{"status":true,"post":{"id":23897,"user_id":1,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:34:22","created_at":"2020-12-24T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:34:22.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":23897,"is_featured":0,"title":"2021\u2019e girerken d\u00fcnya ekonomisi","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Hakan G\u00fclda\u011f<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">E\u015fi g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f y\u0131l geride kal\u0131yor. \u015eimdilik be\u015f farkl\u0131 a\u015f\u0131n\u0131n bulunmas\u0131yla 2021\u2019e umutla giriliyor. Ancak g\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, sadece yeni bir y\u0131la girmiyoruz. Gelecekte tarih\u00e7ilerin muhtemelen yeni bir \u2018d\u00f6nem\u2019 olarak adland\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 bir 10 y\u0131la giriyoruz. Koronavir\u00fcs, bu yeni d\u00f6nemin deyim yerindeyse ebeli\u011fini yapt\u0131. 100 y\u0131l \u00f6nce \u2018\u0130spanyol gribinin\u2019 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi...<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00dcnl\u00fc tarih\u00e7i Fernand Braudel, \u201cTarihteki hareket \u00fc\u00e7 farkl\u0131 \u015fekilde incelenebilir\u201d diyor ve ekliyor: <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u201cH\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fenler, yava\u015f de\u011fi\u015fenler ve hi\u00e7 de\u011fi\u015fmeyenler...\u201d<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Tarih, Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ile adeta h\u0131zland\u0131. En az\u0131ndan baz\u0131 alanlarda... Dijitalle\u015fmede \u00f6rne\u011fin 10 y\u0131lda olacak olanlar 10 ayda oldu. e-ticarette de \u00f6yle... <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Salg\u0131n, k\u00fcresel de\u011fer zincirleri a\u011f\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimi de h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Daha \u00f6nce Eko-Mercek\u2019te bahsetmi\u015ftik. Blokla\u015fma ve b\u00f6lgeselle\u015fme e\u011filimi art\u0131yor. D\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda hegemonya rekabetinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nem olacak \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131l. Jeopolitikte, teknolojide ve ticarette... <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Tedarikte tercihler de\u011fi\u015fiyor. \u00c7in\u2019e alternatif aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 artt\u0131. Vietnam, Banglade\u015f gibi \u00fclkeler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. T\u00fcrkiye de \u00f6yle... 200\u2019\u00fc a\u015fk\u0131n k\u00fcresel de\u011fer zinciri ile yap\u0131lan QIMA ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131, bunu bariz bi\u00e7imde g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne serdi. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l d\u00fcnya markalar\u0131na sorulan \u2018tedarikte ilk \u00fc\u00e7 tercihiniz kimdir\u2019 sorusuna verilen yan\u0131tlarda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 4\u2019t\u00fc. 2020\u2019de y\u00fczde 9\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. AB merkezli de\u011fer zincirlerinde, bir ba\u015fka ifade ile Avrupa markalar\u0131nda ise bu oran y\u00fczde 30\u2019a ula\u015ft\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>***<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Tabii, tarihte oldu\u011fu gibi gelecekte de her \u015fey ayn\u0131 h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015fmeyecek. \u00d6zellikle de insan... Ge\u00e7mi\u015ften bug\u00fcne gelen baz\u0131 davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ayn\u0131 kalacak. \u0130htiya\u00e7lar\u0131 da... Al\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131klar de\u011fi\u015fse de, insan t\u00fcketmeye devam edecek. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mesela size uzun y\u0131llar de\u011fi\u015fmeyecek bir \u015fey s\u00f6yleyeyim. \u0130hracatta ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olal\u0131m m\u0131 istiyoruz? Yol haritam\u0131z belli: K\u00fcresel rekabet \u015fans\u0131 y\u00fcksek \u00fcr\u00fcn \u00fcretmemiz gerekiyor. Yani, ba\u015fka \u00fclkelerde \u00fcretilene tercih edilebilecek \u00fcr\u00fcnler... O kadar basit! Bug\u00fcne kadar sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ba\u015far\u0131y\u0131 b\u00f6yle sa\u011flad\u0131k. \u015eimdi ba\u015far\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 katlayacaksak yine benzer \u015fekilde sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131z. D\u00fcnyada ihtiya\u00e7 olan \u00fcr\u00fcn ve hizmetleri daha uygun maliyetlerle, daha fazla \u00fcretece\u011fiz, daha iyi tan\u0131taca\u011f\u0131z ve d\u00fcnyan\u0131n d\u00f6rt bir k\u00f6\u015fesindeki pazarlara sunaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>***<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">K\u0131sacas\u0131 bir yandan d\u00fcnyada olup biteni iyi okumaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, esas mesele \u00fczerimize d\u00fc\u015feni iyi yapmak. \u20182021\u2019e umutla giriliyor\u2019 dedik... <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Beklenti o ki, d\u00fcnya ekonomisi gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcyecek. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Tabii bu bir ortalama... \u00dclkeler ve b\u00f6lgeler farkl\u0131 performanslar g\u00f6sterecek. Mesela Asya\u2019n\u0131n gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 5.7 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor. En b\u00fcy\u00fck katk\u0131 \u00c7in, Hindistan, Vietnam, Banglade\u015f ve Tayvan\u2019dan gelecek. G\u00fcney Kore ve Japonya da b\u00fcy\u00fcyecekler aras\u0131nda. Ancak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck d\u00fczeyde. \u00d6rne\u011fin Japonya i\u00e7in 2021 beklentisi y\u00fczde 1.7.