{"status":true,"post":{"id":32417,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 21:02:22","created_at":"2022-04-14T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T18:02:22.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":32417,"is_featured":0,"title":"BM: \u20183 boyutlu krizle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z\u2019","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnyaya faturas\u0131 her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn katlanarak art\u0131yor. Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler (BM) Genel Sekreteri Antonio Guterres, 1.7 milyara yak\u0131n insan\u0131n g\u0131da, enerji ve finansa eri\u015fimde ciddi sorunlara maruz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131, bunun yoksullu\u011fu ve a\u00e7l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015fiddetlendirdi\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunuyor. Guterres\u2019e g\u00f6re, sava\u015f\u0131n etkisi k\u00fcresel ve sistematik.<\/span>
<\/span>
BM\u2019ye g\u00f6re, pandemi ve \u00fcst\u00fcne gelen sava\u015f\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu ana ve art\u00e7\u0131 \u015foklar 107 \u00fclkeyi derinden etkiliyor; d\u00fcnya ekonomisi ve k\u00fcresel ticaret adeta \u2018m\u00fckemmel bir f\u0131rt\u0131na\u2019 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. BM G\u00f6rev G\u00fcc\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 rapor, 1.2 milyar n\u00fcfuslu 69 \u00fclkenin \u2018m\u00fckemmel f\u0131rt\u0131na\u2019y\u0131 ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. \u20183 boyutlu kriz\u2019le kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalan \u00fclke say\u0131s\u0131 Afrika\u2019da 25, Asya ve Pasifik\u2019te 25, Latin Amerika ve Karayipler\u2019de ise 19. BM Genel Sekreteri Guterres, k\u00fcresel enflasyonun y\u00fckseldi\u011fini, sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn a\u015f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerinin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, kalk\u0131nman\u0131n durdu\u011funu; k\u0131s\u0131r bir enflasyon ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmede a\u011f\u0131r durgunluk d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya olundu\u011funu belirtiyor. Yani, BM de \u2018stagflasyon\u2019 riskine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span>
<\/span>
STAGFLASYON R\u0130SK\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Bir y\u0131l \u00f6nce, ABD\u2019li tan\u0131nm\u0131\u015f iktisat\u00e7\u0131 Nouriel Roubini, ilk kez yo\u011fun bir \u015fekilde dile getirmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f olsa da, bug\u00fcn uluslararas\u0131 alanda \u00e7ok daha fazla say\u0131da iktisat\u00e7\u0131n\u0131n stagflasyon riskini g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmediklerini g\u00f6zlemliyoruz, \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc, tan\u0131nm\u0131\u015f neoliberal ortodoks iktisat\u00e7\u0131lar, ne gariptir ki, k\u00fcresel pandeminin ve Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n, iki \u2018siyah ku\u011fu\u2019nun sebep oldu\u011fu a\u011f\u0131r belirsizli\u011fi ve tahribat\u0131 g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edecek \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u2018\u00fcrk\u00fct\u00fcc\u00fc\u2019 bir so\u011fukkanl\u0131l\u0131kla, y\u00fckselen enflasyon riskini bast\u0131rmak i\u00e7in merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n acilen ciddi faiz art\u0131rmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini belirtiyor. Ancak, b\u00f6yle bir ad\u0131m, 2022 sonuna kadarki k\u0131sa vadede y\u00fckselen k\u00fcresel enflasyon k\u00f6p\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00fclke ekonomileri \u00fczerindeki etkisini k\u0131ramayaca\u011f\u0131 gibi stagflasyon riskinin de g\u00f6ze al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 gerektirecek.<\/span>
<\/span>
D\u00fcnya zaten k\u00fcresel pandemi, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi, s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik, mobilite, yeterli eri\u015fim eksikli\u011fi ile ba\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kmak i\u00e7in m\u00fccadele ederken, d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunun ciddi bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc olu\u015fturan \u00f6nde gelen geli\u015fmekte olan, geli\u015fmekte olan ve yoksul \u00fclkelerde g\u0131da, enerji ve finansa eri\u015fim krizinin de g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi, bu tablonun b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle ba\u015f edebilmek i\u00e7in d\u00fcnyan\u0131n daha fazla kenetlenmesini gerektiriyor. Ancak, k\u00fcresel ekonomik sistem a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ciddi m\u00fccadele gerektiren ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n t\u00fcm\u00fcnde \u00fclkeleri ortak \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler i\u00e7in bir araya getirmek de bir o kadar zorlu g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. 36 \u00fclke, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en fakir \u00fclkeleri de dahil olmak \u00fczere, bu\u011fday ithalat\u0131n\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131 i\u00e7in Rusya ve Ukrayna\u2019ya g\u00fcveniyordu. K\u00fcresel pandeminin \u00fczerine gelen sava\u015fla birlikte, bu\u011fday ve m\u0131s\u0131r fiyatlar\u0131 sadece y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana bile y\u00fczde 30 artm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/span>
