{"status":true,"post":{"id":28192,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 15:40:39","created_at":"2021-09-02T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T12:40:39.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":28192,"is_featured":0,"title":"2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 11","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2021\u2019in 2. \u00e7eyre\u011fi i\u00e7in hesaplad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u2018nokta vuru\u015f\u2019 GSYH reel b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 tahminimiz y\u00fczde 29.905\u2019di. En k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryoya g\u00f6re bile 2. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 tahminimiz y\u00fczde 24.40\u2019t\u0131. Bu nedenle, T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in 2. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 21.7 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 beni bir nebze \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtt\u0131. Bilhassa, hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ile sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 40\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde katma de\u011fer art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yakalam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131, tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn t\u00fcm kurakl\u0131k s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131na ra\u011fmen y\u00fczde 2.3 katma de\u011fer art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmesi, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki y\u00fczde 3.1\u2019lik performans, b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n daha y\u00fcksek olabilece\u011fi konusunda bir beklenti olu\u015fturuyor, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fkusuz.<\/span>
<\/span>
\u0130HRACATTA YEN\u0130 REKOR<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Harcamalar y\u00f6ntemine g\u00f6re verileri inceledi\u011fimizde, net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye tek ba\u015f\u0131na katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n d\u00f6rtte birin \u00e7ok \u00fcst\u00fcnde olmas\u0131, Ticaret Bakan\u0131 Mu\u015f\u2019un a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u011fustos ay\u0131 ihracat verilerinde, y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bazda 207.5 milyar dolar ile yeni Cumhuriyet rekorlar\u0131 k\u0131rmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmemizin, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin t\u00fcm 2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine net ihracat\u0131n \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir katk\u0131 sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 teyit ediyor. Bu noktada, gerek M\u00dcS\u0130AD\u2019\u0131n SAMEKS\u2019inin, gerek ISO\u2019nun Markit PMI\u2019n\u0131n, gerekse de TCMB Reel Kesim G\u00fcven Endeksi\u2019nin reel sekt\u00f6re y\u00f6nelik a\u011fustos ay\u0131 verilerinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u00fcretim, ihracat ve istihdam mesaj\u0131 veriyor olmas\u0131 \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli.<\/span>
<\/span>
G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc veriler, bu y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndaki pozitif b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131n\u0131n devam edece\u011fine ve y\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fczde 11 civar\u0131nda bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile bitirebilece\u011fimize i\u015faret ediyor. Veriler, ayn\u0131 zamanda 2021 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 gerek G20, gerekse de OECD \u00fcyesi \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131 olarak ilk 3\u2019te bitirece\u011fimizi g\u00f6steriyor. Nitekim, G20 \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda 2. \u00e7eyrek itibariyle Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019tan sonra ikinci s\u0131raday\u0131z ve pek \u00e7ok \u00fclkenin 2. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin 2, hatta 3 kat\u0131 bir performans yakalam\u0131\u015f durumday\u0131z. Bu durumun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra 2. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme 1998 bazl\u0131 endekste, son 22 y\u0131l\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme rekoru olarak kay\u0131tlara ge\u00e7erken, Cumhuriyet tarihi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ilk 3 en y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 aras\u0131na da girdi.<\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