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu y\u0131l salg\u0131ndan olumsuz etkilenen Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n da gelecek y\u0131l toparlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor. \u00d6zellikle de Bat\u0131 Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n... 2021\u2019de Bat\u0131 Avrupa i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 5.2. Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019da ise b\u00fcy\u00fcme ortalama y\u00fczde 3.8\u2019de kalacak. Bat\u0131\u2019da \u0130ngiltere ve Fransa, Do\u011fu\u2019da ise Ukrayna gelecek y\u0131l b\u00fcy\u00fcmede \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 beklenen ekonomiler.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Projeksiyonlar ABD i\u00e7in gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3.6\u2019l\u0131k bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret ediyor. Meksika ve Kanada da hemen hemen ayn\u0131. Latin Amerika, birka\u00e7 \u00fclke hari\u00e7 gelecek y\u0131l g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir performans g\u00f6sterecek. B\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 3.7.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2021 Afrika i\u00e7in ise zor bir y\u0131l olacak. Tahminlere g\u00f6re, Sahra alt\u0131 Afrika y\u00fczde 1.6, Kuzey Afrika ise y\u00fczde 1.7 b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6sterecek. \u0130stisnalar var tabii... \u0130\u00e7 sava\u015ftan s\u0131yr\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan Libya\u2019n\u0131n 2021\u2019de y\u00fczde 20\u2019nin \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi bekleniyor.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u015fampiyonlar\u0131 aras\u0131nda Macau, Maldivler gibi ada devletleri ilk s\u0131ralarda. Arnavutluk ve Peru da \u00f6yle... <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Gelecek y\u0131l k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme beklenen d\u00f6rt ekonomi var. Suriye, M\u0131s\u0131r, Venezuela ve Angola... T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye gelince... Ekonomi 2018\u2019de y\u00fczde 2.6, 2019\u2019da y\u00fczde 0.9 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. 2020\u2019de yine az bir farkla y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn bu hengameye ra\u011fmen pozitifte bitirece\u011fimiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. 2021\u2019de ise beklentiler y\u00fczde 3 ile 5 aras\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fiyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>***<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Yanda, size 2021\u2019de d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc olu\u015fturan 80 kadar \u00fclkenin 2021 y\u0131l\u0131na ili\u015fkin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini aktar\u0131yorum.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u015e\u00f6yle bir g\u00f6z at\u0131n. B\u00fcy\u00fck resimde ya\u015fanan de\u011fi\u015fimin karma\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 giri\u015fimcilik i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131rmas\u0131n. Art\u0131k e-ticaret \u00fczerinden mi olur geleneksel y\u00f6ntemlerle mi, bilemem. Bildi\u011fim bir \u015fey varsa, d\u00fcnyada i\u015fini bilen giri\u015fimciler i\u00e7in \u00e7ok f\u0131rsat var.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Gerisi sizin bilece\u011finiz i\u015f...<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Hepinize sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 y\u0131llar diliyorum. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Hangi \u00fclke 2021\u2019de nas\u0131l bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131 g\u00f6sterecek? <\/strong>(2020\u2019ye g\u00f6re y\u00fczde olarak)<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD3.6 <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Almanya4.6<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Angola-0.1<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Arjantin6.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Avusturalya1.6<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Avusturya4.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Banglade\u015f5.8<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bel\u00e7ika5.4<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bolivya3.8<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Brezilya3.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bulgaristan3.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Cezayir1.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u00c7in7.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u00c7ekya4.4<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Danimarka4.1<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Ekvator5.1<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Endonezya4.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Estonya4.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Etiyopya3.1<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Fas1.6<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Filipinler5.8<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Finlandiya2.4<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Fransa7.1<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> H\u0131rvatistan4.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Hindistan6.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Hollanda4.1<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Irak0.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130ngiltere6.9<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130ran2.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130spanya6.8<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130srail2.5<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130sve\u00e72.9<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130svi\u00e7re3.5<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130talya5.8<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Japonya1.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> G\u00fcney Afrika1.5<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Kanada4.