<\/span>
YEN\u0130LENEB\u0130L\u0130R ENERJ\u0130 \u0130\u00c7\u0130N FIRSAT<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel ve b\u00f6lgesel tar\u0131m \u00fcretimi ve g\u0131da g\u00fcvenli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Rusya ve kom\u015fusu Belarus, k\u00fcresel g\u00fcbre tedarikinin de yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 20\u2019sini kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. 1 y\u0131lda petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 60\u2019tan fazla art\u0131\u015f\u0131n yan\u0131s\u0131ra, do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131nda son aylarda g\u00f6zlenen y\u00fczde 50 art\u0131\u015f da, g\u00fcbre \u00fcretimi i\u00e7in gereken hammadde ve enerji girdisi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, g\u00fcbre fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. BM G\u00f6rev G\u00fcc\u00fc, enerji konusunda h\u00fck\u00fcmetleri petrol ve do\u011falgaz istiflemekten ka\u00e7\u0131nmaya; stratejik petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131 ve ek rezervlerini derhal serbest b\u0131rakmaya ve bioyak\u0131tlar i\u00e7in bu\u011fday kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 azaltmaya da davet ediyor.<\/span>
<\/span>
Guterres ise \u00fclkeleri krizi yenilenebilir enerjiye ge\u00e7i\u015fi h\u0131zland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in bir f\u0131rsat olarak kullanmaya \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131yor. Guterres, IMF ve D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 18-24 Nisan\u2019daki bahar toplant\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bir f\u0131rsat oldu\u011funu da hat\u0131rlatarak, iki kurulu\u015fu da h\u0131zl\u0131 mali yard\u0131m i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 art\u0131rmaya, faiz oran\u0131 ek \u00fccretlerini iki y\u0131l s\u00fcreyle ask\u0131ya almaya ve \u2018hassas ve en \u00e7ok etkilenen \u00fclkeleri hedefleyen \u00f6zel \u00e7ekme haklar\u0131 veya \u00f6zel \u00f6nlemler yoluyla\u2019 daha fazla likidite sa\u011flama olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131yor. Umar\u0131z, gelecek hafta bu konuda bir \u0131\u015f\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcr\u00fcz.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"bm-3-boyutlu-krizle-karsi-karsiyayiz","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"BM: \u20183 boyutlu krizle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z\u2019","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1105,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":32516,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":32417,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"BM: \u20183 boyutlu krizle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z\u2019","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnyaya faturas\u0131 her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn katlanarak art\u0131yor. Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler (BM) Genel Sekreteri Antonio Guterres, 1.7 milyara yak\u0131n insan\u0131n g\u0131da, enerji ve finansa eri\u015fimde ciddi sorunlara maruz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131, bunun yoksullu\u011fu ve a\u00e7l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015fiddetlendirdi\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunuyor. Guterres\u2019e g\u00f6re, sava\u015f\u0131n etkisi k\u00fcresel ve sistematik.<\/span>
<\/span>
BM\u2019ye g\u00f6re, pandemi ve \u00fcst\u00fcne gelen sava\u015f\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu ana ve art\u00e7\u0131 \u015foklar 107 \u00fclkeyi derinden etkiliyor; d\u00fcnya ekonomisi ve k\u00fcresel ticaret adeta \u2018m\u00fckemmel bir f\u0131rt\u0131na\u2019 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. BM G\u00f6rev G\u00fcc\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 rapor, 1.2 milyar n\u00fcfuslu 69 \u00fclkenin \u2018m\u00fckemmel f\u0131rt\u0131na\u2019y\u0131 ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. \u20183 boyutlu kriz\u2019le kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalan \u00fclke say\u0131s\u0131 Afrika\u2019da 25, Asya ve Pasifik\u2019te 25, Latin Amerika ve Karayipler\u2019de ise 19. BM Genel Sekreteri Guterres, k\u00fcresel enflasyonun y\u00fckseldi\u011fini, sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn a\u015f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerinin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, kalk\u0131nman\u0131n durdu\u011funu; k\u0131s\u0131r bir enflasyon ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmede a\u011f\u0131r durgunluk d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya olundu\u011funu belirtiyor. Yani, BM de \u2018stagflasyon\u2019 riskine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span>
<\/span>
