{"status":true,"post":{"id":30469,"user_id":9,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 16:32:46","created_at":"2022-01-06T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T13:32:46.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":30469,"is_featured":0,"title":"2022\u2019nin ekonomik \u00f6ncelikleri","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>DO\u00c7. DR. NURULLAH G\u00dcR<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131 2021\u2019de olduk\u00e7a iyiydi. Do\u011frusunu s\u00f6ylemek gerekirse, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz senenin ba\u015f\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m tahminlerde T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmede \u00e7ift hanelere yakla\u015fabilece\u011fine \u00e7ok ihtimal vermiyordum. H\u0131zl\u0131 a\u015f\u0131lanman\u0131n ekonomik aktiviteye verdi\u011fi destek ve ihracatta k\u0131r\u0131lan rekorlar, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi beklentilerin olduk\u00e7a \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. \u0130hracat, 2021\u2019de bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 32.9 oran\u0131nda artarak 225.4 milyar dolara y\u00fckseldi. 2021\u2019in ilk dokuz ayl\u0131k d\u00f6neminde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin y\u00fczde 44\u2019\u00fcn\u00fc tek ba\u015f\u0131na net ihracat ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>B\u00dcY\u00dcME \u0130\u00c7\u0130N \u0130HRACAT<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> 2022\u2019de kayda de\u011fer bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131 yakalamak i\u00e7in ihracata yine ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z olacak. A\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011fersiz TL\u2019nin sunmu\u015f oldu\u011fu fiyat rekabet avantaj\u0131 ve Avrupal\u0131lar i\u00e7in \u00c7in\u2019den \u00fcr\u00fcn getirmede ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k maliyetlerinin artmas\u0131 gibi fakt\u00f6rler, ge\u00e7en sene ihracatta yakalad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ivmelenmeyi desteklemi\u015fti. Konjont\u00fcrel fakt\u00f6rlere a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 bel ba\u011flamamam\u0131z laz\u0131m. \u0130hracattaki ba\u015far\u0131y\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 hale getirmek, 200 milyar dolar seviyelerinden 300 milyar dolarlara ge\u00e7i\u015fi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn mertebe h\u0131zl\u0131 tutmak i\u00e7in \u00fcr\u00fcnlerimizi kalite noktas\u0131nda daha yukar\u0131lara ta\u015f\u0131mam\u0131z ve \u00fcretim \u00f6l\u00e7e\u011fimizi art\u0131rmam\u0131z gerekiyor. Bunun i\u00e7in de Ar-Ge, makina ve yeni fabrika yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda vites y\u00fckseltmeliyiz. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> B\u00fcy\u00fcme ve ihracat y\u00fczleri g\u00fcld\u00fcr\u00fcrken, d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda ve enflasyonda ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeler moralleri bozdu. \u00d6zellikle aral\u0131k ay\u0131n\u0131n ilk iki haftas\u0131nda d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan anormal dalgalanma, reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ve vatanda\u015flar\u0131 tedirgin etti. Ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin kur riskine kar\u015f\u0131 kalkan vazifesi g\u00f6ren finansal olanaklar\u0131 devreye sokmas\u0131, piyasalar\u0131n bir nebze nefes almas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131. Ama d\u00f6viz kuru ge\u00e7i\u015fkenlik etkisi ve bozulan beklentiler, enflasyonu h\u0131zland\u0131rmaya devam etti. Sonu\u00e7 olarak, enflasyonda y\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fczde 36 gibi olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek bir seviyede kapatt\u0131k. Enflasyon, her \u00fcr\u00fcn\/hizmet ve sekt\u00f6rde kendini hissettirdi. T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in t\u00fcketim sepetinde yer alan 415 maddeden 364\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn fiyatlar\u0131 aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi. Enflasyonun yay\u0131l\u0131m derecesinin bu denli artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha \u00f6nce g\u00f6rmemi\u015ftik. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>KUR DALGASI VE ENFLASYON<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Enflasyonun \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 ay daha y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fckselmeye devam etmesi kuvvetle muhtemel. Y\u00fczde 80\u2019e dayanan \u00dcFE, t\u00fcketici enflasyonunun \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n devam edebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Do\u011falgaz, elektrik, sigara gibi fiyatlar\u0131 kamu taraf\u0131ndan y\u00f6netilen \/ y\u00f6nlendirilen kalemlere gelen zamlar ve asgari \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131, enflasyonda ilave y\u00fckseli\u015fleri tetikleyecektir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ge\u00e7en y\u0131ldan miras kalan bu tablo, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6nceli\u011fi enflasyon ve finansal istikrara vermeleri gerekti\u011fini net bi\u00e7imde ortaya koyuyor. Yukar\u0131da belirtti\u011fim yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi, istihdam\u0131n artmas\u0131, sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn toparlanmas\u0131 ve gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n iyile\u015fmesi i\u00e7in \u00f6ncelikle d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki dalga boyunu ve enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeliyiz.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2022nin-ekonomik-oncelikleri","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2022\u2019nin ekonomik \u00f6ncelikleri","meta_description":"DO\u00c7. DR. NURULLAH G\u00dcR","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1108,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":9,"name":"NURULLAH","surname":"G\u00dcR","email":"nurullah.gur@marmara.edu.tr","slug":"prof-dr-nurullah-gur","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600zm0eg4EVw1c01iN.