6nem \u00f6devi ile ilgili yorumu: \u201c\u00d6deviniz ilgin\u00e7 ve fena de\u011fil. Ancak bu i\u015f fikri uygulanabilir olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in \u2018orta\u2019 not veriyorum.\u201d Bazen i\u015fin tam i\u00e7inde de olsan\u0131z, basiretiniz ba\u011flanabiliyor.<\/span><\/p>

Bilgisayar denilince ilk akla gelen kurumlardan biri IBM\u2019in Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Thomas Watson\u2019a g\u00f6re, \u201cD\u00fcnya piyasas\u0131, 5 bilgisayardan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 kald\u0131ramaz.\u201d<\/span><\/p>

Haydi, Watson bunu 1943\u2019te s\u00f6ylemi\u015f. Ya Dijital Equipment\u2019in kurucusu Kenneth Olsen\u2019in 1977\u2019de dedi\u011fi: \u201c\u0130nsanlar\u0131n kendi evlerinde bir bilgisayar sahibi olmak isteyeceklerini hi\u00e7 sanm\u0131yorum.\u201d<\/span><\/p>

Sineman\u0131n mucidi Lumiere Karde\u015fler\u2019den Louis Lumiere\u2019nin, \u201cSesli film ger\u00e7ekten ilgin\u00e7 bir ke\u015fif ama ben bu modan\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede ge\u00e7ece\u011fine inan\u0131yorum. Bir kez, her \u015feyden \u00f6nce ses ve hareketin mutlak e\u015fle\u015ftirilmesi hi\u00e7bir zaman m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmayacakt\u0131r\u201d<\/span>iddias\u0131 da bir o kadar \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131...<\/span><\/p>

Lumiere, bu kehanetle de yetinmemi\u015f. Bir de \u015fu tespiti yapm\u0131\u015f: \u201cUnutmayal\u0131m, sinema tiyatro olamaz ve olmamal\u0131d\u0131r.\u201d<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"cikarilacak-daha-cok-icat-var","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u00c7\u0131kar\u0131lacak daha \u00e7ok icat var","meta_description":"Hakan G\u00fclda\u011f","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1139,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":1,"name":"HAKAN","surname":"G\u00dcLDA\u011e","email":"uakisik@eronat.com.tr","slug":"hakan-guldag","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600kKPzKvWx8Xpxx9n.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:32.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":24389,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":24290,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u00c7\u0131kar\u0131lacak daha \u00e7ok icat var","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Hakan G\u00fclda\u011f<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Hat\u0131rlayacaks\u0131n\u0131z, 2021\u2019e girerken Eko-Mercek\u2019te \u00fcnl\u00fc tarih\u00e7i Fernand Braudel\u2019in bir s\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc aktarm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. \u201cTarihteki hareket, \u00fc\u00e7 farkl\u0131 \u015fekilde incelenebilir: H\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fenler, yava\u015f de\u011fi\u015fenler ve hi\u00e7 de\u011fi\u015fmeyenler...\u201d diyordu Braudel. Onun bu s\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc aktar\u0131p, tarihte oldu\u011fu gibi gelecekte de her \u015feyin ayn\u0131 h\u0131zda de\u011fi\u015fmeyece\u011fini vurgulamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. \u00d6zellikle de insan\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015ften gelen kimi \u00f6zellikleri ve davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan...<\/span><\/p>

Tabii bu \u00f6zellikler zaman zaman \u2018gaflete d\u00fc\u015fmenin\u2019 de kayna\u011f\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Alanlar\u0131n\u0131n en etkili ve yetkili ki\u015filerinin bile...<\/span><\/p>

Mesela Amerika Patent Dairesi Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Charles Duell\u2019in s\u00f6z\u00fcm ona kehaneti... \u201cArt\u0131k yeni hi\u00e7bir \u015fey yok. \u0130cat edilebilecek her \u015fey icat edildi\u201d diyordu Duell 1899\u2019da. \u015ea\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil mi? Ama ger\u00e7ek! \u00c7ok yetkin say\u0131lan insanlar gaflete d\u00fc\u015febiliyor kolayl\u0131kla.<\/span><\/p>

