{"status":true,"post":{"id":23846,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:33:55","created_at":"2020-12-10T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:33:55.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":23846,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u2018B\u00f6lgesellik\u2019 ve \u2018Covid\u2019 navlunu u\u00e7urdu","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz mart sonundan beri \u2018Covid-19\u2019 k\u00fcresel vir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya ekonomisi ve k\u00fcresel ticarete etkisini konu\u015fuyor ve tart\u0131\u015f\u0131yoruz. Bununla birlikte, k\u00fcresel anlamda d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki daralman\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemin \u2018\u00f6ncelikli\u2019 konular\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6lgelemeli. K\u00fcresel ticarette b\u00f6lgeselle\u015fme ve yak\u0131n co\u011frafyadan tedarik. Pandemi atlat\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra bu iki ba\u015fl\u0131kta \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 geli\u015fme ve de\u011fi\u015fimlerin ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zlemleyece\u011fiz. Bilhassa, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftalarda imzalanan B\u00f6lgesel Kapsaml\u0131 Ekonomik Ortakl\u0131k Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (RCEP) anlamam\u0131z a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>LOJ\u0130ST\u0130K MERKEZ\u0130 A\u00c7ILMALI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">10 G\u00fcney Do\u011fu Asya \u00fclkesi ile \u00c7in, G\u00fcney Kore, Japonya, Avustralya ve Yeni Zelanda aras\u0131nda ekonomi tarihinin en geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 ekonomik ve ticari i\u015fbirli\u011fi anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131n\u0131n temel nedeni, Asya\u2019da \u2018b\u00f6lgeselle\u015fme\u2019nin etkisinin artm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131. 2000\u2019li y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda Asya\u2019n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi d\u0131\u015f ticaret i\u00e7erisinde, Asya \u00fclkelerinin kendi aralar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi d\u0131\u015f ticaretin pay\u0131 sadece y\u00fczde 16\u2019yd\u0131. Bu rakam, 2010\u2019da ikiye katlanarak y\u00fczde 32\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. 2020\u2019de ise ayn\u0131 oran art\u0131k y\u00fczde 60. Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n toplam d\u0131\u015f ticaretinde intra-ticaret, yani Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n kendi i\u00e7erisinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi ticaretin pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 70.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu geli\u015fmeler, Asya ve Avrupa\u2019da k\u00fcresel ticarette b\u00f6lgeselle\u015fmenin ne kadar yo\u011funluk kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ederken, konu Kuzey Amerika oldu\u011funda ayn\u0131 oran y\u00fczde 30\u2019a, Latin Amerika\u2019da y\u00fczde 18\u2019e ve Afrika\u2019da y\u00fczde 25\u2019e iniyor. Bu nedenle, ABD ve Afrika\u2019n\u0131n k\u00fcresel ticarette d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, pandeminin sebep oldu\u011fu risklerle birlikte yak\u0131n co\u011frafyadan tedariki daha da \u00f6ncelikli k\u0131ld\u0131. Bu durum, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Kuzey Amerika\u2019ya, Latin Amerika\u2019ya ve Afrika\u2019ya ihracat\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131racak \u00f6nemli bir de\u011fi\u015fimi de h\u0131zland\u0131racak. Bu nedenle, bu \u00fc\u00e7 co\u011frafyada en az 2-3 T\u00fcrkiye lojistik merkezi a\u00e7mak \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>KITALAR ARASI DENGES\u0130ZLE\u015eEN T\u0130CARET<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Pandeminin sebep oldu\u011fu en kritik sorunlardan biri ise k\u0131talar aras\u0131 dengesizle\u015fen d\u0131\u015f ticaret. Pandemi \u00f6ncesinde, k\u0131talar aras\u0131nda ihracat-ithalat hacmi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kabul edilebilir bir fark s\u00f6z konusu iken, bu nedenle \u00fclkeler birbirlerine makul bir adet fark\u0131yla konteyn\u0131r ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla mal g\u00f6nderirken; bug\u00fcn, pandemi nedeniyle kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 konteyner g\u00f6nderimlerinde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir adet dengesizli\u011fi ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Hijyen ve g\u00fcvenilir ticaret kurallar\u0131n\u0131n da sertle\u015fmesiyle konteyn\u0131r\u0131n bo\u015falt\u0131lmas\u0131 ve geri g\u00f6nderilmesi 10 g\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f durumda. Avrupa ise karayolu ve demiryoluna a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vermi\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu nedenle, k\u00fcresel ticaretin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc tutan denizcilikte konteyn\u0131r ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda s\u00fcrelerin uzamas\u0131, daha da \u00f6nemlisi bo\u015f konteyn\u0131r bulunamamas\u0131, navlun maliyetlerini 2 bin 500 dolardan, 6 bin 800 dolara \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Bununla birlikte, Balt\u0131k kuru y\u00fck, yani d\u00f6kme navlun maliyetlerinde bu art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6zlenmiyor. G\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, ilkbahar