{"status":true,"post":{"id":59118,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2024-12-23 07:50:00","created_at":"2024-12-23T04:50:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-23T04:50:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-23 07:50:00","source_id":null,"post_id":59118,"is_featured":0,"title":"B\u00f6lgesel enerji denkleminde yeni d\u00f6nem","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":"B\u00f6lgesel enerji denkleminde yeni d\u00f6nem","sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","content":"

<\/span>1990\u2019da Libya\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol \u00fcretimi 1.4 milyon varile yak\u0131nd\u0131. Muammer Kaddafi\u2019nin 2011\u2019de \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclmesi ve Libya\u2019n\u0131n kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011fa s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmesinden \u00f6nce g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcretim 2 milyon varile \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Sonras\u0131nda Libya\u2019daki \u00fcretim 500 bin varilin alt\u0131na indi, 1990\u2019da Irak\u2019\u0131n petrol \u00fcretimi 2 milyon varildi. 1. K\u00f6rfez Sava\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131nda 500 bin varile d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. 2000\u2019lerin ba\u015flar\u0131nda 2.5 milyon varile \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Sonra 2. K\u00f6rfez Sava\u015f\u0131 ve Saddam H\u00fcseyin idam edildi. Petrol \u00fcretimi 1 milyon varile- geriledi. Suriye i\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ncesi g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol \u00fcretimi 343 bin varildi. 2014\u2019ten beri \u00fcretim 20 ile 30 bin varil band\u0131nda. Hem Kaddafi\u2019nin hem H\u00fcseyin\u2019in petrol \u00fcretimi hedefleri, g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcretimi iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131karmakt\u0131. Libya\u2019da 46 ile 50 milyar varil, Irak\u2019ta ise 145 milyar varil petrol rezervi oldu\u011fu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Irak ve Libya\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck karga\u015fa ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemde d\u00fcnya petrol piyasas\u0131ndan 3 milyon varil \u00e7ekildi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte petrol arz\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya girmedi. Hatta, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir h\u0131zla artmaya devam eden petrol t\u00fcketimi, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir arz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131. K\u00fcresel petrol ihracat\u0131n\u0131n 2023 sonu itibariyle y\u00fczde 16.3\u2019\u00fcn\u00fc kar\u015f\u0131layan Suudi Arabistan, 210 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015fan ihracat geliriyle ilk s\u0131rada. Rusya, Ukrayna Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019na ra\u011fmen ihracat\u0131n y\u00fczde 9.1\u2019ini kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor ve 117.2 milyar dolar ihracat geliri elde ediyor. ABD ise 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda Kongre\u2019nin 40 y\u0131ll\u0131k ihracat yasa\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kald\u0131rmas\u0131 sonras\u0131nda, 7 y\u0131lda tarihi bir ihracat ve gelir s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131 yakalam\u0131\u015f ve Rusya\u2019yla ayn\u0131 d\u00fczeye gelmi\u015f durumda. G\u00fcn\u00fcn sonunda, k\u00fcresel enerji oyunu kimin rakibini nas\u0131l oyun d\u0131\u015f\u0131, saf d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131 kurgusu \u00fczerine kurulu. K\u00fcresel petrol arz\u0131 ve ihracat\u0131nda oyunda kalmak i\u00e7in \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc strateji y\u00fcr\u00fctmek gerekiyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

BATILI \u015e\u0130RKETLER\u0130N HAK\u0130M\u0130YET\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n 1960\u2019lar ve 70\u2019lerde g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol \u00fcretimi 6 milyon varil civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. \u0130ran-Irak Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019nda 1.5 milyon varile d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Sava\u015f sonras\u0131 \u00f6nce 3, sonras\u0131nda 4 milyon varile \u00e7\u0131kan g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol \u00fcretimi, tekrar 3 milyon varile gerilemi\u015f durumda. A\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak bat\u0131l\u0131 \u015firketlerin Irak petrol \u00fcretimi ve ihracat\u0131na hakim oldu\u011fu bug\u00fcn\u00fcn enerji oyununda, Irak\u2019\u0131n 2023 k\u00fcresel petrol ihracat\u0131ndaki pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 7.7 ve 99.5 milyar dolar ihracat gelirinden s\u00f6z ediyoruz. 7. s\u0131radaki Irak\u2019a g\u00f6re, Libya y\u00fczde 2.4\u2019l\u00fck pay ve 30.4 milyar dolarla ancak 14. s\u0131rada. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol ihracat\u0131 1980-2023 ortalamas\u0131na g\u00f6re kabaca g\u00fcnl\u00fck olarak 1 milyon varilin alt\u0131nda. 41 milyar dolar ihracat geliriyle 11. s\u0131rada yer alan ve 42.3 milyar dolar gelir elde eden Kazakistan\u2019\u0131n hemen alt\u0131nda. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Irak, Libya ve Suriye\u2019nin toprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ad\u0131na ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi tarihi hamleler, k\u00fcresel enerji oyununda da dengelerin de\u011fi\u015fmesi anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