Asl\u0131na bakarsan\u0131z, tarih b\u00f6ylesi karavana at\u0131\u015flarla dolu. Bak\u0131n Romal\u0131 m\u00fchendis Julius Sextus Frontinus, nas\u0131l bir kehanette bulunmu\u015f: <\/span><\/p>

\u201cYap\u0131labilecek t\u00fcm icatlar yap\u0131ld\u0131. Yeni bir icat yap\u0131lmas\u0131 imkans\u0131z art\u0131k...\u201d <\/span><\/p>

Milattan Sonra 10 y\u0131l\u0131nda ya da 20\u2019nci y\u00fczy\u0131la bir kala...<\/span><\/p>

Zihniyetteki benzerlik m\u00fcthi\u015f de\u011fil mi? Tabii gafletin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc de...<\/span><\/p>

***<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Ya d\u00f6neminin \u00f6nde gelen fizik\u00e7isi Lord Kelvin\u2019e ne demeli? 1895\u2019te \u015fu kehanette bulunmu\u015f: \u201cHavadan daha a\u011f\u0131r u\u00e7an makinalar\u0131n yap\u0131lmas\u0131 imkans\u0131zd\u0131r.\u201d<\/span><\/p>

Ger\u00e7i \u0130sko\u00e7 bilim adam\u0131 Lord Kelvin\u2019in b\u00f6yle karavanalar\u0131 \u00e7ok. Kendisi, \u201cRadyonun gelece\u011fi yok\u201d kehanetinin de sahibi...<\/span><\/p>

Neyse... Sonra Wright Karde\u015fler, 17 Aral\u0131k 1903\u2019te ilk insanl\u0131 u\u00e7u\u015fu ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015f. Yine gaflete d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam etmi\u015fiz. Mesela Frans\u0131z askeri stratejisti ve Birinci D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Frans\u0131z komutan\u0131 Mare\u015fal Ferdinand Foch... 1911\u2019de, \u201cU\u00e7aklar son derece ilgin\u00e7 oyuncaklar. Ama askeri a\u00e7\u0131dan be\u015f para etmezler\u201d buyurmu\u015f kendileri...<\/span><\/p>

Sevdiniz de\u011fil mi? Ben de...<\/span><\/p>

\u0130\u015fte birka\u00e7 gaflet \u00f6rne\u011fi daha:<\/span><\/p>

\u201cAtlar her zaman kullan\u0131lacakt\u0131r. Otomobil ise ancak ge\u00e7ici bir moda olabilir.\u201d<\/span><\/p>

Bu s\u00f6z\u00fc s\u00f6yleyen bir banka m\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc. Kredi talebi \u00fczerine \u00fcnl\u00fc sanayici Henry Ford\u2019a otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn gelece\u011fi konusunda ekspertiz verirken bu nutku atm\u0131\u015f. Y\u0131l 1903...<\/span><\/p>

Koca Alman \u0130mparatoru II. Wilhelm\u2019in 1905 y\u0131l\u0131nda s\u00f6yledikleri de banka m\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fcnden farkl\u0131 de\u011fil:<\/span><\/p>

\u201cBu m\u00fccadeleden at\u0131n galip \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131yorum. Otomobil sadece gelip ge\u00e7ici bir heves olacakt\u0131r!\u201d<\/span><\/p>

\u0130\u015f gaflete gelince bilimsel yay\u0131nlar bile \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131yor insan\u0131:<\/span><\/p>

\u201cGe\u00e7ti\u011fimiz bir y\u0131l i\u00e7inde otomobilin yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirecek herhangi bir ilerleme kaydedilmedi\u011fini dikkate al\u0131rsak, bu bulu\u015fun da geli\u015fme ve evrimini tamamlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sonucuna varabiliriz.\u201d Scientific American, 2 Ocak 1909...<\/span><\/p>