gibi fiyatlar b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde normalle\u015fir. <\/span><span class=\"large\">Ancak, bizleri navlun fiyatlar\u0131nda pahal\u0131 birka\u00e7 ay bekliyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>B\u0130DEN, \u2018YUMU\u015eAK G\u00dc\u00c7\u2019 VE \u2018M\u00dcTTEF\u0130KL\u0130K\u2019<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bir hafta sonra, ABD\u2019nin se\u00e7im sistemi gere\u011fi, eyaletlerdeki se\u00e7menleri temsilen se\u00e7ilmi\u015f \u2018delegeler\u2019, ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirecekleri oylama ile ABD\u2019nin bir sonraki Ba\u015fkan ve Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra eyaletleri baz\u0131nda \u00f6nemli pozisyon i\u00e7in de karar verecekler. Bu oylamadan, tarihi bir s\u00fcrpriz olmazsa, Joe Biden ve Kamala Harris se\u00e7ilecek. Biden\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkan se\u00e7ildi\u011finin netlik kazanmas\u0131ndan sonra yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 pek \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131klama, Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n \u2018d\u00fcnya jandarmal\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019ndan ABD\u2019yi uzakla\u015ft\u0131rma mesajlar\u0131n\u0131n aksine, \u2018patron geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u2019 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde mesajlar oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zleniyor.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Biden \u0131srarla \u2018sert g\u00fc\u00e7\u2019 unsurlar\u0131yla d\u00fcnya meselelerine m\u00fcdahale edecek bir ABD yerine, son noktaya kadar \u2018yumu\u015fak g\u00fc\u00e7\u2019 unsurlar\u0131yla m\u00fccadele edecek bir ABD imaj\u0131 \u00e7iziyor; mesajlar\u0131n\u0131 buna g\u00f6re veriyor. Ba\u015fkan Obama d\u00f6neminde, Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Bush\u2019a g\u00f6re, ABD 10 kat daha fazla drone bazl\u0131 hava sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Bu nedenle, Ba\u015fkan\u2019\u0131n Demokrat veya Cumhuriyet\u00e7i olmas\u0131, ABD\u2019nin \u2018askeri m\u00fcdahale\u2019 e\u011filimi konusunda \u2018yanl\u0131\u015f\u2019 bir beklenti olu\u015fturmas\u0131n. Biden, \u2018\u00e7ok tarafl\u0131l\u0131k\u2019 ilkesine olan inanc\u0131yla daha \u2018bar\u0131\u015f\u00e7\u0131l\u2019 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler i\u00e7in \u00e7aba sarf edecek, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fkusuz.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"bolgesellik-ve-covid-navlunu-ucurdu","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u2018B\u00f6lgesellik\u2019 ve \u2018Covid\u2019 navlunu u\u00e7urdu","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1062,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":23945,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":23846,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u2018B\u00f6lgesellik\u2019 ve \u2018Covid\u2019 navlunu u\u00e7urdu","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz mart sonundan beri \u2018Covid-19\u2019 k\u00fcresel vir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya ekonomisi ve k\u00fcresel ticarete etkisini konu\u015fuyor ve tart\u0131\u015f\u0131yoruz. Bununla birlikte, k\u00fcresel anlamda d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki daralman\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemin \u2018\u00f6ncelikli\u2019 konular\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6lgelemeli. K\u00fcresel ticarette b\u00f6lgeselle\u015fme ve yak\u0131n co\u011frafyadan tedarik. Pandemi atlat\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra bu iki ba\u015fl\u0131kta \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 geli\u015fme ve de\u011fi\u015fimlerin ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zlemleyece\u011fiz. Bilhassa, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftalarda imzalanan B\u00f6lgesel Kapsaml\u0131 Ekonomik Ortakl\u0131k Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (RCEP) anlamam\u0131z a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>LOJ\u0130ST\u0130K MERKEZ\u0130 A\u00c7ILMALI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">10 G\u00fcney Do\u011fu Asya \u00fclkesi ile \u00c7in, G\u00fcney Kore, Japonya, Avustralya ve Yeni Zelanda aras\u0131nda ekonomi tarihinin en geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 ekonomik ve ticari i\u015fbirli\u011fi anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131n\u0131n temel nedeni, Asya\u2019da \u2018b\u00f6lgeselle\u015fme\u2019nin etkisinin artm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131. 2000\u2019li y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda Asya\u2019n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi d\u0131\u015f ticaret i\u00e7erisinde, Asya \u00fclkelerinin kendi aralar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi d\u0131\u015f ticaretin pay\u0131 sadece y\u00fczde 16\u2019yd\u0131. Bu rakam, 2010\u2019da ikiye katlanarak y\u00fczde 32\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. 2020\u2019de ise ayn\u0131 oran art\u0131k y\u00fczde 60. Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n toplam d\u0131\u015f ticaretinde intra-ticaret, yani Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n kendi i\u00e7erisinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi ticaretin pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 70.