{"status":true,"post":{"id":12890,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:20:19","created_at":"2016-01-10T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:20:19.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":12890,"is_featured":0,"title":"2016 y\u0131l\u0131na dalgalanmalar ile ba\u015flad\u0131k","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">2015 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n zorluklar\u0131n\u0131 geride b\u0131rak\u0131rken 2016 y\u0131l\u0131na da dalgalanmalar ile ba\u015flad\u0131k. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk g\u00fcnlerinde ya\u015fanan k\u00fcresel ve b\u00f6lgesel geli\u015fmeler y\u0131l\u0131n geneli i\u00e7in de \u00f6nemli i\u015faretler ta\u015f\u0131yor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>ORTA DO\u011eU\u2019DA R\u0130SKLER ARTIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma riski giderek artmaktad\u0131r. 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda Suriye, Irak ve Yemen cepheleri \u00fczerinden t\u0131rmanan ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131 rekabeti ile per\u00e7inle\u015fen b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fc\u00e7 m\u00fccadelesi \u0130ran ile S.Arabistan aras\u0131nda gerginli\u011fi artt\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 2016 y\u0131l\u0131na ise iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan yeni bir kriz ile girilmi\u015ftir. B\u00f6lgede ya\u015fanacak do\u011frudan veya dolayl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi de olumsuz etkilerken Dolar, Alt\u0131n ve Petrol de\u011fer kazanacakt\u0131r. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u00c7\u0130N ETK\u0130S\u0130 DEVAM ED\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7in 2014 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren i\u00e7 t\u00fcketime dayal\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme modeline y\u00f6nelmi\u015f olup ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 yava\u015flamaktad\u0131r. \u00c7in ekonomisinde yava\u015flama d\u00fcnya ekonomisi, geli\u015fen \u00fclkeler ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rlay\u0131c\u0131 bask\u0131 yaratmaktad\u0131r. \u00c7in ekonomisine ili\u015fkin a\u00e7\u0131klanan yeni veriler yava\u015flama endi\u015felerini artt\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu nedenle mali piyasalarda ya\u015fanan sert dalgalanma k\u00fcresel mali piyasalar\u0131 da olumsuz etkilemektedir. \u00c7in ekonomisinde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ili\u015fkin geli\u015fmeler belirleyici olmaya devam edecektir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>ABD VER\u0130LER\u0130NE BA\u011eIMLILIK S\u00dcRECEK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde belirleyici unsurlar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda yine ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 FED\u2019in para politikas\u0131 gelecektir. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda ba\u015flayan faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme, enflasyon ve istihdam verilerine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak s\u00fcrecektir. Bu nedenle ABD ekonomik verilerine ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k ve dalgalanmalar da devam edecektir. FED yeni y\u0131lda en erken Mart veya Nisan ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yapacakt\u0131r. Ocak ve \u015eubat aylar\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanacak veriler faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na destek verirse Dolar kademeli olarak de\u011fer kazanacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Y\u00dcKSEK ENFLASYONA GE\u00c7\u0130YORUZ <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">K\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte ya\u015fanan deflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye 2015 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 yap\u0131sal olarak y\u00fckselen bir enflasyon ile kapatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Enflasyonun artaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi ile fiyatlama davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda bozulma ya\u015fanmaktad\u0131r. 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda yap\u0131lan yeni zamlar ile asgari \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n yarataca\u011f\u0131 etkiler ile yeni y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda iki haneli enflasyon rakamlar\u0131na ula\u015f\u0131lacakt\u0131r. D\u00f6viz kuru art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da enflasyonu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc besleyecektir. Y\u00fckselen enflasyon ile 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda i\u015fletme maliyetleri beklentilerin \u00fczerinde artacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>ASGAR\u0130 \u00dcCRET ARTI\u015eI ETK\u0130L\u0130 OLACAK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Asgari \u00fccrette ya\u015fanan art\u0131\u015f ile onun di\u011fer \u00fccretlerde yarataca\u011f\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar ekonomide \u00fc\u00e7 y\u00f6nden etkili olacakt\u0131r. \u00dccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 \u00f6ncelikle i\u015fletmelerin maliyetlerini ve i\u015fletme sermayesi ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131racakt\u0131r. Di\u011fer yandan \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ile \u00e7e\u015fitli kesimlere yap\u0131lan seyyanen art\u0131\u015flar i\u00e7 talebi artt\u0131rarak piyasalarda olumu etki yapacakt\u0131r. \u00dccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n maliyet ve talep bask\u0131s\u0131 ise enflasyondaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131racakt\u0131r. