{"status":true,"post":{"id":59678,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2025-01-02 10:58:00","created_at":"2025-01-02T07:58:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2025-01-02T07:58:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2025-01-02 10:58:00","source_id":null,"post_id":59678,"is_featured":0,"title":"K\u00fcresel ticarette 2025 ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":"K\u00fcresel ticarette 2025 ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131","sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","content":"

<\/span><\/strong>Uluslararas\u0131 te\u015fkilatlar\u0131n ve \u00f6nde gelen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015flar\u0131 ile y\u00f6netim-dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k \u015firketlerinin d\u00fcnya ekonomisi ve k\u00fcresel ticaret i\u00e7in 2025 beklentileri makul bir seyir olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. D\u00fcnya ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131 i\u00e7in 2025 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri ortalama y\u00fczde 3.2, k\u00fcresel ticaret i\u00e7in ise y\u00fczde 3 art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor. Bununla birlikte, 2008-2009 k\u00fcresel finans krizi d\u00f6nemi hari\u00e7, 2000-2007 aras\u0131 ortalama y\u00fczde 3.5 b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f olan d\u00fcnya ekonomisi 2010-2023 aras\u0131 y\u00fczde 3\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f durumda. 2030\u2019larda d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin y\u00fczde 2.3, 2040\u2019larda ise y\u00fczde 1.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu tablo, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde, k\u00fcresel ticaret hacminin de yeterince h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmemesi halinde, \u00f6nde gelen 40 \u00fclke aras\u0131nda k\u00fcresel rekabetin daha da sertle\u015febilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

E7 \u00dcLKELER\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu nedenle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de i\u00e7inde yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 E7 ekonomilerinin gerek k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme gerekse k\u00fcresel ticaretteki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla katlad\u0131klar\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, E7 ekonomilerinin t\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn k\u00fcresel rekabetteki iddialar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeleri i\u00e7in ihracat ama\u00e7l\u0131 \u00fcretim maliyetlerini (hammadde, enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc, i\u015f\u00e7ilik, finansman ve dijital d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm) m\u00fckemmelle\u015ftirmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeleri, y\u00fcksek teknoloji \u00fcretme kapasitelerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmeleri, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fc i\u00e7in \u2018vazge\u00e7ilmez \u00fcr\u00fcn\u2019 \u00fcretme kabiliyetlerini derinle\u015ftirmeleri gerekecek. E7 \u00fclkelerinin b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fcn \u2018yeniden sanayile\u015fme\u2019 d\u00f6nemini, \u2018stratejik otonomi\u2019 \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131, enerji ve dijital d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm politikalar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rmalar\u0131 gerekiyor. G7\u2019ler de panik halinde olduklar\u0131ndan onlar da h\u0131zlanacak.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

DEVLET\u0130N G\u00dcC\u00dc<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu noktada, 2025 ve takip eden yak\u0131n d\u00f6nem, b\u00fcy\u00fck darbe alm\u0131\u015f olan \u2018k\u00fcreselle\u015fme\u2019 d\u00f6neminin sona ermesi ve k\u00fcresel jeopolitik tehditler nedeniyle derinle\u015fen \u2018ekonomik par\u00e7alanma\u2019 ger\u00e7e\u011finden hareket ile \u00f6nde gelen 40 ekonominin t\u00fcm\u00fc i\u00e7in \u2018m\u00fcttefikleri\u2019ni bir araya getirme ve tedarik zincirini dost \u00fclkelerle \u00e7evreleme d\u00f6nemini de tetiklemi\u015f durumda. ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131nda artan gerilim, k\u00fcresel ticareti yeniden \u2018merkantilist\u2019 bir d\u00f6neme s\u00fcr\u00fckl\u00fcyor. Ticarette milliyet\u00e7ili\u011fin g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanaca\u011f\u0131, ekonomik, ticari, siyasi ve askeri g\u00fcc\u00fcn birbirlerini besleyece\u011fi, \u2018devletin g\u00fcc\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn \u00f6nem kazanaca\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nem. \u00d6nde gelen \u00fclkelerin t\u00fcm\u00fc, ticaret k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar gibi uygulamalar\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu fiyat oynakl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00f6netmek zorunda. Maliyet enflasyonu ithal etmemek i\u00e7in her \u00fclke uyan\u0131k da olmak zorunda. Daha y\u00fcksek ve oynak emtia, ara mamul ve nihai \u00fcr\u00fcn fiyatlar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u2018yerel \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler\u2019 de \u2018yerel yat\u0131r\u0131m hamleleri\u2019 de \u00f6nem kazanacak.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