B\u00dcY\u00dcMEN\u0130N KAL\u0130TES\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Ticaret Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 veriler, a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda ihracatta ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 51.8 art\u0131\u015f yakaland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve 18.9 milyar dolarla, art\u0131k T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ayl\u0131k ihracat verilerinin 20 milyar dolara do\u011fru ilerledi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bunun anlam\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan 210 milyar dolar rekorunun 2021\u2019de yakalanmas\u0131 bir yana, art\u0131k 250 milyar dolara do\u011fru ilerleyen bir ihracat\u0131m\u0131z oldu\u011fu ger\u00e7e\u011fi. Bu durum, ithalata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik \u00e7abalarla, a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da 4.3 milyar dolar kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. \u0130thalat da y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 23.8 artarak 23.2 milyar dolar d\u00fczeyinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f durumda. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 da ocak-a\u011fustos d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 10 azalarak 29.8 milyar dolara geriledi. Yani, toparlanan turizm gelirleri ile birlikte bu y\u0131l bir cari i\u015flemler fazlas\u0131 verme ihtimalimiz zay\u0131f de\u011fil. \u0130hracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 ise a\u011fustosta 15.1 puan art\u0131\u015fla y\u00fczde 81.5\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ihracat ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlara dayal\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde b\u00fcy\u00fcmemizin kalitesini de art\u0131racak.<\/span>
<\/span>
G\u00dcVEN\u0130L\u0130R L\u0130MAN EKONOM\u0130S\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel ticaretteki hareketlili\u011fin \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fctlerinden biri olan Balt\u0131k Kuru Y\u00fck Endeksi\u2019nin 4 bin 100 puan\u0131 ge\u00e7mesi, k\u00fcresel ticaretin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin etraf\u0131ndaki co\u011frafik alanda, \u00fcretim, d\u0131\u015f ticaret ve y\u00fck ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n hayli hareketlendi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. <\/span>
<\/span>
Bunun anlam\u0131, \u2018Covid-19\u2019 k\u00fcresel vir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131 ile \u00c7in\u2019e ve a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak Asya\u2019ya k\u00fcresel tedarik zincirinde ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k sorgulamas\u0131n\u0131n, T\u00fcrkiye lehine bir tedarik ve kaynak \u00e7e\u015fitlendirmesiyle yeni bir s\u00fcreci h\u0131zland\u0131rm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131.<\/span>
<\/span>
Anla\u015f\u0131lan o ki, T\u00fcrkiye \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde k\u00fcresel tedarik zincirinin giderek daha vazge\u00e7ilmez bir \u2018g\u00fcvenilir liman\u2019 ekonomisi olacak ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ihracat\u0131 beklenenden \u00e7ok daha h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde 250 milyar dolara ula\u015facak.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"2021-buyumesi-yuzde-11","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 11","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1097,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":28291,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":28192,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 11","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2021\u2019in 2. \u00e7eyre\u011fi i\u00e7in hesaplad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u2018nokta vuru\u015f\u2019 GSYH reel b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 tahminimiz y\u00fczde 29.905\u2019di. En k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryoya g\u00f6re bile 2. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 tahminimiz y\u00fczde 24.40\u2019t\u0131. Bu nedenle, T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in 2. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 21.7 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 beni bir nebze \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtt\u0131. Bilhassa, hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ile sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 40\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde katma de\u011fer art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yakalam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131, tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn t\u00fcm kurakl\u0131k s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131na ra\u011fmen y\u00fczde 2.3 katma de\u011fer art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmesi, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki y\u00fczde 3.1\u2019lik performans, b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n daha y\u00fcksek olabilece\u011fi konusunda bir beklenti olu\u015fturuyor, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fkusuz.<\/span>
<\/span>
\u0130HRACATTA YEN\u0130 REKOR<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Harcamalar y\u00f6ntemine g\u00f6re verileri inceledi\u011fimizde, net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye tek ba\u015f\u0131na katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n d\u00f6rtte birin \u00e7ok \u00fcst\u00fcnde olmas\u0131, Ticaret Bakan\u0131 Mu\u015f\u2019un a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u011fustos ay\u0131 ihracat verilerinde, y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bazda 207.5 milyar dolar ile yeni Cumhuriyet rekorlar\u0131 k\u0131rmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmemizin, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin t\u00fcm 2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine net ihracat\u0131n \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir katk\u0131 sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 teyit ediyor. Bu noktada, gerek M\u00dcS\u0130AD\u2019\u0131n SAMEKS\u2019inin, gerek ISO\u2019nun Markit PMI\u2019n\u0131n, gerekse de TCMB Reel Kesim G\u00fcven Endeksi\u2019nin reel sekt\u00f6re y\u00f6nelik a\u011fustos ay\u0131 verilerinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u00fcretim, ihracat ve istihdam mesaj\u0131 veriyor olmas\u0131 \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli.<\/span>