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Kamerun2.5<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Kazakistan3.5<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Kenya2.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Kolombiya4.4<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> K\u00fcba2.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Letonya4.9<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Libya20.9<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Litvanya3.8<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> L\u00fcbnan1.1<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Macaristan4.8<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Malezya5.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Meksika3.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> M\u0131s\u0131r-2.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Nijerya1.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Norve\u00e73.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u00d6zbekistan6.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Pakistan0.8<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Paraguay2.9<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Peru9.2<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Polonya4.2<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Portekiz5.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Romanya4.2<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Rusya3.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Singapur3.9<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Slovakya6.4<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Slovenya5.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Sri Lanka2.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Suriye-1.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> S. Arabistan2.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u015eili4.6<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Tayland3.2<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Tayvan1.5<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrkiye3.6<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Ukrayna5.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Uruguay3.5<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u00dcrd\u00fcn2.1<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Venezuela-1.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Vietnam5.2<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Yeni Zelanda1.4<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Yunanistan3.5<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Zimbabve0.4<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><em>Kaynak: The Economist, The World in 2021 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2021e-girerken-dunya-ekonomisi","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2021\u2019e girerken d\u00fcnya ekonomisi","meta_description":"Hakan G\u00fclda\u011f","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1066,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":1,"name":"HAKAN","surname":"G\u00dcLDA\u011e","email":"uakisik@eronat.com.tr","slug":"hakan-guldag","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600kKPzKvWx8Xpxx9n.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:32.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":23996,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":23897,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"2021\u2019e girerken d\u00fcnya ekonomisi","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Hakan G\u00fclda\u011f<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">E\u015fi g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f y\u0131l geride kal\u0131yor. \u015eimdilik be\u015f farkl\u0131 a\u015f\u0131n\u0131n bulunmas\u0131yla 2021\u2019e umutla giriliyor. Ancak g\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, sadece yeni bir y\u0131la girmiyoruz. Gelecekte tarih\u00e7ilerin muhtemelen yeni bir \u2018d\u00f6nem\u2019 olarak adland\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 bir 10 y\u0131la giriyoruz. Koronavir\u00fcs, bu yeni d\u00f6nemin deyim yerindeyse ebeli\u011fini yapt\u0131. 100 y\u0131l \u00f6nce \u2018\u0130spanyol gribinin\u2019 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi...<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00dcnl\u00fc tarih\u00e7i Fernand Braudel, \u201cTarihteki hareket \u00fc\u00e7 farkl\u0131 \u015fekilde incelenebilir\u201d diyor ve ekliyor: <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u201cH\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fenler, yava\u015f de\u011fi\u015fenler ve hi\u00e7 de\u011fi\u015fmeyenler...\u201d<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Tarih, Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ile adeta h\u0131zland\u0131. En az\u0131ndan baz\u0131 alanlarda... Dijitalle\u015fmede \u00f6rne\u011fin 10 y\u0131lda olacak olanlar 10 ayda oldu. e-ticarette de \u00f6yle... <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Salg\u0131n, k\u00fcresel de\u011fer zincirleri a\u011f\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimi de h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Daha \u00f6nce Eko-Mercek\u2019te bahsetmi\u015ftik. Blokla\u015fma ve b\u00f6lgeselle\u015fme e\u011filimi art\u0131yor. D\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda hegemonya rekabetinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nem olacak \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131l. Jeopolitikte, teknolojide ve ticarette... <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Tedarikte tercihler de\u011fi\u015fiyor. \u00c7in\u2019e alternatif aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 artt\u0131. Vietnam, Banglade\u015f gibi \u00fclkeler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. T\u00fcrkiye de \u00f6yle... 200\u2019\u00fc a\u015fk\u0131n k\u00fcresel de\u011fer zinciri ile yap\u0131lan QIMA ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131, bunu bariz bi\u00e7imde g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne serdi. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l d\u00fcnya markalar\u0131na sorulan \u2018tedarikte ilk \u00fc\u00e7 tercihiniz kimdir\u2019 sorusuna verilen yan\u0131tlarda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 4\u2019t\u00fc. 2020\u2019de y\u00fczde 9\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. AB merkezli de\u011fer zincirlerinde, bir ba\u015fka ifade ile Avrupa markalar\u0131nda ise bu oran y\u00fczde 30\u2019a ula\u015ft\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>***<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Tabii, tarihte oldu\u011fu gibi gelecekte de her \u015fey ayn\u0131 h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015fmeyecek. \u00d6zellikle de insan... Ge\u00e7mi\u015ften bug\u00fcne gelen baz\u0131 davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ayn\u0131 kalacak. \u0130htiya\u00e7lar\u0131 da... Al\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131klar de\u011fi\u015fse de, insan t\u00fcketmeye devam edecek. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mesela size uzun y\u0131llar de\u011fi\u015fmeyecek bir \u015fey s\u00f6yleyeyim. \u0130hracatta ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olal\u0131m m\u0131 istiyoruz? Yol haritam\u0131z belli: K\u00fcresel rekabet \u015fans\u0131 y\u00fcksek \u00fcr\u00fcn \u00fcretmemiz gerekiyor. Yani, ba\u015fka \u00fclkelerde \u00fcretilene tercih edilebilecek \u00fcr\u00fcnler... O kadar basit! Bug\u00fcne kadar sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ba\u015far\u0131y\u0131 b\u00f6yle sa\u011flad\u0131k. \u015eimdi ba\u015far\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 katlayacaksak yine benzer \u015fekilde sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131z. D\u00fcnyada ihtiya\u00e7 olan \u00fcr\u00fcn ve hizmetleri daha uygun maliyetlerle, daha fazla \u00fcretece\u011fiz, daha iyi tan\u0131taca\u011f\u0131z ve d\u00fcnyan\u0131n d\u00f6rt bir k\u00f6\u015fesindeki pazarlara sunaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>***<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">K\u0131sacas\u0131 bir yandan d\u00fcnyada olup biteni iyi okumaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, esas mesele \u00fczerimize d\u00fc\u015feni iyi yapmak. \u20182021\u2019e umutla giriliyor\u2019 dedik... <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Beklenti o ki, d\u00fcnya ekonomisi gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcyecek. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Tabii bu bir ortalama... \u00dclkeler ve b\u00f6lgeler farkl\u0131 performanslar g\u00f6sterecek. Mesela Asya\u2019n\u0131n gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 5.7 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor. En b\u00fcy\u00fck katk\u0131 \u00c7in, Hindistan, Vietnam, Banglade\u015f ve Tayvan\u2019dan gelecek. G\u00fcney Kore ve Japonya da b\u00fcy\u00fcyecekler aras\u0131nda. Ancak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck d\u00fczeyde. \u00d6rne\u011fin Japonya i\u00e7in 2021 beklentisi y\u00fczde 1.7.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu y\u0131l salg\u0131ndan olumsuz etkilenen Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n da gelecek y\u0131l toparlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor. \u00d6zellikle de Bat\u0131 Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n... 2021\u2019de Bat\u0131 Avrupa i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 5.2. Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019da ise b\u00fcy\u00fcme ortalama y\u00fczde 3.8\u2019de kalacak. Bat\u0131\u2019da \u0130ngiltere ve Fransa, Do\u011fu\u2019da ise Ukrayna gelecek y\u0131l b\u00fcy\u00fcmede \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 beklenen ekonomiler.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Projeksiyonlar ABD i\u00e7in gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3.6\u2019l\u0131k bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret ediyor. Meksika ve Kanada da hemen hemen ayn\u0131. Latin Amerika, birka\u00e7 \u00fclke hari\u00e7 gelecek y\u0131l g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir performans g\u00f6sterecek. B\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 3.7.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2021 Afrika i\u00e7in ise zor bir y\u0131l olacak. Tahminlere g\u00f6re, Sahra alt\u0131 Afrika y\u00fczde 1.6, Kuzey Afrika ise y\u00fczde 1.7 b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6sterecek. \u0130stisnalar var tabii... \u0130\u00e7 sava\u015ftan s\u0131yr\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan Libya\u2019n\u0131n 2021\u2019de y\u00fczde 20\u2019nin \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi bekleniyor.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u015fampiyonlar\u0131 aras\u0131nda Macau, Maldivler gibi ada devletleri ilk s\u0131ralarda. Arnavutluk ve Peru da \u00f6yle... <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Gelecek y\u0131l k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme beklenen d\u00f6rt ekonomi var. Suriye, M\u0131s\u0131r, Venezuela ve Angola... T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye gelince... Ekonomi 2018\u2019de y\u00fczde 2.6, 2019\u2019da y\u00fczde 0.9 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. 2020\u2019de yine az bir farkla y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn bu hengameye ra\u011fmen pozitifte bitirece\u011fimiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. 2021\u2019de ise beklentiler y\u00fczde 3 ile 5 aras\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fiyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>***<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Yanda, size 2021\u2019de d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc olu\u015fturan 80 kadar \u00fclkenin 2021 y\u0131l\u0131na ili\u015fkin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini aktar\u0131yorum.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u015e\u00f6yle bir g\u00f6z at\u0131n. B\u00fcy\u00fck resimde ya\u015fanan de\u011fi\u015fimin karma\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 giri\u015fimcilik i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131rmas\u0131n. Art\u0131k e-ticaret \u00fczerinden mi olur geleneksel y\u00f6ntemlerle mi, bilemem. Bildi\u011fim bir \u015fey varsa, d\u00fcnyada i\u015fini bilen giri\u015fimciler i\u00e7in \u00e7ok f\u0131rsat var.