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu geli\u015fmeler, Asya ve Avrupa\u2019da k\u00fcresel ticarette b\u00f6lgeselle\u015fmenin ne kadar yo\u011funluk kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ederken, konu Kuzey Amerika oldu\u011funda ayn\u0131 oran y\u00fczde 30\u2019a, Latin Amerika\u2019da y\u00fczde 18\u2019e ve Afrika\u2019da y\u00fczde 25\u2019e iniyor. Bu nedenle, ABD ve Afrika\u2019n\u0131n k\u00fcresel ticarette d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, pandeminin sebep oldu\u011fu risklerle birlikte yak\u0131n co\u011frafyadan tedariki daha da \u00f6ncelikli k\u0131ld\u0131. Bu durum, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Kuzey Amerika\u2019ya, Latin Amerika\u2019ya ve Afrika\u2019ya ihracat\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131racak \u00f6nemli bir de\u011fi\u015fimi de h\u0131zland\u0131racak. Bu nedenle, bu \u00fc\u00e7 co\u011frafyada en az 2-3 T\u00fcrkiye lojistik merkezi a\u00e7mak \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>KITALAR ARASI DENGES\u0130ZLE\u015eEN T\u0130CARET<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Pandeminin sebep oldu\u011fu en kritik sorunlardan biri ise k\u0131talar aras\u0131 dengesizle\u015fen d\u0131\u015f ticaret. Pandemi \u00f6ncesinde, k\u0131talar aras\u0131nda ihracat-ithalat hacmi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kabul edilebilir bir fark s\u00f6z konusu iken, bu nedenle \u00fclkeler birbirlerine makul bir adet fark\u0131yla konteyn\u0131r ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla mal g\u00f6nderirken; bug\u00fcn, pandemi nedeniyle kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 konteyner g\u00f6nderimlerinde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir adet dengesizli\u011fi ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Hijyen ve g\u00fcvenilir ticaret kurallar\u0131n\u0131n da sertle\u015fmesiyle konteyn\u0131r\u0131n bo\u015falt\u0131lmas\u0131 ve geri g\u00f6nderilmesi 10 g\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f durumda. Avrupa ise karayolu ve demiryoluna a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vermi\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu nedenle, k\u00fcresel ticaretin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc tutan denizcilikte konteyn\u0131r ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda s\u00fcrelerin uzamas\u0131, daha da \u00f6nemlisi bo\u015f konteyn\u0131r bulunamamas\u0131, navlun maliyetlerini 2 bin 500 dolardan, 6 bin 800 dolara \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Bununla birlikte, Balt\u0131k kuru y\u00fck, yani d\u00f6kme navlun maliyetlerinde bu art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6zlenmiyor. G\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, ilkbahar gibi fiyatlar b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde normalle\u015fir. <\/span><span class=\"large\">Ancak, bizleri navlun fiyatlar\u0131nda pahal\u0131 birka\u00e7 ay bekliyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>B\u0130DEN, \u2018YUMU\u015eAK G\u00dc\u00c7\u2019 VE \u2018M\u00dcTTEF\u0130KL\u0130K\u2019<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bir hafta sonra, ABD\u2019nin se\u00e7im sistemi gere\u011fi, eyaletlerdeki se\u00e7menleri temsilen se\u00e7ilmi\u015f \u2018delegeler\u2019, ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirecekleri oylama ile ABD\u2019nin bir sonraki Ba\u015fkan ve Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra eyaletleri baz\u0131nda \u00f6nemli pozisyon i\u00e7in de karar verecekler. Bu oylamadan, tarihi bir s\u00fcrpriz olmazsa, Joe Biden ve Kamala Harris se\u00e7ilecek. Biden\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkan se\u00e7ildi\u011finin netlik kazanmas\u0131ndan sonra yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 pek \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131klama, Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n \u2018d\u00fcnya jandarmal\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019ndan ABD\u2019yi uzakla\u015ft\u0131rma mesajlar\u0131n\u0131n aksine, \u2018patron geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u2019 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde mesajlar oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zleniyor.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Biden \u0131srarla \u2018sert g\u00fc\u00e7\u2019 unsurlar\u0131yla d\u00fcnya meselelerine m\u00fcdahale edecek bir ABD yerine, son noktaya kadar \u2018yumu\u015fak g\u00fc\u00e7\u2019 unsurlar\u0131yla m\u00fccadele edecek bir ABD imaj\u0131 \u00e7iziyor; mesajlar\u0131n\u0131 buna g\u00f6re veriyor. Ba\u015fkan Obama d\u00f6neminde, Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Bush\u2019a g\u00f6re, ABD 10 kat daha fazla drone bazl\u0131 hava sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Bu nedenle, Ba\u015fkan\u2019\u0131n Demokrat veya Cumhuriyet\u00e7i olmas\u0131, ABD\u2019nin \u2018askeri m\u00fcdahale\u2019 e\u011filimi konusunda \u2018yanl\u0131\u015f\u2019 bir beklenti olu\u015fturmas\u0131n. Biden, \u2018\u00e7ok tarafl\u0131l\u0131k\u2019 ilkesine olan inanc\u0131yla daha \u2018bar\u0131\u015f\u00e7\u0131l\u2019 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler i\u00e7in \u00e7aba sarf edecek, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fkusuz.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"bolgesellik-ve-covid-navlunu-ucurdu","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u2018B\u00f6lgesellik\u2019 ve \u2018Covid\u2019 navlunu u\u00e7urdu","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1062,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}