<\/span>
G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc veriler, bu y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndaki pozitif b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131n\u0131n devam edece\u011fine ve y\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fczde 11 civar\u0131nda bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile bitirebilece\u011fimize i\u015faret ediyor. Veriler, ayn\u0131 zamanda 2021 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 gerek G20, gerekse de OECD \u00fcyesi \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131 olarak ilk 3\u2019te bitirece\u011fimizi g\u00f6steriyor. Nitekim, G20 \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda 2. \u00e7eyrek itibariyle Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019tan sonra ikinci s\u0131raday\u0131z ve pek \u00e7ok \u00fclkenin 2. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin 2, hatta 3 kat\u0131 bir performans yakalam\u0131\u015f durumday\u0131z. Bu durumun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra 2. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme 1998 bazl\u0131 endekste, son 22 y\u0131l\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme rekoru olarak kay\u0131tlara ge\u00e7erken, Cumhuriyet tarihi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ilk 3 en y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 aras\u0131na da girdi.<\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
B\u00dcY\u00dcMEN\u0130N KAL\u0130TES\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Ticaret Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 veriler, a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda ihracatta ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 51.8 art\u0131\u015f yakaland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve 18.9 milyar dolarla, art\u0131k T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ayl\u0131k ihracat verilerinin 20 milyar dolara do\u011fru ilerledi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bunun anlam\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan 210 milyar dolar rekorunun 2021\u2019de yakalanmas\u0131 bir yana, art\u0131k 250 milyar dolara do\u011fru ilerleyen bir ihracat\u0131m\u0131z oldu\u011fu ger\u00e7e\u011fi. Bu durum, ithalata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik \u00e7abalarla, a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da 4.3 milyar dolar kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. \u0130thalat da y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 23.8 artarak 23.2 milyar dolar d\u00fczeyinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f durumda. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 da ocak-a\u011fustos d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 10 azalarak 29.8 milyar dolara geriledi. Yani, toparlanan turizm gelirleri ile birlikte bu y\u0131l bir cari i\u015flemler fazlas\u0131 verme ihtimalimiz zay\u0131f de\u011fil. \u0130hracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 ise a\u011fustosta 15.1 puan art\u0131\u015fla y\u00fczde 81.5\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ihracat ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlara dayal\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde b\u00fcy\u00fcmemizin kalitesini de art\u0131racak.<\/span>
<\/span>
G\u00dcVEN\u0130L\u0130R L\u0130MAN EKONOM\u0130S\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel ticaretteki hareketlili\u011fin \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fctlerinden biri olan Balt\u0131k Kuru Y\u00fck Endeksi\u2019nin 4 bin 100 puan\u0131 ge\u00e7mesi, k\u00fcresel ticaretin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin etraf\u0131ndaki co\u011frafik alanda, \u00fcretim, d\u0131\u015f ticaret ve y\u00fck ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n hayli hareketlendi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. <\/span>
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Bunun anlam\u0131, \u2018Covid-19\u2019 k\u00fcresel vir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131 ile \u00c7in\u2019e ve a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak Asya\u2019ya k\u00fcresel tedarik zincirinde ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k sorgulamas\u0131n\u0131n, T\u00fcrkiye lehine bir tedarik ve kaynak \u00e7e\u015fitlendirmesiyle yeni bir s\u00fcreci h\u0131zland\u0131rm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131.<\/span>
<\/span>
Anla\u015f\u0131lan o ki, T\u00fcrkiye \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde k\u00fcresel tedarik zincirinin giderek daha vazge\u00e7ilmez bir \u2018g\u00fcvenilir liman\u2019 ekonomisi olacak ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ihracat\u0131 beklenenden \u00e7ok daha h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde 250 milyar dolara ula\u015facak.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"2021-buyumesi-yuzde-11","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 11","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1097,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}