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASINDA DE\u011eER KAYBI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 yeni y\u0131la beklendi\u011fi gibi de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 ile ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 \u00fczerinde de\u011fer kayb\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir\u00e7ok bask\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r. Artan do\u011frudan ve dolayl\u0131 jeopolitik riskler etkili olmaktad\u0131r. Ba\u015fkanl\u0131k sistemi tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ivme kazanmaktad\u0131r. TC Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n politika belirsizli\u011fi s\u00fcrmektedir. Y\u0131l genelinde FED faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Dolar etkisi de devam edecektir. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131nda TC Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n olas\u0131 sert bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 m\u00fcdahalesine kadar de\u011fer kayb\u0131 s\u00fcrecektir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>FA\u0130ZLERDE ARTI\u015e <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Enflasyondaki art\u0131\u015f e\u011filimi ile FED faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentileri T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesine yol a\u00e7maktad\u0131r. Bu temel ekonomik nedenlerin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda artan jeopolitik riskler, g\u00fcndemin Ba\u015fkanl\u0131k sistemi tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na kaymaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 ile filizlenen siyasi riskler ve G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Anadolu\u2019da ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmelerin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplumsal\/ter\u00f6r riskleri de fiyatlanmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. T\u00fcm bu risklerin s\u00fcrmesi ile T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 faizler yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc kalmaya devam edecektir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son S\u00f6z;<\/strong> 2016 y\u0131l\u0131na dalgalanmalar ile ba\u015flad\u0131k, i\u015fletmeler olarak risklere, maliyetlere ve nakit y\u00f6netimine azami dikkat g\u00f6sterelim.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2016-yilina-dalgalanmalar-ile-basladik","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2016 y\u0131l\u0131na dalgalanmalar ile ba\u015flad\u0131k","meta_description":"Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":290,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":12989,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":12890,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"2016 y\u0131l\u0131na dalgalanmalar ile ba\u015flad\u0131k","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">2015 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n zorluklar\u0131n\u0131 geride b\u0131rak\u0131rken 2016 y\u0131l\u0131na da dalgalanmalar ile ba\u015flad\u0131k. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk g\u00fcnlerinde ya\u015fanan k\u00fcresel ve b\u00f6lgesel geli\u015fmeler y\u0131l\u0131n geneli i\u00e7in de \u00f6nemli i\u015faretler ta\u015f\u0131yor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>ORTA DO\u011eU\u2019DA R\u0130SKLER ARTIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma riski giderek artmaktad\u0131r. 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda Suriye, Irak ve Yemen cepheleri \u00fczerinden t\u0131rmanan ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131 rekabeti ile per\u00e7inle\u015fen b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fc\u00e7 m\u00fccadelesi \u0130ran ile S.Arabistan aras\u0131nda gerginli\u011fi artt\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 2016 y\u0131l\u0131na ise iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan yeni bir kriz ile girilmi\u015ftir. B\u00f6lgede ya\u015fanacak do\u011frudan veya dolayl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi de olumsuz etkilerken Dolar, Alt\u0131n ve Petrol de\u011fer kazanacakt\u0131r. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u00c7\u0130N ETK\u0130S\u0130 DEVAM ED\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7in 2014 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren i\u00e7 t\u00fcketime dayal\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme modeline y\u00f6nelmi\u015f olup ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 yava\u015flamaktad\u0131r. \u00c7in ekonomisinde yava\u015flama d\u00fcnya ekonomisi, geli\u015fen \u00fclkeler ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rlay\u0131c\u0131 bask\u0131 yaratmaktad\u0131r. \u00c7in ekonomisine ili\u015fkin a\u00e7\u0131klanan yeni veriler yava\u015flama endi\u015felerini artt\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu nedenle mali piyasalarda ya\u015fanan sert dalgalanma k\u00fcresel mali piyasalar\u0131 da olumsuz etkilemektedir. \u00c7in ekonomisinde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ili\u015fkin geli\u015fmeler belirleyici olmaya devam edecektir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>ABD VER\u0130LER\u0130NE BA\u011eIMLILIK S\u00dcRECEK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde belirleyici unsurlar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda yine ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 FED\u2019in para politikas\u0131 gelecektir. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda ba\u015flayan faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme, enflasyon ve istihdam verilerine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak s\u00fcrecektir. Bu nedenle ABD ekonomik verilerine ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k ve dalgalanmalar da devam edecektir. FED yeni y\u0131lda en erken Mart veya Nisan ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yapacakt\u0131r. Ocak ve \u015eubat aylar\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanacak veriler faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na destek verirse Dolar kademeli olarak de\u011fer kazanacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Y\u00dcKSEK ENFLASYONA GE\u00c7\u0130YORUZ <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">K\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte ya\u015fanan deflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye 2015 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 yap\u0131sal olarak y\u00fckselen bir enflasyon ile kapatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Enflasyonun artaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi ile fiyatlama davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda bozulma ya\u015fanmaktad\u0131r. 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda yap\u0131lan yeni zamlar ile asgari \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n yarataca\u011f\u0131 etkiler ile yeni y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda iki haneli enflasyon rakamlar\u0131na ula\u015f\u0131lacakt\u0131r. D\u00f6viz kuru art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da enflasyonu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc besleyecektir. Y\u00fckselen enflasyon ile 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda i\u015fletme maliyetleri beklentilerin \u00fczerinde artacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>ASGAR\u0130 \u00dcCRET ARTI\u015eI ETK\u0130L\u0130 OLACAK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Asgari \u00fccrette ya\u015fanan art\u0131\u015f ile onun di\u011fer \u00fccretlerde yarataca\u011f\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar ekonomide \u00fc\u00e7 y\u00f6nden etkili olacakt\u0131r. \u00dccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 \u00f6ncelikle i\u015fletmelerin maliyetlerini ve i\u015fletme sermayesi ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131racakt\u0131r. Di\u011fer yandan \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ile \u00e7e\u015fitli kesimlere yap\u0131lan seyyanen art\u0131\u015flar i\u00e7 talebi artt\u0131rarak piyasalarda olumu etki yapacakt\u0131r. \u00dccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n maliyet ve talep bask\u0131s\u0131 ise enflasyondaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131racakt\u0131r. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASINDA DE\u011eER KAYBI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 yeni y\u0131la beklendi\u011fi gibi de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 ile ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 \u00fczerinde de\u011fer kayb\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir\u00e7ok bask\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r. Artan do\u011frudan ve dolayl\u0131 jeopolitik riskler etkili olmaktad\u0131r. Ba\u015fkanl\u0131k sistemi tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ivme kazanmaktad\u0131r. TC Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n politika belirsizli\u011fi s\u00fcrmektedir. Y\u0131l genelinde FED faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Dolar etkisi de devam edecektir. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131nda TC Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n olas\u0131 sert bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 m\u00fcdahalesine kadar de\u011fer kayb\u0131 s\u00fcrecektir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>FA\u0130ZLERDE ARTI\u015e <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Enflasyondaki art\u0131\u015f e\u011filimi ile FED faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentileri T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesine yol a\u00e7maktad\u0131r. Bu temel ekonomik nedenlerin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda artan jeopolitik riskler, g\u00fcndemin Ba\u015fkanl\u0131k sistemi tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na kaymaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 ile filizlenen siyasi riskler ve G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Anadolu\u2019da ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmelerin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplumsal\/ter\u00f6r riskleri de fiyatlanmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. T\u00fcm bu risklerin s\u00fcrmesi ile T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 faizler yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc kalmaya devam edecektir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son S\u00f6z;<\/strong> 2016 y\u0131l\u0131na dalgalanmalar ile ba\u015flad\u0131k, i\u015fletmeler olarak risklere, maliyetlere ve nakit y\u00f6netimine azami dikkat g\u00f6sterelim.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2016-yilina-dalgalanmalar-ile-basladik","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2016 y\u0131l\u0131na dalgalanmalar ile ba\u015flad\u0131k","meta_description":"Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":290,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}