{"status":true,"post":{"id":57331,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2024-11-11 07:51:00","created_at":"2024-11-11T04:51:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-11-11T04:51:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":57331,"is_featured":0,"title":"2025 i\u00e7in temel uyar\u0131: \u2018Beklenmeyeni bekleyin\u2019","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","content":"

D\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015flar\u0131, ba\u015fl\u0131ca sigorta kurulu\u015flar\u0131 ve y\u00f6netim dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k \u015firketleri har\u0131l har\u0131l 2025\u2019in k\u00fcresel risk analizlerine g\u00f6m\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f durumda. Bunun nedenini birka\u00e7 noktada derinlemesine masaya yat\u0131rmam\u0131z gerekiyor. Birincisi, k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 ve ekonomik belirsizliklerin sebep oldu\u011fu oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 kontrol alt\u0131nda tutmak ad\u0131na, \u00f6nde gelen merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek faiz ve daralt\u0131lm\u0131\u015f para arz\u0131na dayal\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 tedbirleri \u00e7arpan etkisi ile reel sekt\u00f6rde g\u00f6zlenen k\u0131r\u0131lmalar\u0131 derinle\u015ftiriyor. \u00d6nde gelen ekonomilerin t\u00fcm\u00fcnde fiyat istikrar\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve istihdam \u00fc\u00e7lemesi k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir zeminde ilerliyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131m maliyetlerindeki ciddi art\u0131\u015f, dijital d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ve enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc gibi kritik alanlardaki hedefleri de b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi de yeni istihdam f\u0131rsatlar\u0131n\u0131 da zora sokuyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

EN B\u00dcY\u00dcK R\u0130SK \u0130KL\u0130M KR\u0130Z\u0130\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

Bilhassa temiz ve yenilenebilir enerjiye ge\u00e7i\u015fin gecikmesi, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen \u015firketlerinin \u00fcst d\u00fczey y\u00f6neticileri i\u00e7in bir numaral\u0131 \u00f6ncelikli risk olarak tan\u0131mlanan k\u00fcresel iklim krizinin etkilerini azaltmaya y\u00f6nelik umutlar\u0131 da k\u0131r\u0131yor. \u00d6nde gelen ekonomilerin t\u00fcm\u00fc, bir yandan s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f para politikas\u0131 patikas\u0131, bir yandan da artan jeopolitik gerginlik ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara kar\u015f\u0131 daha dayan\u0131kl\u0131 reel sekt\u00f6r a\u011f\u0131 olu\u015fturma aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. \u0130kincisi, binlerce \u00fcst d\u00fczey y\u00f6netici ve uzman\u0131n kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla yap\u0131lan en taze anket ve ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 98\u2019inin k\u00fcresel ve jeopolitik gerginlik ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n tetikledi\u011fi krizlerin d\u00fcnya vatanda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck hayatlar\u0131nda a\u011f\u0131rla\u015fan \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde belirgin etkilere sebep oldu\u011funda hemfikirler; ya\u015fam standard\u0131 erimesi, yoksulluk, artan i\u015fsizlik, ekonomik umutlar\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131 gibi.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

KLAS\u0130K MAL\u0130YE POL\u0130T\u0130KALARI YETERS\u0130Z<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00dcst d\u00fczey y\u00f6netici ve uzmanlar\u0131n y\u00fczde 88\u2019i, k\u00fcresel internet a\u011f\u0131 ve sosyal medya platformlar\u0131ndan yay\u0131lan yanl\u0131\u015f bilgilerin ve bilhassa y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen dezenformasyon \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fclkelerin siyasi rejimlerinin en \u00f6nemli temsilcisi konumunda olan y\u00fcr\u00fctme, yasama ve yarg\u0131 kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n itibar\u0131 ve etkinli\u011fi \u00fczerinde derinle\u015fen bir negatif etkiye sebep oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. Yine uzmanlar, \u00f6nde gelen 40 ekonomide ulusal sigortac\u0131l\u0131k ve reas\u00fcrans sisteminin hane halk\u0131n\u0131 ve firmalar\u0131, \u015firketleri k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte etkisi artan risklere kar\u015f\u0131 koruyacak daha etkili yeni nesil koruma mekanizmalar\u0131 geli\u015ftirmeleri gerekti\u011fine inan\u0131yor. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte en iddial\u0131 \u015firketlerin \u00fcst d\u00fczey y\u00f6neticileri ve uzmanlar\u0131, 2025 i\u00e7in \u015fu temel uyar\u0131da birle\u015fiyorlar: \u2018En beklemedi\u011finiz risklere kar\u015f\u0131 esas haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olun.\u2019 2025, \u2018beklenmeyeni bekleyin\u2019 y\u0131l\u0131 olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor. Bu nedenle 2025, klasik para ve maliye politikas\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131 ile y\u00f6netilemeyecek bir y\u0131l olarak g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

