{"status":true,"post":{"id":21100,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:00:25","created_at":"2019-11-21T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:00:25.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":21100,"is_featured":0,"title":"2020\u2019de d\u00fcnyada bizi neler bekliyor?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel<\/strong><\/span><br><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2019\u2019u geride b\u0131rakmaya haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u015fu g\u00fcnlerde 2020 beklentileri giderek \u00f6nem kazanmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. 2020\u2019nin en \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndemi ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri olacak. Trump ilk d\u00f6nemindeki k\u00fcreselle\u015fme kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile bundan \u00f6nceki b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 ortakl\u0131klar\u0131 adeta yerinden etti. Trump\u2019\u0131n bir d\u00f6nem daha se\u00e7ilmesi halinde ayn\u0131 politikalar\u0131 daha agresif \u015fekilde uygulamas\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olacak. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1 - Trump y\u00f6netimi \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 bir\u00e7ok anla\u015fmay\u0131 yok sayd\u0131 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Trump g\u00f6revdeki 4 y\u0131l\u0131 boyunca \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 bir\u00e7ok anla\u015fmay\u0131 ve kurumu adeta yok sayd\u0131. Bat\u0131l\u0131 m\u00fcttefikleri ile ili\u015fkilerde al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ortak \u00e7\u0131karlar yerine ABD\u2019nin \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. G\u00fcvenlik ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 NATO\u2019yu tart\u0131\u015fmaya a\u00e7t\u0131. ABD, Paris \u0130klim Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019ndan \u00e7ekildi. Yine ABD so\u011fuk sava\u015f sonras\u0131n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131 olan orta menzilli n\u00fckleer silahlar\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 anla\u015fmas\u0131ndan da ayr\u0131ld\u0131. Trump ekonomideki uygulamalar\u0131 ile de yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki ABD sermayesinin geri d\u00f6nmesine \u00e7aba g\u00f6sterdi ve onlar\u0131 te\u015fvik etti. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2 - ABD k\u00fcreselle\u015fmeye kar\u015f\u0131t politikalar uygulamaya ba\u015flad\u0131 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2016\u2019da se\u00e7ilen Trump, s\u00f6z verdi\u011fi gibi ilk 4 y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6neminde ticarette de k\u00fcreselle\u015fme kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 politikalar uygulad\u0131 ve \u00f6nceli\u011fini ABD\u2019ye verdi. Trump \u00f6zellikle ticarette korumac\u0131l\u0131k ile ikili ticarette \u00fclkesi \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131na yeni anla\u015fmalar ihdas etmeyi hedefledi ve b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ba\u015fard\u0131. NAFTA anla\u015fmas\u0131 ve G\u00fcney Kore ve Japonya ile mevcut serbest ticaret anla\u015fmalar\u0131 yenilendi. ABD, AB ile y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen Atlantik ticaret anla\u015fmas\u0131 m\u00fczakerelerinden \u00e7ekildi. ABD, yine benzer \u015fekilde Obama d\u00f6neminde m\u00fczakereleri tamamlanan Asya Pasifik Ticaret Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019ndan da ayr\u0131ld\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>3 - Ticarette korumac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n teti\u011fini ABD \u00e7ekti <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD\u2019nin en belirgin politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi d\u00fcnya ticaret \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc kurallar\u0131n\u0131 da hi\u00e7e sayarak ba\u015fta \u00c7in olmak \u00fczere ticarette bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkeye ilave g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergileri uygulamas\u0131 oldu. Bu uygulaman\u0131n yasal temelini, ABD\u2019deki ulusal g\u00fcvenli\u011fin tehdit alt\u0131nda oldu\u011fu durumlarda uygulanabilecek bir yasa olu\u015fturuyor. Di\u011fer bir deyi\u015fle ABD uluslararas\u0131 ortak ticaret kurallar\u0131n\u0131 bu yasa ile g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edebiliyor ve iki y\u0131lda bunun bir \u00e7ok uygulamas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>4 \u2013 2020\u2019de ABD-\u00c7in m\u00fczakereleri ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imi \u00f6ncesi \u00f6nemli olacak <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD, 560 milyar dolar ithalat yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019den ithalat\u0131n\u0131 azaltmay\u0131 ve ikili ticarette denge sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131 hedefliyor. Bu ama\u00e7la iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki ticaret m\u00fczakereleri s\u00fcr\u00fcyor ve bir \u00f6n anla\u015fmaya var\u0131ld\u0131. Bu \u00f6n anla\u015fman\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 2020\u2019de ana anla\u015fma i\u00e7in m\u00fczakereler yap\u0131lacak. ABD\u2019nin buradaki temel amac\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in para birimini konvertibl ve daha de\u011ferli hale getirmesi, \u00c7in\u2019in ithalatta uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi oranlar\u0131n\u0131 indirmesi ve d\u00fcnyadan ithalat\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131 olacak. 