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":30568,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":30469,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"2022\u2019nin ekonomik \u00f6ncelikleri","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>DO\u00c7. DR. NURULLAH G\u00dcR<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131 2021\u2019de olduk\u00e7a iyiydi. Do\u011frusunu s\u00f6ylemek gerekirse, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz senenin ba\u015f\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m tahminlerde T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmede \u00e7ift hanelere yakla\u015fabilece\u011fine \u00e7ok ihtimal vermiyordum. H\u0131zl\u0131 a\u015f\u0131lanman\u0131n ekonomik aktiviteye verdi\u011fi destek ve ihracatta k\u0131r\u0131lan rekorlar, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi beklentilerin olduk\u00e7a \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. \u0130hracat, 2021\u2019de bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 32.9 oran\u0131nda artarak 225.4 milyar dolara y\u00fckseldi. 2021\u2019in ilk dokuz ayl\u0131k d\u00f6neminde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin y\u00fczde 44\u2019\u00fcn\u00fc tek ba\u015f\u0131na net ihracat ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>B\u00dcY\u00dcME \u0130\u00c7\u0130N \u0130HRACAT<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> 2022\u2019de kayda de\u011fer bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131 yakalamak i\u00e7in ihracata yine ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z olacak. A\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011fersiz TL\u2019nin sunmu\u015f oldu\u011fu fiyat rekabet avantaj\u0131 ve Avrupal\u0131lar i\u00e7in \u00c7in\u2019den \u00fcr\u00fcn getirmede ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k maliyetlerinin artmas\u0131 gibi fakt\u00f6rler, ge\u00e7en sene ihracatta yakalad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ivmelenmeyi desteklemi\u015fti. Konjont\u00fcrel fakt\u00f6rlere a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 bel ba\u011flamamam\u0131z laz\u0131m. \u0130hracattaki ba\u015far\u0131y\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 hale getirmek, 200 milyar dolar seviyelerinden 300 milyar dolarlara ge\u00e7i\u015fi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn mertebe h\u0131zl\u0131 tutmak i\u00e7in \u00fcr\u00fcnlerimizi kalite noktas\u0131nda daha yukar\u0131lara ta\u015f\u0131mam\u0131z ve \u00fcretim \u00f6l\u00e7e\u011fimizi art\u0131rmam\u0131z gerekiyor. Bunun i\u00e7in de Ar-Ge, makina ve yeni fabrika yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda vites y\u00fckseltmeliyiz. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> B\u00fcy\u00fcme ve ihracat y\u00fczleri g\u00fcld\u00fcr\u00fcrken, d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda ve enflasyonda ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeler moralleri bozdu. \u00d6zellikle aral\u0131k ay\u0131n\u0131n ilk iki haftas\u0131nda d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan anormal dalgalanma, reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ve vatanda\u015flar\u0131 tedirgin etti. Ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin kur riskine kar\u015f\u0131 kalkan vazifesi g\u00f6ren finansal olanaklar\u0131 devreye sokmas\u0131, piyasalar\u0131n bir nebze nefes almas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131. Ama d\u00f6viz kuru ge\u00e7i\u015fkenlik etkisi ve bozulan beklentiler, enflasyonu h\u0131zland\u0131rmaya devam etti. Sonu\u00e7 olarak, enflasyonda y\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fczde 36 gibi olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek bir seviyede kapatt\u0131k. Enflasyon, her \u00fcr\u00fcn\/hizmet ve sekt\u00f6rde kendini hissettirdi. T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in t\u00fcketim sepetinde yer alan 415 maddeden 364\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn fiyatlar\u0131 aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi. Enflasyonun yay\u0131l\u0131m derecesinin bu denli artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha \u00f6nce g\u00f6rmemi\u015ftik. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>KUR DALGASI VE ENFLASYON<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Enflasyonun \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 ay daha y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fckselmeye devam etmesi kuvvetle muhtemel. Y\u00fczde 80\u2019e dayanan \u00dcFE, t\u00fcketici enflasyonunun \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n devam edebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Do\u011falgaz, elektrik, sigara gibi fiyatlar\u0131 kamu taraf\u0131ndan y\u00f6netilen \/ y\u00f6nlendirilen kalemlere gelen zamlar ve asgari \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131, enflasyonda ilave y\u00fckseli\u015fleri tetikleyecektir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ge\u00e7en y\u0131ldan miras kalan bu tablo, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6nceli\u011fi enflasyon ve finansal istikrara vermeleri gerekti\u011fini net bi\u00e7imde ortaya koyuyor. Yukar\u0131da belirtti\u011fim yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi, istihdam\u0131n artmas\u0131, sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn toparlanmas\u0131 ve gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n iyile\u015fmesi i\u00e7in \u00f6ncelikle d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki dalga boyunu ve enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeliyiz.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2022nin-ekonomik-oncelikleri","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2022\u2019nin ekonomik \u00f6ncelikleri","meta_description":"DO\u00c7. DR. NURULLAH G\u00dcR","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1108,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}