YEN\u0130 TRUMP D\u00d6NEM\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Yeni Trump d\u00f6neminin ve y\u00f6netiminin kararlar\u0131, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fkusuz k\u00fcresel ticarette bir dizi dalgalanmay\u0131 da tetikleyecek. Avrupa petrol ve do\u011falgazda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a, Trump\u2019\u0131n \u2018bizden alacaks\u0131n\u0131z\u2019 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 daha fazla anlam kazanacak. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n ihtiyatl\u0131 faiz indirimlerinin ise k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve ticarete \u00f6nemli bir katk\u0131 sa\u011flamas\u0131 beklenmiyor. K\u00fcresel ticareti esas hareketlendirecek geli\u015fme, jeopolitik tehditlerin sebep oldu\u011fu bask\u0131n\u0131n hafiflemesi ve k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte g\u00fcven ortam\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131yla m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. \u00d6nde gelen ekonomilerin ve uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar\u0131n Afrika\u2019n\u0131n kalk\u0131nmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ortaya koyacaklar\u0131 performans da k\u00fcresel ticaretin seyrini etkileyecek. Asya ve hemen ard\u0131ndan Avrupa k\u0131tas\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131l k\u00fcresel ticarette en y\u00fcksek ithalat\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcren k\u0131talar olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclecek. Bu nedenle, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin en \u00f6nemli ticaret partneri olan Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n beklentilerini g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde kar\u015f\u0131lamay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, Asya, Afrika ve Latin Amerika ile ticaret hacmini derinle\u015ftirmesi, ihracat hacmimizin art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in elzem.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"-kuresel-ticarette-2025-basliklari","tags":null,"meta_title":"K\u00fcresel ticarette 2025 ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":0,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":59804,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":59678,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"K\u00fcresel ticarette 2025 ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131","home_title":"K\u00fcresel ticarette 2025 ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131","sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","content":"

<\/span><\/strong>Uluslararas\u0131 te\u015fkilatlar\u0131n ve \u00f6nde gelen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015flar\u0131 ile y\u00f6netim-dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k \u015firketlerinin d\u00fcnya ekonomisi ve k\u00fcresel ticaret i\u00e7in 2025 beklentileri makul bir seyir olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. D\u00fcnya ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131 i\u00e7in 2025 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri ortalama y\u00fczde 3.2, k\u00fcresel ticaret i\u00e7in ise y\u00fczde 3 art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor. Bununla birlikte, 2008-2009 k\u00fcresel finans krizi d\u00f6nemi hari\u00e7, 2000-2007 aras\u0131 ortalama y\u00fczde 3.5 b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f olan d\u00fcnya ekonomisi 2010-2023 aras\u0131 y\u00fczde 3\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f durumda. 2030\u2019larda d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin y\u00fczde 2.3, 2040\u2019larda ise y\u00fczde 1.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu tablo, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde, k\u00fcresel ticaret hacminin de yeterince h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmemesi halinde, \u00f6nde gelen 40 \u00fclke aras\u0131nda k\u00fcresel rekabetin daha da sertle\u015febilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

E7 \u00dcLKELER\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu nedenle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de i\u00e7inde yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 E7 ekonomilerinin gerek k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme gerekse k\u00fcresel ticaretteki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla katlad\u0131klar\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, E7 ekonomilerinin t\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn k\u00fcresel rekabetteki iddialar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeleri i\u00e7in ihracat ama\u00e7l\u0131 \u00fcretim maliyetlerini (hammadde, enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc, i\u015f\u00e7ilik, finansman ve dijital d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm) m\u00fckemmelle\u015ftirmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeleri, y\u00fcksek teknoloji \u00fcretme kapasitelerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmeleri, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fc i\u00e7in \u2018vazge\u00e7ilmez \u00fcr\u00fcn\u2019 \u00fcretme kabiliyetlerini derinle\u015ftirmeleri gerekecek. E7 \u00fclkelerinin b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fcn \u2018yeniden sanayile\u015fme\u2019 d\u00f6nemini, \u2018stratejik otonomi\u2019 \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131, enerji ve dijital d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm politikalar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rmalar\u0131 gerekiyor. G7\u2019ler de panik halinde olduklar\u0131ndan onlar da h\u0131zlanacak.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

