{"status":true,"post":{"id":14013,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:33:38","created_at":"2016-06-19T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:33:38.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":14013,"is_featured":0,"title":"2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in de\u011ferlendirme","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 4.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Bu sevindirici b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 kadar b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin dinamiklerine ili\u015fkin geli\u015fmeler de \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede ilk \u00e7eyrekteki b\u00fcy\u00fcme dinamiklerini de\u011ferlendirelim.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1. T\u00dcRK\u0130YE EN HIZLI B\u00dcY\u00dcYEN GEL\u0130\u015eEN \u00dcLKELERDEN B\u0130R\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda ya\u015fanan \u00f6nemli bir e\u011filim geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerin b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131ndaki yava\u015flamad\u0131r. \u00d6zellikle enerji ve emtia ihra\u00e7 eden bir\u00e7ok geli\u015fen \u00fclke ilk \u00e7eyrekte k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc veya yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Brezilya, Rusya ve G\u00fcney Afrika ekonomileri k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. T\u00fcrkiye, \u00c7in, Hindistan ve Endonezya\u2019dan sonra ilk \u00e7eyrekte en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen geli\u015fen \u00fclkedir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2. EKONOM\u0130K B\u00dcY\u00dcME \u0130\u00c7 T\u00dcKET\u0130M KAYNAKLI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130lk \u00e7eyrekte ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen 4.8 puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u00f6nemli bir kayna\u011f\u0131 5.59 puan ile t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 oldu. Bunun 4.43 puan\u0131 \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimden kaynaklan\u0131yor. \u00d6zellikle \u00fccret ve gelir art\u0131\u015f etkisi ile birlikte \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimin katk\u0131s\u0131 y\u00fckseldi. Kamu t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 da \u00f6zellikle mal ve hizmet al\u0131mlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ile katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>3. YATIRIMLAR HALEN ZAYIF GER\u00c7EKLE\u015e\u0130YOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 -0.02 puand\u0131r. \u00d6zel sekt\u00f6r harcamalar\u0131 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. \u00d6zel sekt\u00f6r yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n katk\u0131s\u0131 -0.06 puand\u0131r. Kamu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n katk\u0131s\u0131 ise 0.04 puan olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u00d6zel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn \u00f6zellikle makine ve te\u00e7hizat yat\u0131r\u0131m iste\u011fi negatiftir. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde stok de\u011fi\u015fiminin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 ise 0.43 puan pozitif oldu. Yani \u00fcretimin bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131na gitti. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l gerileyen stoklar\u0131n takviye edildi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>4. NET \u0130HRACAT B\u00dcY\u00dcMEY\u0130 NEGAT\u0130F ETK\u0130LED\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 -1.54 puan negatif oldu. De\u011fer olarak gerilemeye kar\u015f\u0131n hem ihracat hem de ithalat miktar olarak artt\u0131. \u0130hracat artt\u0131 ve 0.62 puan pozitif katk\u0131 yapt\u0131. \u0130thalat ise daha h\u0131zl\u0131 artarak b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi 2.16 puan negatif etkiledi. \u0130thalatta dolar baz\u0131nda gerilemeye kar\u015f\u0131n miktar baz\u0131nda \u00f6nemli art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. D\u0131\u015f ticarette de\u011fer baz\u0131ndaki iyile\u015fme ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye pozitif yans\u0131mad\u0131. 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyre\u011findeki y\u00fczde 4.