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Gerisi sizin bilece\u011finiz i\u015f...<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Hepinize sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 y\u0131llar diliyorum. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Hangi \u00fclke 2021\u2019de nas\u0131l bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131 g\u00f6sterecek? <\/strong>(2020\u2019ye g\u00f6re y\u00fczde olarak)<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD3.6 <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Almanya4.6<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Angola-0.1<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Arjantin6.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Avusturalya1.6<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Avusturya4.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Banglade\u015f5.8<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bel\u00e7ika5.4<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bolivya3.8<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Brezilya3.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bulgaristan3.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Cezayir1.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u00c7in7.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u00c7ekya4.4<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Danimarka4.1<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Ekvator5.1<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Endonezya4.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Estonya4.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Etiyopya3.1<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Fas1.6<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Filipinler5.8<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Finlandiya2.4<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Fransa7.1<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> H\u0131rvatistan4.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Hindistan6.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Hollanda4.1<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Irak0.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130ngiltere6.9<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130ran2.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130spanya6.8<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130srail2.5<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130sve\u00e72.9<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130svi\u00e7re3.5<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130talya5.8<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Japonya1.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> G\u00fcney Afrika1.5<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Kanada4.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Kamerun2.5<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Kazakistan3.5<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Kenya2.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Kolombiya4.4<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> K\u00fcba2.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Letonya4.9<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Libya20.9<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Litvanya3.8<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> L\u00fcbnan1.1<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Macaristan4.8<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Malezya5.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Meksika3.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> M\u0131s\u0131r-2.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Nijerya1.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Norve\u00e73.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u00d6zbekistan6.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Pakistan0.8<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Paraguay2.9<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Peru9.2<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Polonya4.2<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Portekiz5.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Romanya4.2<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Rusya3.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Singapur3.9<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Slovakya6.4<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Slovenya5.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Sri Lanka2.3<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Suriye-1.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> S. Arabistan2.0<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u015eili4.6<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Tayland3.2<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Tayvan1.5<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrkiye3.6<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Ukrayna5.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Uruguay3.5<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u00dcrd\u00fcn2.1<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Venezuela-1.7<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Vietnam5.2<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Yeni Zelanda1.4<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Yunanistan3.5<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Zimbabve0.4<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><em>Kaynak: The Economist, The World in 2021 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2021e-girerken-dunya-ekonomisi","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2021\u2019e girerken d\u00fcnya ekonomisi","meta_description":"Hakan G\u00fclda\u011f","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1066,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}