2020\u2019nin \u00f6nemli bir g\u00fcndem maddesini de bu ticaret m\u00fczakereleri olu\u015fturacak. ABD\u2019de Trump b\u00f6yle bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 sa\u011flarsa bunu 2020 se\u00e7imlerine giderken \u00f6nemli bir ba\u015far\u0131 olarak kullanacak.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>5 - ABD\u2019nin yeni politikalar\u0131 d\u00fcnya ekonomisini ve ticaretini olumsuz etkiledi<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD\u2019de Ba\u015fkan Trump y\u00f6netiminin ilk 4 y\u0131l boyunca uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nce ABD\u2019yi g\u00f6zeten ve k\u00fcreselle\u015fme kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 olarak \u015fekillenen politikalar\u0131 d\u00fcnya ekonomisi ve ticaretinde 2018\u2019in ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren yava\u015flat\u0131c\u0131 etkide bulundu. 2017 ve 2018\u2019in ilk yar\u0131s\u0131 d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde k\u00fcresel krizden sonraki en dengeli ve sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nem oldu. Ancak ABD\u2019nin fiili korumac\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nlemle-rini uygulamaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 sonucu d\u00fcnya ekonomisi ve ticareti 2018\u2019in ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren yava\u015flamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. 2019 k\u00fcresel ekonomideki en zay\u0131f y\u0131llardan biri olarak ya\u015fan\u0131yor. K\u00fcresel ticaret korumac\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nlemleri ile daralmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. ABD-\u00c7in m\u00fczakereleri ile Brexit netle\u015fene kadar da daralma muhtemelen 2020\u2019de de s\u00fcrebilecek. K\u00fcresel ekonomi-deki yava\u015flama ve ticaretteki daralma bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede ise siyasi, ekonomik ve toplumsal s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lara yol a\u00e7maya ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>SON S\u00d6Z<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri yukar\u0131daki nedenlerle 2020\u2019deki en \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndem maddesi olacak.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2020de-dunyada-bizi-neler-bekliyor","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2020\u2019de d\u00fcnyada bizi neler bekliyor?","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":989,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":21199,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":21100,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"2020\u2019de d\u00fcnyada bizi neler bekliyor?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel<\/strong><\/span><br><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2019\u2019u geride b\u0131rakmaya haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u015fu g\u00fcnlerde 2020 beklentileri giderek \u00f6nem kazanmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. 2020\u2019nin en \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndemi ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri olacak. Trump ilk d\u00f6nemindeki k\u00fcreselle\u015fme kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile bundan \u00f6nceki b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 ortakl\u0131klar\u0131 adeta yerinden etti. Trump\u2019\u0131n bir d\u00f6nem daha se\u00e7ilmesi halinde ayn\u0131 politikalar\u0131 daha agresif \u015fekilde uygulamas\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olacak. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1 - Trump y\u00f6netimi \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 bir\u00e7ok anla\u015fmay\u0131 yok sayd\u0131 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Trump g\u00f6revdeki 4 y\u0131l\u0131 boyunca \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 bir\u00e7ok anla\u015fmay\u0131 ve kurumu adeta yok sayd\u0131. Bat\u0131l\u0131 m\u00fcttefikleri ile ili\u015fkilerde al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ortak \u00e7\u0131karlar yerine ABD\u2019nin \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. G\u00fcvenlik ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 NATO\u2019yu tart\u0131\u015fmaya a\u00e7t\u0131. ABD, Paris \u0130klim Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019ndan \u00e7ekildi. Yine ABD so\u011fuk sava\u015f sonras\u0131n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131 olan orta menzilli n\u00fckleer silahlar\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 anla\u015fmas\u0131ndan da ayr\u0131ld\u0131. Trump ekonomideki uygulamalar\u0131 ile de yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki ABD sermayesinin geri d\u00f6nmesine \u00e7aba g\u00f6sterdi ve onlar\u0131 te\u015fvik etti. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2 - ABD k\u00fcreselle\u015fmeye kar\u015f\u0131t politikalar uygulamaya ba\u015flad\u0131 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2016\u2019da se\u00e7ilen Trump, s\u00f6z verdi\u011fi gibi ilk 4 y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6neminde ticarette de k\u00fcreselle\u015fme kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 politikalar uygulad\u0131 ve \u00f6nceli\u011fini ABD\u2019ye verdi. Trump \u00f6zellikle ticarette korumac\u0131l\u0131k ile ikili ticarette \u00fclkesi \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131na yeni anla\u015fmalar ihdas etmeyi hedefledi ve b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ba\u015fard\u0131. NAFTA anla\u015fmas\u0131 ve G\u00fcney Kore ve Japonya ile mevcut serbest ticaret anla\u015fmalar\u0131 yenilendi. ABD, AB ile y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen Atlantik ticaret anla\u015fmas\u0131 m\u00fczakerelerinden \u00e7ekildi. ABD, yine benzer \u015fekilde Obama d\u00f6neminde m\u00fczakereleri tamamlanan Asya Pasifik Ticaret Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019ndan da ayr\u0131ld\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>3 - Ticarette korumac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n teti\u011fini ABD \u00e7ekti <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD\u2019nin en belirgin politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi d\u00fcnya ticaret \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc kurallar\u0131n\u0131 da hi\u00e7e sayarak ba\u015fta \u00c7in olmak \u00fczere ticarette bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkeye ilave g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergileri uygulamas\u0131 oldu. Bu uygulaman\u0131n yasal temelini, ABD\u2019deki ulusal g\u00fcvenli\u011fin tehdit alt\u0131nda oldu\u011fu durumlarda uygulanabilecek bir yasa olu\u015fturuyor. Di\u011fer bir deyi\u015fle ABD uluslararas\u0131 ortak ticaret kurallar\u0131n\u0131 bu yasa ile g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edebiliyor ve iki y\u0131lda bunun bir \u00e7ok uygulamas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>4 \u2013 2020\u2019de ABD-\u00c7in m\u00fczakereleri ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imi \u00f6ncesi \u00f6nemli olacak <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD, 560 milyar dolar ithalat yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019den ithalat\u0131n\u0131 azaltmay\u0131 ve ikili ticarette denge sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131 hedefliyor. Bu ama\u00e7la iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki ticaret m\u00fczakereleri s\u00fcr\u00fcyor ve bir \u00f6n anla\u015fmaya var\u0131ld\u0131. Bu \u00f6n anla\u015fman\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 2020\u2019de ana anla\u015fma i\u00e7in m\u00fczakereler yap\u0131lacak. ABD\u2019nin buradaki temel amac\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in para birimini konvertibl ve daha de\u011ferli hale getirmesi, \u00c7in\u2019in ithalatta uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi oranlar\u0131n\u0131 indirmesi ve d\u00fcnyadan ithalat\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131 olacak. 2020\u2019nin \u00f6nemli bir g\u00fcndem maddesini de bu ticaret m\u00fczakereleri olu\u015fturacak. ABD\u2019de Trump b\u00f6yle bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 sa\u011flarsa bunu 2020 se\u00e7imlerine giderken \u00f6nemli bir ba\u015far\u0131 olarak kullanacak.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>5 - ABD\u2019nin yeni politikalar\u0131 d\u00fcnya ekonomisini ve ticaretini olumsuz etkiledi<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD\u2019de Ba\u015fkan Trump y\u00f6netiminin ilk 4 y\u0131l boyunca uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nce ABD\u2019yi g\u00f6zeten ve k\u00fcreselle\u015fme kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 olarak \u015fekillenen politikalar\u0131 d\u00fcnya ekonomisi ve ticaretinde 2018\u2019in ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren yava\u015flat\u0131c\u0131 etkide bulundu. 2017 ve 2018\u2019in ilk yar\u0131s\u0131 d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde k\u00fcresel krizden sonraki en dengeli ve sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nem oldu. Ancak ABD\u2019nin fiili korumac\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nlemle-rini uygulamaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 sonucu d\u00fcnya ekonomisi ve ticareti 2018\u2019in ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren yava\u015flamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. 2019 k\u00fcresel ekonomideki en zay\u0131f y\u0131llardan biri olarak ya\u015fan\u0131yor. K\u00fcresel ticaret korumac\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nlemleri ile daralmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. ABD-\u00c7in m\u00fczakereleri ile Brexit netle\u015fene kadar da daralma muhtemelen 2020\u2019de de s\u00fcrebilecek. K\u00fcresel ekonomi-deki yava\u015flama ve ticaretteki daralma bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede ise siyasi, ekonomik ve toplumsal s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lara yol a\u00e7maya ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>SON S\u00d6Z<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri yukar\u0131daki nedenlerle 2020\u2019deki en \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndem maddesi olacak.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2020de-dunyada-bizi-neler-bekliyor","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2020\u2019de d\u00fcnyada bizi neler bekliyor?","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":989,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}