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcme sevindiricidir. Ancak b\u00fcy\u00fcme dinamiklerinden net ihracat halen negatifken, yat\u0131r\u0131mlar da negatif katk\u0131 veriyor. B\u00fcy\u00fcme a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak i\u00e7 t\u00fcketim ile sa\u011fland\u0131. Bu nedenle b\u00fcy\u00fcme kalitesi halen arzu edilen yap\u0131da de\u011fildir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>5. SEKT\u00d6RLER\u0130N B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE KATKISI DAHA DENGEL\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye sekt\u00f6rlerin katk\u0131s\u0131 de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde 4.8 puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 0.13 puan\u0131 tar\u0131mdan, 1.61 puan\u0131 sanayiden, 0.37 puan\u0131 in\u015faattan ve 3.17 puan\u0131 hizmetlerden geldi. (Sekt\u00f6rlerin \u00f6dedikleri dolayl\u0131 vergiler de 0.52 puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131. Sekt\u00f6rlerin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 olan 5.77 puandan 0.98 puan dolayl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen mali arac\u0131l\u0131k hizmeti \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 4.79 puan b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ula\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.) <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">B\u00fcy\u00fcmeye 3.17 puan ile en y\u00fcksek katk\u0131y\u0131 sa\u011flayan hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7indeki \u00e7ok say\u0131da alt sekt\u00f6rde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeler \u00e7ok s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131 veya k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeler ya\u015fand\u0131. B\u00fcy\u00fcmede s\u00fcr\u00fckleyici olan 0.92 puan ile tek ba\u015f\u0131na finans ve sigorta faaliyetleri sekt\u00f6r\u00fc oldu. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde sekt\u00f6rlerin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131lar\u0131 daha dengeli ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Sanayi, in\u015faat, ticaret, mali kesim ve ula\u015ft\u0131rma sekt\u00f6rlerinin katk\u0131s\u0131 birbirileri ile uyumlu oldu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>6. SANAY\u0130N\u0130N B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE KATKISI ARTTI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde sanayinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 artt\u0131. \u0130lk \u00e7eyrekte imalat sanayi b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye 1.50 puan katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131. \u0130malat sanayindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme daha \u00e7ok i\u00e7 talepten kaynakland\u0131. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn katk\u0131s\u0131 da y\u00fckseldi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son S\u00f6z;<\/strong> ilk \u00e7eyrekteki b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 sevindirici; yat\u0131r\u0131m ve ihracat\u0131n deste\u011fi ile b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2016-yili-ilk-ceyrek-buyume-icin-degerlendirme","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in de\u011ferlendirme","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":87,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":14112,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":14013,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in de\u011ferlendirme","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 4.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Bu sevindirici b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 kadar b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin dinamiklerine ili\u015fkin geli\u015fmeler de \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede ilk \u00e7eyrekteki b\u00fcy\u00fcme dinamiklerini de\u011ferlendirelim.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1. T\u00dcRK\u0130YE EN HIZLI B\u00dcY\u00dcYEN GEL\u0130\u015eEN \u00dcLKELERDEN B\u0130R\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda ya\u015fanan \u00f6nemli bir e\u011filim geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerin b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131ndaki yava\u015flamad\u0131r. \u00d6zellikle enerji ve emtia ihra\u00e7 eden bir\u00e7ok geli\u015fen \u00fclke ilk \u00e7eyrekte k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc veya yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Brezilya, Rusya ve G\u00fcney Afrika ekonomileri k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. T\u00fcrkiye, \u00c7in, Hindistan ve Endonezya\u2019dan sonra ilk \u00e7eyrekte en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen geli\u015fen \u00fclkedir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2. EKONOM\u0130K B\u00dcY\u00dcME \u0130\u00c7 T\u00dcKET\u0130M KAYNAKLI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130lk \u00e7eyrekte ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen 4.8 puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u00f6nemli bir kayna\u011f\u0131 5.59 puan ile t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 oldu. Bunun 4.43 puan\u0131 \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimden kaynaklan\u0131yor. \u00d6zellikle \u00fccret ve gelir art\u0131\u015f etkisi ile birlikte \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimin katk\u0131s\u0131 y\u00fckseldi. Kamu t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 da \u00f6zellikle mal ve hizmet al\u0131mlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ile katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>3. YATIRIMLAR HALEN ZAYIF GER\u00c7EKLE\u015e\u0130YOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 -0.02 puand\u0131r. \u00d6zel sekt\u00f6r harcamalar\u0131 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. \u00d6zel sekt\u00f6r yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n katk\u0131s\u0131 -0.06 puand\u0131r. Kamu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n katk\u0131s\u0131 ise 0.04 puan olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u00d6zel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn \u00f6zellikle makine ve te\u00e7hizat yat\u0131r\u0131m iste\u011fi negatiftir. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde stok de\u011fi\u015fiminin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 ise 0.43 puan pozitif oldu. Yani \u00fcretimin bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131na gitti. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l gerileyen stoklar\u0131n takviye edildi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>4. NET \u0130HRACAT B\u00dcY\u00dcMEY\u0130 NEGAT\u0130F ETK\u0130LED\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 -1.54 puan negatif oldu. De\u011fer olarak gerilemeye kar\u015f\u0131n hem ihracat hem de ithalat miktar olarak artt\u0131. \u0130hracat artt\u0131 ve 0.62 puan pozitif katk\u0131 yapt\u0131. \u0130thalat ise daha h\u0131zl\u0131 artarak b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi 2.16 puan negatif etkiledi. \u0130thalatta dolar baz\u0131nda gerilemeye kar\u015f\u0131n miktar baz\u0131nda \u00f6nemli art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. D\u0131\u015f ticarette de\u011fer baz\u0131ndaki iyile\u015fme ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye pozitif yans\u0131mad\u0131. 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyre\u011findeki y\u00fczde 4.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcme sevindiricidir. Ancak b\u00fcy\u00fcme dinamiklerinden net ihracat halen negatifken, yat\u0131r\u0131mlar da negatif katk\u0131 veriyor. B\u00fcy\u00fcme a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak i\u00e7 t\u00fcketim ile sa\u011fland\u0131. Bu nedenle b\u00fcy\u00fcme kalitesi halen arzu edilen yap\u0131da de\u011fildir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>5. SEKT\u00d6RLER\u0130N B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE KATKISI DAHA DENGEL\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye sekt\u00f6rlerin katk\u0131s\u0131 de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde 4.8 puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 0.13 puan\u0131 tar\u0131mdan, 1.61 puan\u0131 sanayiden, 0.37 puan\u0131 in\u015faattan ve 3.17 puan\u0131 hizmetlerden geldi. (Sekt\u00f6rlerin \u00f6dedikleri dolayl\u0131 vergiler de 0.52 puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131. Sekt\u00f6rlerin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 olan 5.77 puandan 0.98 puan dolayl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen mali arac\u0131l\u0131k hizmeti \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 4.79 puan b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ula\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.) <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">B\u00fcy\u00fcmeye 3.17 puan ile en y\u00fcksek katk\u0131y\u0131 sa\u011flayan hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7indeki \u00e7ok say\u0131da alt sekt\u00f6rde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeler \u00e7ok s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131 veya k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeler ya\u015fand\u0131. B\u00fcy\u00fcmede s\u00fcr\u00fckleyici olan 0.92 puan ile tek ba\u015f\u0131na finans ve sigorta faaliyetleri sekt\u00f6r\u00fc oldu. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde sekt\u00f6rlerin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131lar\u0131 daha dengeli ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Sanayi, in\u015faat, ticaret, mali kesim ve ula\u015ft\u0131rma sekt\u00f6rlerinin katk\u0131s\u0131 birbirileri ile uyumlu oldu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>6. SANAY\u0130N\u0130N B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE KATKISI ARTTI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde sanayinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 artt\u0131. \u0130lk \u00e7eyrekte imalat sanayi b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye 1.50 puan katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131. \u0130malat sanayindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme daha \u00e7ok i\u00e7 talepten kaynakland\u0131. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn katk\u0131s\u0131 da y\u00fckseldi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son S\u00f6z;<\/strong> ilk \u00e7eyrekteki b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 sevindirici; yat\u0131r\u0131m ve ihracat\u0131n deste\u011fi ile b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2016-yili-ilk-ceyrek-buyume-icin-degerlendirme","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in de\u011ferlendirme","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":87,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}