YAPAY ZEKADA DER\u0130NLE\u015eEN REKABET<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u0130klim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi krizi, her k\u0131tadaki uzmanlar\u0131n en \u00f6nemli endi\u015fesi olmaya devam ediyor. Bu riski ilk be\u015fte se\u00e7en uzman oran\u0131 bir y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 73\u2019ten 77\u2019ye y\u00fckselmi\u015f durumda. En akla gelmedik co\u011frafyalarda artan do\u011fal afet g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcleri ve milyarlarca dolarl\u0131k zararlar, bu endi\u015feyi hakl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Jeopolitik gerginlik ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu risk alg\u0131s\u0131 ise 2023\u2019ten 2024\u2019e y\u00fczde 50 artm\u0131\u015f durumda. Jeopolitik gerginlik riski ile siber g\u00fcvenlik riski, 2024\u2019\u00fcn sonunda yer de\u011fi\u015ftirmi\u015f olsalar da uzmanlar siber g\u00fcvenlik riskini de b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tehdit olarak g\u00f6rmeye devam ediyor. Bu riske ili\u015fkin endi\u015feler, jeopolitik istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k ile g\u00fc\u00e7 merkezleri aras\u0131ndaki yapay zeka yeteneklerine dair derinle\u015fen rekabetin ve \u00e7ok say\u0131da \u00fclke ve \u015firketin b\u00fcy\u00fck dijital hizmet sa\u011flay\u0131c\u0131lara artan ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n tetikledi\u011fi endi\u015felerden de besleniyor.<\/span><\/p>

keremalkin@superonline.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>","slug":"2025-icin-temel-uyari-beklenmeyeni-bekleyin","tags":null,"meta_title":"2025 i\u00e7in temel uyar\u0131: \u2018Beklenmeyeni bekleyin\u2019","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1731272400phWVuxMLIGIvNMk.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":0,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":57457,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":57331,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"2025 i\u00e7in temel uyar\u0131: \u2018Beklenmeyeni bekleyin\u2019","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","content":"

D\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015flar\u0131, ba\u015fl\u0131ca sigorta kurulu\u015flar\u0131 ve y\u00f6netim dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k \u015firketleri har\u0131l har\u0131l 2025\u2019in k\u00fcresel risk analizlerine g\u00f6m\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f durumda. Bunun nedenini birka\u00e7 noktada derinlemesine masaya yat\u0131rmam\u0131z gerekiyor. Birincisi, k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 ve ekonomik belirsizliklerin sebep oldu\u011fu oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 kontrol alt\u0131nda tutmak ad\u0131na, \u00f6nde gelen merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek faiz ve daralt\u0131lm\u0131\u015f para arz\u0131na dayal\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 tedbirleri \u00e7arpan etkisi ile reel sekt\u00f6rde g\u00f6zlenen k\u0131r\u0131lmalar\u0131 derinle\u015ftiriyor. \u00d6nde gelen ekonomilerin t\u00fcm\u00fcnde fiyat istikrar\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve istihdam \u00fc\u00e7lemesi k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir zeminde ilerliyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131m maliyetlerindeki ciddi art\u0131\u015f, dijital d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ve enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc gibi kritik alanlardaki hedefleri de b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi de yeni istihdam f\u0131rsatlar\u0131n\u0131 da zora sokuyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

EN B\u00dcY\u00dcK R\u0130SK \u0130KL\u0130M KR\u0130Z\u0130\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