STAGFLASYON R\u0130SK\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Bir y\u0131l \u00f6nce, ABD\u2019li tan\u0131nm\u0131\u015f iktisat\u00e7\u0131 Nouriel Roubini, ilk kez yo\u011fun bir \u015fekilde dile getirmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f olsa da, bug\u00fcn uluslararas\u0131 alanda \u00e7ok daha fazla say\u0131da iktisat\u00e7\u0131n\u0131n stagflasyon riskini g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmediklerini g\u00f6zlemliyoruz, \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc, tan\u0131nm\u0131\u015f neoliberal ortodoks iktisat\u00e7\u0131lar, ne gariptir ki, k\u00fcresel pandeminin ve Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n, iki \u2018siyah ku\u011fu\u2019nun sebep oldu\u011fu a\u011f\u0131r belirsizli\u011fi ve tahribat\u0131 g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edecek \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u2018\u00fcrk\u00fct\u00fcc\u00fc\u2019 bir so\u011fukkanl\u0131l\u0131kla, y\u00fckselen enflasyon riskini bast\u0131rmak i\u00e7in merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n acilen ciddi faiz art\u0131rmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini belirtiyor. Ancak, b\u00f6yle bir ad\u0131m, 2022 sonuna kadarki k\u0131sa vadede y\u00fckselen k\u00fcresel enflasyon k\u00f6p\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00fclke ekonomileri \u00fczerindeki etkisini k\u0131ramayaca\u011f\u0131 gibi stagflasyon riskinin de g\u00f6ze al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 gerektirecek.<\/span>
<\/span>
D\u00fcnya zaten k\u00fcresel pandemi, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi, s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik, mobilite, yeterli eri\u015fim eksikli\u011fi ile ba\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kmak i\u00e7in m\u00fccadele ederken, d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunun ciddi bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc olu\u015fturan \u00f6nde gelen geli\u015fmekte olan, geli\u015fmekte olan ve yoksul \u00fclkelerde g\u0131da, enerji ve finansa eri\u015fim krizinin de g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi, bu tablonun b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle ba\u015f edebilmek i\u00e7in d\u00fcnyan\u0131n daha fazla kenetlenmesini gerektiriyor. Ancak, k\u00fcresel ekonomik sistem a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ciddi m\u00fccadele gerektiren ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n t\u00fcm\u00fcnde \u00fclkeleri ortak \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler i\u00e7in bir araya getirmek de bir o kadar zorlu g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. 36 \u00fclke, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en fakir \u00fclkeleri de dahil olmak \u00fczere, bu\u011fday ithalat\u0131n\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131 i\u00e7in Rusya ve Ukrayna\u2019ya g\u00fcveniyordu. K\u00fcresel pandeminin \u00fczerine gelen sava\u015fla birlikte, bu\u011fday ve m\u0131s\u0131r fiyatlar\u0131 sadece y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana bile y\u00fczde 30 artm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/span>
<\/span>
YEN\u0130LENEB\u0130L\u0130R ENERJ\u0130 \u0130\u00c7\u0130N FIRSAT<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel ve b\u00f6lgesel tar\u0131m \u00fcretimi ve g\u0131da g\u00fcvenli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Rusya ve kom\u015fusu Belarus, k\u00fcresel g\u00fcbre tedarikinin de yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 20\u2019sini kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. 1 y\u0131lda petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 60\u2019tan fazla art\u0131\u015f\u0131n yan\u0131s\u0131ra, do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131nda son aylarda g\u00f6zlenen y\u00fczde 50 art\u0131\u015f da, g\u00fcbre \u00fcretimi i\u00e7in gereken hammadde ve enerji girdisi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, g\u00fcbre fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. BM G\u00f6rev G\u00fcc\u00fc, enerji konusunda h\u00fck\u00fcmetleri petrol ve do\u011falgaz istiflemekten ka\u00e7\u0131nmaya; stratejik petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131 ve ek rezervlerini derhal serbest b\u0131rakmaya ve bioyak\u0131tlar i\u00e7in bu\u011fday kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 azaltmaya da davet ediyor.<\/span>
<\/span>
Guterres ise \u00fclkeleri krizi yenilenebilir enerjiye ge\u00e7i\u015fi h\u0131zland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in bir f\u0131rsat olarak kullanmaya \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131yor. Guterres, IMF ve D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 18-24 Nisan\u2019daki bahar toplant\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bir f\u0131rsat oldu\u011funu da hat\u0131rlatarak, iki kurulu\u015fu da h\u0131zl\u0131 mali yard\u0131m i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 art\u0131rmaya, faiz oran\u0131 ek \u00fccretlerini iki y\u0131l s\u00fcreyle ask\u0131ya almaya ve \u2018hassas ve en \u00e7ok etkilenen \u00fclkeleri hedefleyen \u00f6zel \u00e7ekme haklar\u0131 veya \u00f6zel \u00f6nlemler yoluyla\u2019 daha fazla likidite sa\u011flama olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131yor. Umar\u0131z, gelecek hafta bu konuda bir \u0131\u015f\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcr\u00fcz.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"bm-3-boyutlu-krizle-karsi-karsiyayiz","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"BM: \u20183 boyutlu krizle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z\u2019","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1105,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}