DEVLET\u0130N G\u00dcC\u00dc<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu noktada, 2025 ve takip eden yak\u0131n d\u00f6nem, b\u00fcy\u00fck darbe alm\u0131\u015f olan \u2018k\u00fcreselle\u015fme\u2019 d\u00f6neminin sona ermesi ve k\u00fcresel jeopolitik tehditler nedeniyle derinle\u015fen \u2018ekonomik par\u00e7alanma\u2019 ger\u00e7e\u011finden hareket ile \u00f6nde gelen 40 ekonominin t\u00fcm\u00fc i\u00e7in \u2018m\u00fcttefikleri\u2019ni bir araya getirme ve tedarik zincirini dost \u00fclkelerle \u00e7evreleme d\u00f6nemini de tetiklemi\u015f durumda. ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131nda artan gerilim, k\u00fcresel ticareti yeniden \u2018merkantilist\u2019 bir d\u00f6neme s\u00fcr\u00fckl\u00fcyor. Ticarette milliyet\u00e7ili\u011fin g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanaca\u011f\u0131, ekonomik, ticari, siyasi ve askeri g\u00fcc\u00fcn birbirlerini besleyece\u011fi, \u2018devletin g\u00fcc\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn \u00f6nem kazanaca\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nem. \u00d6nde gelen \u00fclkelerin t\u00fcm\u00fc, ticaret k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar gibi uygulamalar\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu fiyat oynakl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00f6netmek zorunda. Maliyet enflasyonu ithal etmemek i\u00e7in her \u00fclke uyan\u0131k da olmak zorunda. Daha y\u00fcksek ve oynak emtia, ara mamul ve nihai \u00fcr\u00fcn fiyatlar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u2018yerel \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler\u2019 de \u2018yerel yat\u0131r\u0131m hamleleri\u2019 de \u00f6nem kazanacak.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

YEN\u0130 TRUMP D\u00d6NEM\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Yeni Trump d\u00f6neminin ve y\u00f6netiminin kararlar\u0131, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fkusuz k\u00fcresel ticarette bir dizi dalgalanmay\u0131 da tetikleyecek. Avrupa petrol ve do\u011falgazda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a, Trump\u2019\u0131n \u2018bizden alacaks\u0131n\u0131z\u2019 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 daha fazla anlam kazanacak. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n ihtiyatl\u0131 faiz indirimlerinin ise k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve ticarete \u00f6nemli bir katk\u0131 sa\u011flamas\u0131 beklenmiyor. K\u00fcresel ticareti esas hareketlendirecek geli\u015fme, jeopolitik tehditlerin sebep oldu\u011fu bask\u0131n\u0131n hafiflemesi ve k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte g\u00fcven ortam\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131yla m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. \u00d6nde gelen ekonomilerin ve uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar\u0131n Afrika\u2019n\u0131n kalk\u0131nmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ortaya koyacaklar\u0131 performans da k\u00fcresel ticaretin seyrini etkileyecek. Asya ve hemen ard\u0131ndan Avrupa k\u0131tas\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131l k\u00fcresel ticarette en y\u00fcksek ithalat\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcren k\u0131talar olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclecek. Bu nedenle, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin en \u00f6nemli ticaret partneri olan Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n beklentilerini g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde kar\u015f\u0131lamay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, Asya, Afrika ve Latin Amerika ile ticaret hacmini derinle\u015ftirmesi, ihracat hacmimizin art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in elzem.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"-kuresel-ticarette-2025-basliklari","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":"K\u00fcresel ticarette 2025 ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":null,"view_count":0,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}