KALKINMA YOLU PROJES\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

Irak\u2019la birlikte, Katar\u2019\u0131n da kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck etti\u011fi Kalk\u0131nma Yolu Projesi, bu projeyle birlikte hayat bulacak liman, karayolu, demiryolu ve boru hatt\u0131 projeleri, Suriye\u2019de kal\u0131c\u0131 bar\u0131\u015f ve istikrar\u0131n tesis edilmesiyle birlikte, K\u00f6rfez\u2019den ve Do\u011fu Akdeniz\u2019den boru hatt\u0131 ile gelecek petrol ve do\u011falgaz\u0131n, Suriye \u00fczerinden T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ve oradan da \u00f6ncelikle Avrupa\u2019ya ve d\u00fcnyaya ula\u015fmas\u0131, Libya\u2019n\u0131n toprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve istikrar\u0131n\u0131n sebep olaca\u011f\u0131 yeni enerji denklemi, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck fosil yak\u0131t rezervlerinin oldu\u011fu bu derece kritik bir co\u011frafyada b\u00f6lgesel enerji denkleminde yeni bir d\u00f6nem anlam\u0131na da geliyor. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n da belirttikleri \u00fczere, T\u00fcrkiye dengeli, iddial\u0131 ve hakkaniyetli politikalarla co\u011frafyam\u0131zdaki t\u00fcm muhataral\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7leri ba\u015far\u0131yla y\u00f6netiyor, \u00fclkelerin kalk\u0131nma ve istikrar boyutunda kaderlerini de\u011fi\u015ftiriyor; co\u011frafyas\u0131nda bar\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in en zorlu, en takdir g\u00f6ren sorumluluklar\u0131 \u00fcstlenerek, hi\u00e7 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar emin ad\u0131mlarla T\u00fcrkiye Y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131\u2019n\u0131n parlak, huzurlu, m\u00fcreffeh g\u00fcnlerine ilerliyor.<\/span><\/p>

keremalkin@superonline.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>","slug":"bolgesel-enerji-denkleminde-yeni-donem","tags":null,"meta_title":"B\u00f6lgesel enerji denkleminde yeni d\u00f6nem","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":0,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":59244,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":59118,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"B\u00f6lgesel enerji denkleminde yeni d\u00f6nem","home_title":"B\u00f6lgesel enerji denkleminde yeni d\u00f6nem","sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","content":"

<\/span>1990\u2019da Libya\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol \u00fcretimi 1.4 milyon varile yak\u0131nd\u0131. Muammer Kaddafi\u2019nin 2011\u2019de \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclmesi ve Libya\u2019n\u0131n kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011fa s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmesinden \u00f6nce g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcretim 2 milyon varile \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Sonras\u0131nda Libya\u2019daki \u00fcretim 500 bin varilin alt\u0131na indi, 1990\u2019da Irak\u2019\u0131n petrol \u00fcretimi 2 milyon varildi. 1. K\u00f6rfez Sava\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131nda 500 bin varile d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. 2000\u2019lerin ba\u015flar\u0131nda 2.5 milyon varile \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Sonra 2. K\u00f6rfez Sava\u015f\u0131 ve Saddam H\u00fcseyin idam edildi. Petrol \u00fcretimi 1 milyon varile- geriledi. Suriye i\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ncesi g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol \u00fcretimi 343 bin varildi. 2014\u2019ten beri \u00fcretim 20 ile 30 bin varil band\u0131nda. Hem Kaddafi\u2019nin hem H\u00fcseyin\u2019in petrol \u00fcretimi hedefleri, g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcretimi iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131karmakt\u0131. Libya\u2019da 46 ile 50 milyar varil, Irak\u2019ta ise 145 milyar varil petrol rezervi oldu\u011fu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Irak ve Libya\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck karga\u015fa ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemde d\u00fcnya petrol piyasas\u0131ndan 3 milyon varil \u00e7ekildi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte petrol arz\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya girmedi. Hatta, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir h\u0131zla artmaya devam eden petrol t\u00fcketimi, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir arz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131. K\u00fcresel petrol ihracat\u0131n\u0131n 2023 sonu itibariyle y\u00fczde 16.3\u2019\u00fcn\u00fc kar\u015f\u0131layan Suudi Arabistan, 210 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015fan ihracat geliriyle ilk s\u0131rada. Rusya, Ukrayna Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019na ra\u011fmen ihracat\u0131n y\u00fczde 9.1\u2019ini kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor ve 117.2 milyar dolar ihracat geliri elde ediyor. ABD ise 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda Kongre\u2019nin 40 y\u0131ll\u0131k ihracat yasa\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kald\u0131rmas\u0131 sonras\u0131nda, 7 y\u0131lda tarihi bir ihracat ve gelir s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131 yakalam\u0131\u015f ve Rusya\u2019yla ayn\u0131 d\u00fczeye gelmi\u015f durumda. G\u00fcn\u00fcn sonunda, k\u00fcresel enerji oyunu kimin rakibini nas\u0131l oyun d\u0131\u015f\u0131, saf d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131 kurgusu \u00fczerine kurulu. K\u00fcresel petrol arz\u0131 ve ihracat\u0131nda oyunda kalmak i\u00e7in \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc strateji y\u00fcr\u00fctmek gerekiyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

