{"status":true,"post":{"id":12844,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:19:57","created_at":"2015-12-20T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:19:57.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":12844,"is_featured":0,"title":"2015 \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00c7eyrek B\u00fcy\u00fcme Verisi \u0130\u00e7in De\u011ferlendirme","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">2015 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisi beklentilerin \u00fczerinde, y\u00fczde 4,0 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6nemin zorlu k\u00fcresel ko\u015fullar\u0131, siyasi belirsizlik ve artan ter\u00f6r olaylar\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda gelecek i\u00e7in \u00fcmit veren bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme yakalanm\u0131\u015f oldu. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek ekonomi b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisinin ayr\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirelim.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>B\u00dcY\u00dcMEN\u0130N KAYNA\u011eI T\u00dcKET\u0130M HARCAMALARI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte sa\u011flanan 4,0 puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin en \u00f6nemli kayna\u011f\u0131 2,99 puan ile t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. Bunun 2,22 puan\u0131 \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimden kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6nemde i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131ndan i\u00e7 t\u00fcketimin olduk\u00e7a yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bilgileri al\u0131n\u0131yordu. Bu nedenle i\u00e7 t\u00fcketim katk\u0131s\u0131 beklenmedik bir veri olmu\u015ftur. Nitekim \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte i\u00e7 t\u00fcketim bu kadar y\u00fcksek katk\u0131 sa\u011flam\u0131\u015fken toptan ve perakende ticarette neden y\u00fczde 0,4 gibi \u00e7ok s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme oldu\u011fu sorusu da sorulmaktad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE B\u0130R D\u0130\u011eER KATKI STOK ARTI\u015eI OLDU <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye \u00f6nemli bir katk\u0131 da 1,02 puan ile stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan gelmi\u015ftir. \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekte stoklar \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte firmalar stoka \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fckmektedir. Ancak firmalar \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek belirsizli\u011finde en az stok ile \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 tercih ettiklerini s\u00f6ylemekteydiler. Bu nedenle stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131 da s\u00fcrpriz olmu\u015ftur.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>YATIRIMLAR VE \u0130HRACATIN KATKISI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 negatif olmu\u015ftur. \u00d6zel sekt\u00f6r harcamalar\u0131nda do\u011fal olarak iki se\u00e7im aras\u0131 d\u00f6nemdeki belirsizlik ortam\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 ise 0,09 puan ile pozitiftir. Ancak bu pozitif katk\u0131 ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan kaynaklanmamaktad\u0131r. \u0130thalattaki gerilemeden kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 4,0 b\u00fcy\u00fcme sevindiricidir. Ancak b\u00fcy\u00fcme dinamiklerinden yat\u0131r\u0131mlar ve ihracat halen negatiftir ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme t\u00fcketim ile ve stoka y\u00f6nelik \u00fcretim ile sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu nedenle b\u00fcy\u00fcme kalitesi halen arzu edilen yap\u0131da de\u011fildir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>EN Y\u00dcKSEK KATKI TARIM \u0130LE F\u0130NANS VE S\u0130GORTADAN<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye sekt\u00f6rlerin katk\u0131s\u0131 de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte 4,0 puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 1,57 puan\u0131 tar\u0131mdan, 0,46 puan\u0131 sanayiden, 2,81 puan\u0131 hizmetlerden gelmi\u015ftir. (Sekt\u00f6rlerin \u00f6dedikleri dolayl\u0131 vergiler de 0,70 puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131 sa\u011falm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r). Sekt\u00f6rlerin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 olan 5,55 puandan 1,59 puan dolayl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen mali arac\u0131l\u0131k hizmeti \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 3,96 puan b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ula\u015f\u0131lmaktad\u0131r.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> B\u00fcy\u00fcmeye 2,81 puan ile en y\u00fcksek katk\u0131y\u0131 sa\u011flayan hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7indeki \u00e7ok say\u0131da alt sekt\u00f6rde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeler \u00e7ok s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalm\u0131\u015f veya k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeler ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. B\u00fcy\u00fcmede s\u00fcr\u00fckleyici olan 1,73 puan ile tek ba\u015f\u0131na finans ve sigorta faaliyetleri sekt\u00f6r\u00fc olmu\u015ftur.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>SANAY\u0130N\u0130N B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE KATKISI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte 4,0 puanl\u0131k ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye imalat sanayinin katk\u0131s\u0131 0,29 puan olmu\u015ftur. \u0130lk dokuz aydaki 3,4 b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7inde ise imalat sanayinin katk\u0131s\u0131 0,61 puand\u0131r. \u0130lk dokuz ay i\u00e7inde sanayinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Sanayinin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131n\u0131n bir nedeni de ihracattaki zay\u0131flama olmu\u015ftur. \u0130lk dokuz ayda tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye sanayiden daha \u00e7ok katk\u0131 sa\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u0130lk dokuz ay i\u00e7inde hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde yine finans ve sigortac\u0131l\u0131k faaliyetleri s\u00fcr\u00fckleyici olmu\u015ftur. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son s\u00f6z:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 sevindiricidir, ancak yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n, sanayinin ve ihracat\u0131n daha y\u00fcksek katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme daha dengeli ve kaliteli olacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2015-ucuncu-ceyrek-buyume-verisi-icin-degerlendirme","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2015 \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00c7eyrek B\u00fcy\u00fcme Verisi \u0130\u00e7in De\u011ferlendirme","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":498,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":12943,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":12844,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"2015 \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00c7eyrek B\u00fcy\u00fcme Verisi \u0130\u00e7in De\u011ferlendirme","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">2015 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisi beklentilerin \u00fczerinde, y\u00fczde 4,0 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6nemin zorlu k\u00fcresel ko\u015fullar\u0131, siyasi belirsizlik ve artan ter\u00f6r olaylar\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda gelecek i\u00e7in \u00fcmit veren bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme yakalanm\u0131\u015f oldu. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek ekonomi b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisinin ayr\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirelim.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>B\u00dcY\u00dcMEN\u0130N KAYNA\u011eI T\u00dcKET\u0130M HARCAMALARI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte sa\u011flanan 4,0 puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin en \u00f6nemli kayna\u011f\u0131 2,99 puan ile t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. Bunun 2,22 puan\u0131 \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimden kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6nemde i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131ndan i\u00e7 t\u00fcketimin olduk\u00e7a yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bilgileri al\u0131n\u0131yordu. Bu nedenle i\u00e7 t\u00fcketim katk\u0131s\u0131 beklenmedik bir veri olmu\u015ftur. Nitekim \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte i\u00e7 t\u00fcketim bu kadar y\u00fcksek katk\u0131 sa\u011flam\u0131\u015fken toptan ve perakende ticarette neden y\u00fczde 0,4 gibi \u00e7ok s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme oldu\u011fu sorusu da sorulmaktad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE B\u0130R D\u0130\u011eER KATKI STOK ARTI\u015eI OLDU <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye \u00f6nemli bir katk\u0131 da 1,02 puan ile stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan gelmi\u015ftir. \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekte stoklar \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte firmalar stoka \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fckmektedir. Ancak firmalar \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek belirsizli\u011finde en az stok ile \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 tercih ettiklerini s\u00f6ylemekteydiler. Bu nedenle stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131 da s\u00fcrpriz olmu\u015ftur.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>YATIRIMLAR VE \u0130HRACATIN KATKISI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 negatif olmu\u015ftur. \u00d6zel sekt\u00f6r harcamalar\u0131nda do\u011fal olarak iki se\u00e7im aras\u0131 d\u00f6nemdeki belirsizlik ortam\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 ise 0,09 puan ile pozitiftir. Ancak bu pozitif katk\u0131 ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan kaynaklanmamaktad\u0131r. \u0130thalattaki gerilemeden kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 4,0 b\u00fcy\u00fcme sevindiricidir. Ancak b\u00fcy\u00fcme dinamiklerinden yat\u0131r\u0131mlar ve ihracat halen negatiftir ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme t\u00fcketim ile ve stoka y\u00f6nelik \u00fcretim ile sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu nedenle b\u00fcy\u00fcme kalitesi halen arzu edilen yap\u0131da de\u011fildir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>EN Y\u00dcKSEK KATKI TARIM \u0130LE F\u0130NANS VE S\u0130GORTADAN<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye sekt\u00f6rlerin katk\u0131s\u0131 de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte 4,0 puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 1,57 puan\u0131 tar\u0131mdan, 0,46 puan\u0131 sanayiden, 2,81 puan\u0131 hizmetlerden gelmi\u015ftir. (Sekt\u00f6rlerin \u00f6dedikleri dolayl\u0131 vergiler de 0,70 puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131 sa\u011falm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r). Sekt\u00f6rlerin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 olan 5,55 puandan 1,59 puan dolayl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen mali arac\u0131l\u0131k hizmeti \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 3,96 puan b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ula\u015f\u0131lmaktad\u0131r.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> B\u00fcy\u00fcmeye 2,81 puan ile en y\u00fcksek katk\u0131y\u0131 sa\u011flayan hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7indeki \u00e7ok say\u0131da alt sekt\u00f6rde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeler \u00e7ok s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalm\u0131\u015f veya k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeler ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. B\u00fcy\u00fcmede s\u00fcr\u00fckleyici olan 1,73 puan ile tek ba\u015f\u0131na finans ve sigorta faaliyetleri sekt\u00f6r\u00fc olmu\u015ftur.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>SANAY\u0130N\u0130N B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE KATKISI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte 4,0 puanl\u0131k ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye imalat sanayinin katk\u0131s\u0131 0,29 puan olmu\u015ftur. \u0130lk dokuz aydaki 3,4 b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7inde ise imalat sanayinin katk\u0131s\u0131 0,61 puand\u0131r. \u0130lk dokuz ay i\u00e7inde sanayinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Sanayinin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131n\u0131n bir nedeni de ihracattaki zay\u0131flama olmu\u015ftur. \u0130lk dokuz ayda tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye sanayiden daha \u00e7ok katk\u0131 sa\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u0130lk dokuz ay i\u00e7inde hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde yine finans ve sigortac\u0131l\u0131k faaliyetleri s\u00fcr\u00fckleyici olmu\u015ftur. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son s\u00f6z:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 sevindiricidir, ancak yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n, sanayinin ve ihracat\u0131n daha y\u00fcksek katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme daha dengeli ve kaliteli olacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2015-ucuncu-ceyrek-buyume-verisi-icin-degerlendirme","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2015 \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00c7eyrek B\u00fcy\u00fcme Verisi \u0130\u00e7in De\u011ferlendirme","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":498,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}