Bazen \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n zedelenece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi ile geli\u015fmeyi kabul etmeme e\u011filiminde oluyoruz: \u201cTelevizyon en ge\u00e7 alt\u0131 ay i\u00e7inde piyasadan silinecektir. \u0130nsanlar her ak\u015fam b\u00f6yle bir kutuya bakmak istemezler\u201d diyor Daryik F. Zanuck. Say\u0131n Zanuck kim derseniz, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck film end\u00fcstrisi kurulu\u015flar\u0131ndan 20. Century Fox\u2019un Ba\u015fkan\u0131. Y\u0131l 1944...<\/span><\/p>

Bazen de farkl\u0131 ama\u00e7larla... Amerikal\u0131 uzman cerrah Ian G. Macdonald\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6yledi\u011fine baksan\u0131za: \u201c\u0130nsanlar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu i\u00e7in sigara i\u00e7mek son derece yararl\u0131 ve sa\u011fl\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan faydal\u0131 bir \u015feydir.\u201d Tarih 18 Kas\u0131m 1963... Amac\u0131 siz kestirin art\u0131k...<\/span><\/p>

***<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Sanki biz gazeteciler farkl\u0131 m\u0131y\u0131z? Zanuck ile hemen hemen ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde New York Times\u2019\u0131n \u00fcnl\u00fc kalemi, \u201cTelevizyonun yayg\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131 i\u00e7in insan\u0131n bir yere oturup, ekrana g\u00f6zlerini dikmesi laz\u0131m. Oysa ortalama bir Amerikan ailesinin bunu yapmaya zaman\u0131 olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 rahatl\u0131kla s\u00f6yleyebilirim\u201d yorumunda bulunmu\u015f. Sadece Amerikal\u0131lar de\u011fil, herkes bakmaya devam ediyor.<\/span><\/p>

Bir ba\u015fka gazeteci John Watkins\u2019in \u2018sivrisineklerin gelece\u011fi\u2019 hakk\u0131ndaki \u015fu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc de ilgin\u00e7 geldi bana: \u201cSa\u011fl\u0131k bakanl\u0131klar\u0131 t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerde batakl\u0131klar\u0131 kurutaca\u011f\u0131, b\u00fct\u00fcn sulak alanlar zamanla yok olaca\u011f\u0131 ve durgun sular ila\u00e7lanaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in 2000 y\u0131l\u0131nda sivrisine\u011fin nesli t\u00fckenecek.\u201d<\/span><\/p>

2000 y\u0131l\u0131 gibi yuvarlak y\u0131llar, bu karavana tahminlerin i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 kabartm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u201c2000\u2019de evler u\u00e7abilecek ve aileler evleri ile birlikte ku\u015flar gibi kuzeyden g\u00fcneye g\u00f6\u00e7 edebilecek\u201d diyor \u00fcnl\u00fc bilim kurgu yazar\u0131 Arthur C. Clark. Y\u0131l 1966<\/span><\/p>

Ayn\u0131 y\u0131l 2000 y\u0131l\u0131na ili\u015fkin bir ba\u015fka kehanet de ABD Artrit Derne\u011fi Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Dr. William Clark\u2019tan gelmi\u015f:<\/span><\/p>

\u201c2000 y\u0131l\u0131nda artrit diye bir hastal\u0131k olmayacak!\u201d<\/span><\/p>

Y\u0131l 2021, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n d\u00f6rt bir yan\u0131nda h\u00e2l\u00e2 romatizmadan \u015fikayet\u00e7i milyonlar var.<\/span><\/p>

***<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u00d6rnekleri art\u0131rmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Ama san\u0131r\u0131m derdim anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131...<\/span><\/p>

Tabii, tecr\u00fcbeli y\u00f6neticilerin, uyan\u0131k giri\u015fimcilerin bile \u00e7evresindeki olaylar\u0131n fark\u0131na varamamas\u0131 veya bunlar\u0131 alg\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131 halde gerekli \u00f6nlemleri alamamas\u0131n\u0131n nedenleri var.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130zin verirseniz, onlar\u0131 da bir sonraki Eko-Mercek\u2019te ele alal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130\u00e7inden ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz bu zor d\u00f6nemde, hepinize gafletten uzak, sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 ve bereketli bir y\u0131l diliyorum.<\/span><\/p>