BATILI \u015e\u0130RKETLER\u0130N HAK\u0130M\u0130YET\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n 1960\u2019lar ve 70\u2019lerde g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol \u00fcretimi 6 milyon varil civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. \u0130ran-Irak Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019nda 1.5 milyon varile d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Sava\u015f sonras\u0131 \u00f6nce 3, sonras\u0131nda 4 milyon varile \u00e7\u0131kan g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol \u00fcretimi, tekrar 3 milyon varile gerilemi\u015f durumda. A\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak bat\u0131l\u0131 \u015firketlerin Irak petrol \u00fcretimi ve ihracat\u0131na hakim oldu\u011fu bug\u00fcn\u00fcn enerji oyununda, Irak\u2019\u0131n 2023 k\u00fcresel petrol ihracat\u0131ndaki pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 7.7 ve 99.5 milyar dolar ihracat gelirinden s\u00f6z ediyoruz. 7. s\u0131radaki Irak\u2019a g\u00f6re, Libya y\u00fczde 2.4\u2019l\u00fck pay ve 30.4 milyar dolarla ancak 14. s\u0131rada. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol ihracat\u0131 1980-2023 ortalamas\u0131na g\u00f6re kabaca g\u00fcnl\u00fck olarak 1 milyon varilin alt\u0131nda. 41 milyar dolar ihracat geliriyle 11. s\u0131rada yer alan ve 42.3 milyar dolar gelir elde eden Kazakistan\u2019\u0131n hemen alt\u0131nda. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Irak, Libya ve Suriye\u2019nin toprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ad\u0131na ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi tarihi hamleler, k\u00fcresel enerji oyununda da dengelerin de\u011fi\u015fmesi anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

KALKINMA YOLU PROJES\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

Irak\u2019la birlikte, Katar\u2019\u0131n da kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck etti\u011fi Kalk\u0131nma Yolu Projesi, bu projeyle birlikte hayat bulacak liman, karayolu, demiryolu ve boru hatt\u0131 projeleri, Suriye\u2019de kal\u0131c\u0131 bar\u0131\u015f ve istikrar\u0131n tesis edilmesiyle birlikte, K\u00f6rfez\u2019den ve Do\u011fu Akdeniz\u2019den boru hatt\u0131 ile gelecek petrol ve do\u011falgaz\u0131n, Suriye \u00fczerinden T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ve oradan da \u00f6ncelikle Avrupa\u2019ya ve d\u00fcnyaya ula\u015fmas\u0131, Libya\u2019n\u0131n toprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve istikrar\u0131n\u0131n sebep olaca\u011f\u0131 yeni enerji denklemi, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck fosil yak\u0131t rezervlerinin oldu\u011fu bu derece kritik bir co\u011frafyada b\u00f6lgesel enerji denkleminde yeni bir d\u00f6nem anlam\u0131na da geliyor. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n da belirttikleri \u00fczere, T\u00fcrkiye dengeli, iddial\u0131 ve hakkaniyetli politikalarla co\u011frafyam\u0131zdaki t\u00fcm muhataral\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7leri ba\u015far\u0131yla y\u00f6netiyor, \u00fclkelerin kalk\u0131nma ve istikrar boyutunda kaderlerini de\u011fi\u015ftiriyor; co\u011frafyas\u0131nda bar\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in en zorlu, en takdir g\u00f6ren sorumluluklar\u0131 \u00fcstlenerek, hi\u00e7 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar emin ad\u0131mlarla T\u00fcrkiye Y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131\u2019n\u0131n parlak, huzurlu, m\u00fcreffeh g\u00fcnlerine ilerliyor.<\/span><\/p>

keremalkin@superonline.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>","slug":"bolgesel-enerji-denkleminde-yeni-donem","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":"B\u00f6lgesel enerji denkleminde yeni d\u00f6nem","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":null,"view_count":0,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}