Bilhassa temiz ve yenilenebilir enerjiye ge\u00e7i\u015fin gecikmesi, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen \u015firketlerinin \u00fcst d\u00fczey y\u00f6neticileri i\u00e7in bir numaral\u0131 \u00f6ncelikli risk olarak tan\u0131mlanan k\u00fcresel iklim krizinin etkilerini azaltmaya y\u00f6nelik umutlar\u0131 da k\u0131r\u0131yor. \u00d6nde gelen ekonomilerin t\u00fcm\u00fc, bir yandan s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f para politikas\u0131 patikas\u0131, bir yandan da artan jeopolitik gerginlik ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara kar\u015f\u0131 daha dayan\u0131kl\u0131 reel sekt\u00f6r a\u011f\u0131 olu\u015fturma aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. \u0130kincisi, binlerce \u00fcst d\u00fczey y\u00f6netici ve uzman\u0131n kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla yap\u0131lan en taze anket ve ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 98\u2019inin k\u00fcresel ve jeopolitik gerginlik ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n tetikledi\u011fi krizlerin d\u00fcnya vatanda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck hayatlar\u0131nda a\u011f\u0131rla\u015fan \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde belirgin etkilere sebep oldu\u011funda hemfikirler; ya\u015fam standard\u0131 erimesi, yoksulluk, artan i\u015fsizlik, ekonomik umutlar\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131 gibi.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

KLAS\u0130K MAL\u0130YE POL\u0130T\u0130KALARI YETERS\u0130Z<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00dcst d\u00fczey y\u00f6netici ve uzmanlar\u0131n y\u00fczde 88\u2019i, k\u00fcresel internet a\u011f\u0131 ve sosyal medya platformlar\u0131ndan yay\u0131lan yanl\u0131\u015f bilgilerin ve bilhassa y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen dezenformasyon \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fclkelerin siyasi rejimlerinin en \u00f6nemli temsilcisi konumunda olan y\u00fcr\u00fctme, yasama ve yarg\u0131 kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n itibar\u0131 ve etkinli\u011fi \u00fczerinde derinle\u015fen bir negatif etkiye sebep oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. Yine uzmanlar, \u00f6nde gelen 40 ekonomide ulusal sigortac\u0131l\u0131k ve reas\u00fcrans sisteminin hane halk\u0131n\u0131 ve firmalar\u0131, \u015firketleri k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte etkisi artan risklere kar\u015f\u0131 koruyacak daha etkili yeni nesil koruma mekanizmalar\u0131 geli\u015ftirmeleri gerekti\u011fine inan\u0131yor. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte en iddial\u0131 \u015firketlerin \u00fcst d\u00fczey y\u00f6neticileri ve uzmanlar\u0131, 2025 i\u00e7in \u015fu temel uyar\u0131da birle\u015fiyorlar: \u2018En beklemedi\u011finiz risklere kar\u015f\u0131 esas haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olun.\u2019 2025, \u2018beklenmeyeni bekleyin\u2019 y\u0131l\u0131 olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor. Bu nedenle 2025, klasik para ve maliye politikas\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131 ile y\u00f6netilemeyecek bir y\u0131l olarak g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

YAPAY ZEKADA DER\u0130NLE\u015eEN REKABET<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u0130klim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi krizi, her k\u0131tadaki uzmanlar\u0131n en \u00f6nemli endi\u015fesi olmaya devam ediyor. Bu riski ilk be\u015fte se\u00e7en uzman oran\u0131 bir y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 73\u2019ten 77\u2019ye y\u00fckselmi\u015f durumda. En akla gelmedik co\u011frafyalarda artan do\u011fal afet g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcleri ve milyarlarca dolarl\u0131k zararlar, bu endi\u015feyi hakl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Jeopolitik gerginlik ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu risk alg\u0131s\u0131 ise 2023\u2019ten 2024\u2019e y\u00fczde 50 artm\u0131\u015f durumda. Jeopolitik gerginlik riski ile siber g\u00fcvenlik riski, 2024\u2019\u00fcn sonunda yer de\u011fi\u015ftirmi\u015f olsalar da uzmanlar siber g\u00fcvenlik riskini de b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tehdit olarak g\u00f6rmeye devam ediyor. Bu riske ili\u015fkin endi\u015feler, jeopolitik istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k ile g\u00fc\u00e7 merkezleri aras\u0131ndaki yapay zeka yeteneklerine dair derinle\u015fen rekabetin ve \u00e7ok say\u0131da \u00fclke ve \u015firketin b\u00fcy\u00fck dijital hizmet sa\u011flay\u0131c\u0131lara artan ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n tetikledi\u011fi endi\u015felerden de besleniyor.<\/span><\/p>

keremalkin@superonline.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>","slug":"2025-icin-temel-uyari-beklenmeyeni-bekleyin","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1731272400phWVuxMLIGIvNMk.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1731272400phWVuxMLIGIvNMk.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":"2025 i\u00e7in temel uyar\u0131: \u2018Beklenmeyeni bekleyin\u2019","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":null,"view_count":0,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2024-12-11 07:17:29","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}