BULU\u015eUNUZ \u00c7OK \u015eA\u015eIRTICI AMA K\u0130M KULLANMAK \u0130STER?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Tarihi karavanalar\u0131n en ilgin\u00e7lerinden biri, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Rutherford B. Hayes\u2019e ait: \u201cBulu\u015funuz \u00e7ok \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 ama bu cihaz\u0131 kim kullanmak ister ki...\u201d Ba\u015fkan Hayes, telefonun mucidi Alexander Graham Bell\u2019in destek talebine bu cevab\u0131 vermi\u015f. Tarih 1876...<\/span><\/p>

Belki de ak\u0131l ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 yerler \u00e7ok sa\u011flam de\u011fildi Ba\u015fkan\u2019\u0131n. Ayn\u0131 y\u0131l Western Union \u015firketinin bir i\u00e7 yaz\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda da \u015funlar s\u00f6yleniyordu:<\/span><\/p>

\u201cTelefonun ciddi bir haberle\u015fme arac\u0131 olarak kullan\u0131lmas\u0131na engel olacak bir\u00e7ok eksiklikler var. Alet bizim a\u00e7\u0131m\u0131zdan hi\u00e7bir de\u011fer ifade etmiyor.\u201d<\/span><\/p>

En az onun kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir gaflet \u00f6rne\u011fi Yale \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nde bir profes\u00f6r\u00fcn, Federal Express\u2019in kurucusu Frederick W. Smith\u2019e \u00f6\u011frencilik y\u0131llar\u0131nda kargo ve acele paket ula\u015f\u0131m\u0131 konusundaki d\u00f6nem \u00f6devi ile ilgili yorumu: \u201c\u00d6deviniz ilgin\u00e7 ve fena de\u011fil. Ancak bu i\u015f fikri uygulanabilir olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in \u2018orta\u2019 not veriyorum.\u201d Bazen i\u015fin tam i\u00e7inde de olsan\u0131z, basiretiniz ba\u011flanabiliyor.<\/span><\/p>

Bilgisayar denilince ilk akla gelen kurumlardan biri IBM\u2019in Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Thomas Watson\u2019a g\u00f6re, \u201cD\u00fcnya piyasas\u0131, 5 bilgisayardan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 kald\u0131ramaz.\u201d<\/span><\/p>

Haydi, Watson bunu 1943\u2019te s\u00f6ylemi\u015f. Ya Dijital Equipment\u2019in kurucusu Kenneth Olsen\u2019in 1977\u2019de dedi\u011fi: \u201c\u0130nsanlar\u0131n kendi evlerinde bir bilgisayar sahibi olmak isteyeceklerini hi\u00e7 sanm\u0131yorum.\u201d<\/span><\/p>

Sineman\u0131n mucidi Lumiere Karde\u015fler\u2019den Louis Lumiere\u2019nin, \u201cSesli film ger\u00e7ekten ilgin\u00e7 bir ke\u015fif ama ben bu modan\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede ge\u00e7ece\u011fine inan\u0131yorum. Bir kez, her \u015feyden \u00f6nce ses ve hareketin mutlak e\u015fle\u015ftirilmesi hi\u00e7bir zaman m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmayacakt\u0131r\u201d<\/span>iddias\u0131 da bir o kadar \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131...<\/span><\/p>

Lumiere, bu kehanetle de yetinmemi\u015f. Bir de \u015fu tespiti yapm\u0131\u015f: \u201cUnutmayal\u0131m, sinema tiyatro olamaz ve olmamal\u0131d\u0131r.\u201d<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"cikarilacak-daha-cok-icat-var","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u00c7\u0131kar\u0131lacak daha \u00e7ok icat var","meta_description":"Hakan G\u00fclda\u011f","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1139,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}